Deal or No Deal Fansite and Forum: Welcome to DOND, the home of Deal or No Deal fans.

Deal or No Deal Fansite and Forum: Welcome to DOND, the home of Deal or No Deal fans.
It is currently Fri Jan 17, 2020 11:19 pm Last visit was: Fri Jan 17, 2020 11:19 pm




Deal or No Deal forum index » UK DoND Forums » Deal or No Deal Show Commentaries & DiscussionAll times are UTC [ DST ]



 [ 84 posts ]  Go to page Previous  1, 2, 3, 4, 5  Next
Author Message

Tom22

PostPosted: Mon Nov 26, 2007 7:39 pm    Author: Tom22    Post subject:

Joined: Sat Jun 17, 2006 12:12 pm
Warnings: 0
Wow... of all the games over the last month to miss it had to be this one... 4 of the power 5 at 8 box was amazing and £40k wasnt a terrible amount to go away with, Well done Loraine!

( 4oD dont let me down now! )


Last edited by Tom22 on Mon Nov 26, 2007 10:03 pm, edited 1 time in total.

Top
 Profile  

h2005

PostPosted: Mon Nov 26, 2007 7:42 pm    Author: h2005    Post subject:
Administrator & Global Moderator
User avatar

Joined: Thu Feb 16, 2006 3:13 pm
Location: Chelmsford, Essex
Warnings: 0
I think Noel actually seemed a bit scared by her, hence why he didn't bang on too much about how she could've got £75k if she'd played on etc... I think she greatly confused him by admitting she thought she had 50p in her box!

And would the banker have really offered a swap and no cash offer at the final two? I can't answer that question, but I suspect... "yes" is the answer... :?

_________________
Image


Top
 Profile E-mail  

KP

PostPosted: Mon Nov 26, 2007 7:52 pm    Author: KP    Post subject:
International Forums Moderator
User avatar

Joined: Sat Jan 28, 2006 8:00 pm
Warnings: 0
SrWilson wrote:
WTF I would NEVER deal with 4 amounts higher !

daniel123 wrote:
Good, I dont think anyone else in their right minds would either.

*points out that £34,999 on Artak's final eight would be an AMO but with four amounts higher, and is proud to not be in his right mind for saying he'd Deal both that and his real £28k*

_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


Top
 Profile  

James1978

PostPosted: Mon Nov 26, 2007 8:43 pm    Author: James1978    Post subject:

Joined: Fri Aug 04, 2006 4:47 pm
Location: Darlington, NE England
Warnings: 0
What strange game - it's actually refreshing for someone to say they think they have a low value in their box!! Usually it's the other way round.

I would have gone on when she dealt, but actually won less money as I'd have gone at 32k when it became really unstable! It was one of those odd proveouts that looks is if the board is being totally destryoed, but at the last minute there's more in the box (a bit like Nicola's was actually). It wouldn't have even taken a ridiculaous risk to get the 75k due to the swap. Interesting that Noel was totally the opposite of with sarah's game - she had pocket change in the box but treated it as a travesty due to higher proveout offers - whereas Loraine took the biggest offer but undersold the box, he treated it like aplayer win almost.

.
But I despised the swap. At least in PJ's game he gave the banker an excuse to do it (by not eliminating the swapped box), but can't see what evidence there was to give Loraine it. I know she said she thought she had 50p in her box after dealing, but presumably she wouldn't have said it in active play, so there was no excuse whatsoever.

All it will do is make the players deal early if they think that will happen on Power 5 v 1p (or possibly any other low blue), which really isn't what we need at the moment.

And I think it still is possible for this month to have the lowest ever peak win - Jan 06 has the previous lowest peak with Jessica's 41k. (Unless you count Oct 05). ;-)

_________________
Image

"22 identical sealed boxes, and no questions except one.....do a poor deal for an easy few thousand or be brave and win a blue!"


Top
 Profile  

Michael DeVere

PostPosted: Mon Nov 26, 2007 9:25 pm    Author: Michael DeVere    Post subject:

Joined: Fri Jul 14, 2006 6:46 pm
Warnings: 0
Well that was certainly one of the strongest games that i've seen in a while, especially at 8 box. The £40,000 offer was good and that's what I guessed he would offer when I watched. However I would of no dealt with the power 4 in place and may have taken the next offer of £32,000. Well done Loraine on getting £40,000.

And was Loraine the current mummy of the group? If so does that mean she's broken the curse of the mummy by winning £40,000?


Top
 Profile E-mail  

Tom22

PostPosted: Mon Nov 26, 2007 9:40 pm    Author: Tom22    Post subject:

Joined: Sat Jun 17, 2006 12:12 pm
Warnings: 0
I've just watched it quickly on 4oD and that board was very impressive and we probably wont see another one like it for a very long time!


Last edited by Tom22 on Mon Nov 26, 2007 10:20 pm, edited 1 time in total.

Top
 Profile  

Tom

PostPosted: Mon Nov 26, 2007 10:15 pm    Author: Tom    Post subject:

Joined: Wed May 24, 2006 11:15 am
Location: Suffolk. That's as detailed as I'm going..
Warnings: 0
Wow..an interesting game...well done Lorraine. £40k is a lovely amount.


Top
 Profile E-mail  

basicasic

PostPosted: Mon Nov 26, 2007 10:25 pm    Author: basicasic    Post subject:
Permanently Banned
User avatar

Joined: Thu Mar 08, 2007 12:05 pm
Location: Up a ladder buffing my hose.
Warnings: 0
Well I swear I hadn't notice Loraine on the wings but I soon started to take notice as the game progressed and the board developed into something really strong.

