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BankerSpanker
PostPosted: Mon Feb 18, 2013 5:32 pm    Author: BankerSpanker    Post subject: Re: 18/02 Ryan
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Joined: Wed Jan 19, 2011 6:01 pm
Location: Buckinghamshire, England
Warnings: 0
ROUND 4

Box 3 Abbi - £10
Box 22 Maggie - £1,000
Noel says this is a pivotal box.
Box 19 Muriel - £500
Lots of cheers for that!

Banker time...

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BankerSpanker
PostPosted: Mon Feb 18, 2013 5:34 pm    Author: BankerSpanker    Post subject: Re: 18/02 Ryan
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Joined: Wed Jan 19, 2011 6:01 pm
Location: Buckinghamshire, England
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Banker thinks cautious Ryan is no longer in the Dream Factory. Offer will not be revealed until after the break. :roll:

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Mark
PostPosted: Mon Feb 18, 2013 5:35 pm    Author: Mark    Post subject: Re: 18/02 Ryan

Joined: Thu May 18, 2006 2:09 am
Location: Ipswich
Warnings: 0
I'm expecting anything £15,000 or over here... though there is another round in it anyhow.
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Joel
PostPosted: Mon Feb 18, 2013 5:35 pm    Author: Joel    Post subject: Re: 18/02 Ryan

Joined: Fri Mar 07, 2008 8:11 pm
Location: UK
Warnings: 0
8 box with almost 25 minutes left... We could be in for a good game here.

Stats at 8 box

Average: £50,000.69
Fair deal: £23,370.22
Volatility: 1.67
Board total: £400,005.51

Banker's offer:

£17,000

1p

50p

£5









£10,000
£15,000


£50,000
£75,000

£250,000


Last edited by Joel on Mon Feb 18, 2013 5:40 pm, edited 1 time in total.

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Mark
PostPosted: Mon Feb 18, 2013 5:39 pm    Author: Mark    Post subject: Re: 18/02 Ryan

Joined: Thu May 18, 2006 2:09 am
Location: Ipswich
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Once again... Noel playing with the offer :roll:
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BankerSpanker
PostPosted: Mon Feb 18, 2013 5:40 pm    Author: BankerSpanker    Post subject: Re: 18/02 Ryan
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Banker wanted the break to think about the offer. Noel messes with the offers again.

Banker's offer:

£17,000

_________________
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Fan of classic rock and metal

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Mark
PostPosted: Mon Feb 18, 2013 5:40 pm    Author: Mark    Post subject: Re: 18/02 Ryan

Joined: Thu May 18, 2006 2:09 am
Location: Ipswich
Warnings: 0
As he is a very cautious player... I'd expect him to deal here.
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KP
PostPosted: Mon Feb 18, 2013 5:40 pm    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: 18/02 Ryan
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Joined: Sat Jan 28, 2006 8:00 pm
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After even the themed week still bought consistently defensive play, no surprise to see lowballing of the offers today against a male contestant.

Will it continue, though, on this big board?

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Joel
PostPosted: Mon Feb 18, 2013 5:40 pm    Author: Joel    Post subject: Re: 18/02 Ryan

Joined: Fri Mar 07, 2008 8:11 pm
Location: UK
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Absolutely TERRIBLE offer! I'm sorry but even Charles could tell that's awful for the board...
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BankerSpanker
PostPosted: Mon Feb 18, 2013 5:42 pm    Author: BankerSpanker    Post subject: Re: 18/02 Ryan
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Ryan asks for advice. Noel says it's a difficult decision.

Ryan says:

NO DEAL

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Fan of classic rock and metal

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KP
PostPosted: Mon Feb 18, 2013 5:44 pm    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: 18/02 Ryan
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My draft utility calculator suggests I'd turn down £26k on this board even without considering the prospect of 5- and 2-box offers...

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Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.

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BankerSpanker
PostPosted: Mon Feb 18, 2013 5:46 pm    Author: BankerSpanker    Post subject: Re: 18/02 Ryan
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Joined: Wed Jan 19, 2011 6:01 pm
Location: Buckinghamshire, England
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ROUND 5

Box 13 Laura - £50,000 :?
Noel thinks Ryan can afford to lose that.
Box 7 Sammy - 50p :D
Box 20 Josephine - £5 :D

4 reds & 1p left! :o

Banker time...

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Fan of classic rock and metal

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Mark
PostPosted: Mon Feb 18, 2013 5:46 pm    Author: Mark    Post subject: Re: 18/02 Ryan

Joined: Thu May 18, 2006 2:09 am
Location: Ipswich
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YES! Another one blue at five box :D He's most likely dealing here... but hopefully he's a good board reader at five box.

I'd expect £26,000 here.
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BankerSpanker
PostPosted: Mon Feb 18, 2013 5:48 pm    Author: BankerSpanker    Post subject: Re: 18/02 Ryan
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Banker says he has two friends. 1p and £26,000.

Banker's offer:

£26,000

No, that offer is just rubbish! :smt011

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Fan of classic rock and metal

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Mark
PostPosted: Mon Feb 18, 2013 5:48 pm    Author: Mark    Post subject: Re: 18/02 Ryan

Joined: Thu May 18, 2006 2:09 am
Location: Ipswich
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Yep, as I guessed it. CRAP offer though... should be £30,000 or just a little over.
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Joel
PostPosted: Mon Feb 18, 2013 5:48 pm    Author: Joel    Post subject: Re: 18/02 Ryan

Joined: Fri Mar 07, 2008 8:11 pm
Location: UK
Warnings: 0
Definitely made the right decision to go on :D

Stats at 5 box

Average: £70,000.00
Fair deal: £39,715.37
Volatility: 2.50
Board total: £350,000.01

Banker's offer:

£26,000

1p
£10,000
£15,000
£75,000
£250,000
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Joel
PostPosted: Mon Feb 18, 2013 5:48 pm    Author: Joel    Post subject: Re: 18/02 Ryan

Joined: Fri Mar 07, 2008 8:11 pm
Location: UK
Warnings: 0
IS THIS A BLOODY JOKE?!?!?!?! £26,000?!?!?!?!
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Mark
PostPosted: Mon Feb 18, 2013 5:49 pm    Author: Mark    Post subject: Re: 18/02 Ryan

Joined: Thu May 18, 2006 2:09 am
Location: Ipswich
Warnings: 0
No time for "extra" offers to happen if he doesn't discover the £250,000 in the next box...
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hogwild94
PostPosted: Mon Feb 18, 2013 5:49 pm    Author: hogwild94    Post subject: Re: 18/02 Ryan
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Joined: Wed Apr 20, 2011 9:16 pm
Location: The North East of Scotland
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£26,000 is a statistically poor offer, but perfectly acceptable to a cautious player.

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I am a respecter of the views of others, even if I disagree with them.
No ranting or offense is intended in any of my posts, unless I specify so.
Check out SLUDGE for original, non-cover rock music!

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BankerSpanker
PostPosted: Mon Feb 18, 2013 5:49 pm    Author: BankerSpanker    Post subject: Re: 18/02 Ryan
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Joined: Wed Jan 19, 2011 6:01 pm
Location: Buckinghamshire, England
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Banker rings and asks what Ryan had in his box last game. He had the £250k!

Ryan says:

DEAL :smt011

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