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kestral

PostPosted: Fri Jul 08, 2011 4:35 pm    Author: kestral    Post subject: Re: 08/07 Andy
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Round 4

Tony next and he gives us a joke.

5 - £250 Tony

14 - 10p Glenda

Now find the 1p says Noel

4 - £1,000 Jacky

Banker time

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KP

PostPosted: Fri Jul 08, 2011 4:35 pm    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: 08/07 Andy
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They're saving the generosity increase for the Acceptable Deal Point of 8-box obviously - and that is a good enough round to make one look reasonable...

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kestral

PostPosted: Fri Jul 08, 2011 4:36 pm    Author: kestral    Post subject: Re: 08/07 Andy
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That is a huge improvement on the previous rounds says Noel. Noel talks about the chances of Andy winning the 1p, and says it is highly unlikely, but the Banker calls and says he has a 1 in 8 chance at the moment.

Banker's offer:

£7,000

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kestral

PostPosted: Fri Jul 08, 2011 4:37 pm    Author: kestral    Post subject: Re: 08/07 Andy
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Andy gets advice from his mum and Candi, Charlotte says that the Banker is trying to play on his emotions talking about Em's game.

Andy says

NO DEAL

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kestral

PostPosted: Fri Jul 08, 2011 4:38 pm    Author: kestral    Post subject: Re: 08/07 Andy
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Noel calls another break...

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BankerSpanker

PostPosted: Fri Jul 08, 2011 4:40 pm    Author: BankerSpanker    Post subject: Re: 08/07 Andy
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What is with these rubbish offers? £1,000 was like 9% of the average.
£7,000 again, is terrible. :smt019

By the way, I'm sick of that tune that plays whenever a joke is coming.

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Last edited by BankerSpanker on Fri Jul 08, 2011 4:41 pm, edited 1 time in total.

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cfd

PostPosted: Fri Jul 08, 2011 4:40 pm    Author: cfd    Post subject: Re: 08/07 Andy

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8-boxboard please anyone?


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KP

PostPosted: Fri Jul 08, 2011 4:42 pm    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: 08/07 Andy
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I make it £3k, £10k, £15k, £35k, £75k, and three blues. Don't know or care which blues.

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I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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Michael DeVere

PostPosted: Fri Jul 08, 2011 4:43 pm    Author: Michael DeVere    Post subject: Re: 08/07 Andy

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cfd wrote:
8-boxboard please anyone?


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cfd

PostPosted: Fri Jul 08, 2011 4:44 pm    Author: cfd    Post subject: Re: 08/07 Andy

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Cheers :)

I think £7,000 is more than fair in that case. But given the stakes I'd probably just about push on.


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kestral

PostPosted: Fri Jul 08, 2011 4:45 pm    Author: kestral    Post subject: Re: 08/07 Andy
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We're back

Round 5

7 - £5 Deb

12 - £15,000 Fred

20 - £10,000 Barnaby

Banker time

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cfd

PostPosted: Fri Jul 08, 2011 4:46 pm    Author: cfd    Post subject: Re: 08/07 Andy

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£10k is my lowest deal here.


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KP

PostPosted: Fri Jul 08, 2011 4:47 pm    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: 08/07 Andy
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That round should set up a nice five-figure Deal.

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Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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kestral

PostPosted: Fri Jul 08, 2011 4:47 pm    Author: kestral    Post subject: Re: 08/07 Andy
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Noel asks what are the chances of the 1p coming to the table again today, and the Banker calls and says 1 in 5. The Banker says that Andy has no back up on the board at the moment, but if he keeps the top 2 in play it will be to his advantage. The Banker asks for a little negotiation with Andy, and tries to find out what target Andy has, but Andy won't reveal anything.

Banker's offer:

£13,000

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KP

PostPosted: Fri Jul 08, 2011 4:48 pm    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: 08/07 Andy
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I'd take that.

Aside from anything else, it doesn't even totally rule out a Power 5 win because the £3k/£35k BG is on and I'd take it if it came up.

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Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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cfd

PostPosted: Fri Jul 08, 2011 4:49 pm    Author: cfd    Post subject: Re: 08/07 Andy

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lol go banker with the 1/5 answer!

Easy deal imo. Personal preference though. Id almost be treating the £3k as a blue here.


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kestral

PostPosted: Fri Jul 08, 2011 4:49 pm    Author: kestral    Post subject: Re: 08/07 Andy
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Noel asks about the conversation, and Andy confirms that the Banker was after a target, but Andy says that isn't a good idea giving him a target. Andy's mum says that he could do a lot with £13,000 and the next round could go horribly wrong. Andy gets more advice from the wings, and then the Banker calls and says he loves it when the contestants have just seen a 1p win.

Andy says

DEAL

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KP

PostPosted: Fri Jul 08, 2011 4:51 pm    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: 08/07 Andy
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I don't think the stakes are high enough to dismiss £3k as a blue, but it's not a huge boost. It's a two-box game, for sure, and with the ratio between those two my rule is to look for an offer to match what I'd expect on the £35k-high finish. With current Banker convention, that's just over £10k, maybe closer to £15k if you keep the orange as the kicker.

The offer of £13k is therefore enough; I'd just about take £10k if it were three blues with those top two, but the orange bumps that up to maybe £11,500. Good play regardless of the previous game.

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Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


Last edited by KP on Fri Jul 08, 2011 4:52 pm, edited 1 time in total.

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kestral

PostPosted: Fri Jul 08, 2011 4:51 pm    Author: kestral    Post subject: Re: 08/07 Andy
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Round 6 - Proveout round

19 - £35,000 Alphonso

16 - £500 Candi

9 - £75,000 Max

Banker time with 1p and £3,000 remaining

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KP

PostPosted: Fri Jul 08, 2011 4:52 pm    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: 08/07 Andy
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And the OPW at the last minute. Nicely done :)

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Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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