Alex 15/10

**Joined:** Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm **Warnings:** 0

The stairs to the right of the board, looked like they were spiralling downwards

**Posted:** Sun Oct 15, 2006 8:41 pm **Author:** wakey1512 **Post subject:**

Unlucky Alex, you really played that well, Noel said it spot on. We would really have loads of big winners if everyone played the game like you. Just that the game wasn't on your side today.

And Greeny, box 11 had its worst result ever today!

**Joined:** Thu Feb 23, 2006 10:36 pm **Warnings:** 0

wakey1512 wrote:

And Greeny, box 11 had it's worst result ever today!

"Its".

Sorry, I just have two weeks of pointless bickering stored up inside me.

**Joined:** Wed Jun 21, 2006 9:27 pm **Warnings:** 0

I thought of Greeny as soon as I saw box 11 was on the table. Alex deserved a lot more, but that's how the game goes sometimes.

**Posted:** Sun Oct 15, 2006 8:45 pm **Author:** Tom **Post subject:**

Poor Alex!! He deserved to win a lot more!!

(Nice references by Noel to Saturday...)

**Posted:** Sun Oct 15, 2006 8:59 pm **Author:** greeny **Post subject:**

I was scared when I saw Alex and box 11, as my name is Alex, and people generally tend to associate me to 11, so to actually have Alex play with box 11 was kind of freaky.

And Wakey, I'm happy 11 has had a bad game, it means all boxes have had lowish wins (less than £6,000) now.

**Joined:** Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm **Warnings:** 0

on todays show i noticed some stairs going down next to the board, did you notice this? ive never seen it before

**Posted:** Sun Oct 15, 2006 9:12 pm **Author:** flamedtresses **Post subject:**

Poor Alex.

anyway what a great guy. good luck for the future. :-D

**Posted:** Sun Oct 15, 2006 9:13 pm **Author:** greeny **Post subject:**

He deserved so much more than £5, especially after being on for so long.

**Posted:** Sun Oct 15, 2006 9:16 pm **Author:** wakey1512 **Post subject:**

You're right about long runners winning peanuts, Lance of course being the excepetion.

**Joined:** Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm **Warnings:** 0

ill look tomorrow morning at half 6 when my eyes are tired :-D

**Joined:** Thu Feb 09, 2006 11:50 pm **Warnings:** 0

h2005 wrote:

By the way, at least Noel apologised for going on about the £250k not being on the table... but there is no statistic that says it is due on the table, is there?

NUMBER OF GAMES BEFORE WE'LL SEE THE £250,000 ON THE TABLE AGAIN

5 or fewer: 20.8%
10 or fewer: 37.2%
15 or fewer: 50.2%
20 or fewer: 60.6%
25 or fewer: 68.7%
30 or fewer: 75.2%
35 or fewer: 80.4%
40 or fewer: 84.4%
45 or fewer: 87.7%
50 or fewer: 90.2%

60 or fewer: 93.9%
70 or fewer: 96.1%
80 or fewer: 97.6%
90 or fewer: 98.5%
100 or fewer: 99.0%

**Joined:** Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm **Warnings:** 0

wow!

some great stats there, it really is overdue, but then again its overdue by the 23rd show

**Joined:** Thu Feb 09, 2006 11:50 pm **Warnings:** 0

Aaron Brock wrote:

wow!

some great stats there, it really is overdue, but then again its overdue by the 23rd show

Yes it's overdue, but (to correct Noel), statistically it's about an even money chance that we'll have to wait for more than 15 further games before it appears again.

**Posted:** Sun Oct 15, 2006 9:36 pm **Author:** Will **Post subject:**

MisterAl wrote:

Aaron Brock wrote:

wow!

some great stats there, it really is overdue, but then again its overdue by the 23rd show

Yes it's overdue, but (to correct Noel), statistically it's an even money chance that we'll have to wait for more than 15 more games before it appears again.

Good stats Al!

That does annoy me the way Noel keeps saying statistically the £250k will be on the table soon. The boxes have no memory!

That's like saying if you roll a dice 100 times and never get a 6, you're statistically likely to roll a 6 the next time. Rubbish!

**Posted:** Sun Oct 15, 2006 9:39 pm **Author:** h2005 **Post subject:**

MisterAl wrote:

h2005 wrote:

By the way, at least Noel apologised for going on about the £250k not being on the table... but there is no statistic that says it is due on the table, is there?

NUMBER OF GAMES BEFORE WE'LL SEE THE £250,000 ON THE TABLE AGAIN

5 or fewer: 20.8%
10 or fewer: 37.2%
15 or fewer: 50.2%
20 or fewer: 60.6%
25 or fewer: 68.7%
30 or fewer: 75.2%
35 or fewer: 80.4%
40 or fewer: 84.4%
45 or fewer: 87.7%
50 or fewer: 90.2%

60 or fewer: 93.9%
70 or fewer: 96.1%
80 or fewer: 97.6%
90 or fewer: 98.5%
100 or fewer: 99.0%

Ok, good stats, but isn't a 1 in 22 chance?

**Posted:** Sun Oct 15, 2006 9:40 pm **Author:** wakey1512 **Post subject:**

Al is working them out based on the 1 in 22 chance that there already is!

**Posted:** Sun Oct 15, 2006 9:41 pm **Author:** Will **Post subject:**

On each day there is a 1 in 22 chance that the contestant's box will contain £250,000.

What MisterAl is saying is that there is a 20.8% chance the £250,000 will be on the table within the next five games.... obviously as the number of games goes up, the percentage chance of the £250k being on the table will go up.

I haven't explained that very well but hopefully it makes sense.

**Joined:** Fri Feb 24, 2006 10:04 pm **Warnings:** 0

So there's about a 6% chance we won't see it on the table again this year!

**Joined:** Thu Feb 09, 2006 11:50 pm **Warnings:** 0

Will wrote:

On each day there is a 1 in 22 chance that the contestant's box will contain £250,000.

What MisterAl is saying is that there is a 20.8% chance the £250,000 will be on the table within the next five games.... obviously as the number of games goes up, the percentage chance of the £250k being on the table will go up.

I haven't explained that very well but hopefully it makes sense.

You've explained it pretty much perfectly. Thank you. (I should probably have included a bit of explanation in my original post, actually. But still.)

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Alex 15/10

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