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kestral

PostPosted: Mon May 21, 2007 4:38 pm    Author: kestral    Post subject:
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Peter says that is at the bottom end of what he thought the offer would be. The banker calls back, and says the rate is up to 120 now!! And he raises the offer to.....

£24,120


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KP

PostPosted: Mon May 21, 2007 4:38 pm    Author: KP    Post subject:
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Ooh he's snuck it above One Rock.

104's a pretty low heart rate still for someone exercising, I bet he's just reshuffling his piles!

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"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
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Tom22

PostPosted: Mon May 21, 2007 4:38 pm    Author: Tom22    Post subject:

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Oooh now thats a lot better!

Round 3 Stats again
Boxes left: 11
Mean: £34,913.77
Offer: £24,120
Offer (%): 69.08%
Fair Deal: £12,084.27
Volatility: 1.86


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kestral

PostPosted: Mon May 21, 2007 4:38 pm    Author: kestral    Post subject:
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That's more where he thought the offer would be says Peter...


Peter says

NO DEAL


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KP

PostPosted: Mon May 21, 2007 4:39 pm    Author: KP    Post subject:
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Oh now that's dealable. Not so sure I'd take it, but it's dealable.

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Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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kestral

PostPosted: Mon May 21, 2007 4:41 pm    Author: kestral    Post subject:
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Next round
Peter gets Kascey's name wrong and calls her Stacey! Noel says that will stick now, and keeps calling her Stacey...

19 - 50p

7 - £50

Peter says this is going better than he thought at the moment, and he then waits for Noel to calls a break... Noel is worried about the banker's heart rate, and asks if there is a doctor in the house!! Someone shouts out yes, but Noel then finds they are training at university and are not qualified, and they tell him the best they could do would be to drive the banker to hospital!!! :-D


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KP

PostPosted: Mon May 21, 2007 4:44 pm    Author: KP    Post subject:
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Hah, great break link that sounds like.

This could be a massive offer if the all-blue round is completed... £40,1xx I'd reckon.

For those watching the game through this, the final nine:
1p, £1, £250, £750
£3k, £20k, £35k, £75k, £250k

_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


Last edited by KP on Mon May 21, 2007 4:46 pm, edited 1 time in total.

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kestral

PostPosted: Mon May 21, 2007 4:46 pm    Author: kestral    Post subject:
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We're back
Last box before the banker

22 - £250,000 :( Big groans for that one...

Banker time


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kestral

PostPosted: Mon May 21, 2007 4:47 pm    Author: kestral    Post subject:
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Arghhh says Noel, and it's all changed now. The banker says he is feeling very lucky at the moment. His heart rate is now down to 70...


Banker offers

£12,070


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Tom22

PostPosted: Mon May 21, 2007 4:48 pm    Author: Tom22    Post subject:

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Urgh no. He destroyed his ladder completely but I dont think thats what he's worrying about.

Round 4 Stats
Boxes left: 8
Mean: £16,750.13
Offer: £12,070
Offer (%): 72.06%
Fair Deal: £7,687.68
Volatility: 1.27

Thats a fairly good offer but I'd still go on.


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KP

PostPosted: Mon May 21, 2007 4:48 pm    Author: KP    Post subject:
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This board is stable enough to warrant a No Deal there even though it's reasonably generous as punishment offers go.

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Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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Tom22

PostPosted: Mon May 21, 2007 4:49 pm    Author: Tom22    Post subject:

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Ooh intresting to see what he would have offered with £250k there and the fact that banker would have put an extra £25,000 on the offer.


Last edited by Tom22 on Mon May 21, 2007 4:50 pm, edited 1 time in total.

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jmas07

PostPosted: Mon May 21, 2007 4:49 pm    Author: jmas07    Post subject:
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This is what I don't understand - "What if you take out those reds?"

You are more likely going to take out blues! They keep forgetting this fact to make the player deal!!! :x


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kestral

PostPosted: Mon May 21, 2007 4:50 pm    Author: kestral    Post subject:
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Peter says he would have loved to know what the offer would have been if he kept the £250,000 in play, he reckons it would have been around £35,000. The banker calls and says if he took out £20,000 or lower, it would have been £37,160.

Peter's wife joins him at the table, and they both agree that if the £75,000 goes they won't see that offer again.

Peter says

DEAL


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Muinimula

PostPosted: Mon May 21, 2007 4:51 pm    Author: Muinimula    Post subject:
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I think I would have gone on there.


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KP

PostPosted: Mon May 21, 2007 4:52 pm    Author: KP    Post subject:
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Actually there's four reds and four blues so taking out each colour is equally likely!!

I'd have gone on there but I can see why he didn't. He's clearly not one to chase his losses, though that's interesting as it's usually female contestants who make decisions like that.

_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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kestral

PostPosted: Mon May 21, 2007 4:52 pm    Author: kestral    Post subject:
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Peter tells Noel that once the £250,000 went the game changed and he couldn't take the gamble...

Proveout round

21 - £1 Almost would have been the perfect start says Noel

3 - £250 This was turning into a great round says Noel

16 - £75,000 Big cheers for newbie Pippa

Banker time


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jmas07

PostPosted: Mon May 21, 2007 4:52 pm    Author: jmas07    Post subject:
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KP wrote:
Actually there's four reds and four blues so taking out each colour is equally likely!!

I'd have gone on there but I can see why he didn't. He's clearly not one to chase his losses, though that's interesting as it's usually female contestants who make decisions like that.


3k was affordable though.


Last edited by jmas07 on Mon May 21, 2007 4:52 pm, edited 1 time in total.

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kestral

PostPosted: Mon May 21, 2007 4:52 pm    Author: kestral    Post subject:
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Banker would have offered

£8,060


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James1978

PostPosted: Mon May 21, 2007 4:52 pm    Author: James1978    Post subject:

Joined: Fri Aug 04, 2006 4:47 pm
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That was close!!!

£8,060 is believable - now take out the 35 and 20!

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"22 identical sealed boxes, and no questions except one.....do a poor deal for an easy few thousand or be brave and win a blue!"


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