By 8 box with 4 of the power 5 left it was going to take a big offer to get her out of there. And £40k was big. Too big to resist really for a dealer. So a fairly insipid deal considering the golden board and despite a proveout that knocked out a lot of the big reds yet another opportunity wasted.

I know £40k is sizeable money but it's a real disappoinment when a board like that is squandered for the lack of a bit of courage especially with the £100k and £250k staring you invitingly in the face.

_________________
Image


Top
 Profile  

James1978

PostPosted: Mon Nov 26, 2007 10:50 pm    Author: James1978    Post subject:

Joined: Fri Aug 04, 2006 4:47 pm
Location: Darlington, NE England
Warnings: 0
I too have to admit to wanting to see a ND at 40k - it was like Steven's board (in his proveout) when he got offered 55k, so I expected something similar. (Or at least nudging 50k). With the 15k there as well, it was totally impossible to leave a 1-box game at 5-box too. I thought something really special could be on the cards so was disappointed when she dealt, even though 40k is massive!)

Though I shouldn't complain becuase I would have won less than she did (albeit only by 20%) :)

_________________
Image

"22 identical sealed boxes, and no questions except one.....do a poor deal for an easy few thousand or be brave and win a blue!"


Top
 Profile  

Power5

PostPosted: Mon Nov 26, 2007 11:07 pm    Author: Power5    Post subject:
User avatar

Joined: Fri Feb 24, 2006 10:04 pm
Warnings: 0
Normally I would be desperate to see a no-deal there, but today I didn't really mind as I just wanted that long run without a big win to end, and expected if she no-dealt it would go wrong as most other games have recently!

Anyway, it's not those kind of boards that give us huge play-to-the-end wins, unless the Banker makes little effort to buy the box (e.g. £75k Kirsty) or there's a Super-Wakey in the chair. You generally need the turnaround game for that, like Laura, Lynne, Gaz or Maria, where there's no huge money on offer until right at the end.

But back to today's game, who knows if the "PJ offer" would really have come out there? I'm not convinced, there isn't even an LTL box to bail them out if it goes wrong now! But maybe we will see it in active play again one day soon... who knows. :? Anyway, well done Loraine for ending that run of (comparatively) low wins.

_________________
Image
Oh and five others, guess I need to update this!


Top
 Profile  

James1978

PostPosted: Mon Nov 26, 2007 11:11 pm    Author: James1978    Post subject:

Joined: Fri Aug 04, 2006 4:47 pm
Location: Darlington, NE England
Warnings: 0
Maybe the banker just did it to scare the waiting players into thinking that a swap is possible to make them deal earlier? Though I think it may have been more appropriate to do it on an irrelevant last pair, such as 2 blues, or something like 1k/3k when Tom would have been "offered" a postcard! :)

_________________
Image

"22 identical sealed boxes, and no questions except one.....do a poor deal for an easy few thousand or be brave and win a blue!"


Top
 Profile  

NoDeal!

PostPosted: Mon Nov 26, 2007 11:24 pm    Author: NoDeal!    Post subject:

Joined: Sun Sep 09, 2007 1:19 pm
Warnings: 0
Everyone keeps saying 40k was such a good offer but I don't think so. She had 4 higher with an excellent backup of 15k!! However, I don't fault her for dealing because the banker has not been generous with his 5-box offers yesterday. For me, I would've turned down anything under 70k at 8-box. Just like Artak's, the board was so strong I would need a very well AMO offer. I would've won 75k today without a doubt. 32k on her 5-box board should have been 50k in my opinion.

_________________
I am from the US and this DOND is 10x better than ours!


Top
 Profile  

Simon F

PostPosted: Mon Nov 26, 2007 11:54 pm    Author: Simon F    Post subject:
User avatar

Joined: Sat Jan 21, 2006 11:12 pm
Location: Leeds
Warnings: 0
Statistically speaking an 8 box board like today is a nightmare if you play the game on probability as the odds of taking 1 of the big 4 out are exactly the same as taking 2 of the 4 out (about 42.86%) and the odds of having either the dream round (keeping the big 4 in play) and the nightmare round (hitting 3 of the big 4) are both 7.14%.

It really is a coin flip as to whether you have a very good board or a horrible one (I'm counting the £15K as disposable today BTW).


Top
 Profile  

Zell

PostPosted: Tue Nov 27, 2007 12:01 am    Author: Zell    Post subject:
User avatar

Joined: Sun Mar 04, 2007 11:45 am
Location: Oxford, UK
Warnings: 0
This sort of ties in with all the statistical analysis the Wall Street Journal (or some such publication) did about DOND: they said that on very strong boards such as today, the players tended to be more risk-averse, i.e. so scared of the dream board falling apart that they deal earlier, whereas if Loraine had only had the top 2 reds and a smattering of other boxes, she would have been more likely to chase the big money.

I've found that in games of DOND I've played I tend to follow the same strategy - get out while the going is good for fear of it collapsing, and gambling to the end if only one or two large amounts are still in play.


Top
 Profile  

StatsMan

PostPosted: Tue Nov 27, 2007 12:06 am    Author: StatsMan    Post subject:

Joined: Wed Jul 04, 2007 11:55 pm
Warnings: 0
Amazing game today, just what we needed after the recent run. £40,000 was a huge sum of money, and I don't blame Loraine for taking it, but I'd have been enticed to carry on, simply by the fact that there was a 50% chance of £50k or more in the box (and therefore 4 amounts higher)!

I think the 5-box offer was actually a bit deflated, I'd have expected £50k on that board with 2 of the power 5 remaining, even with the low values. It was difficult to evaluate - on the one hand, it's quite weak (1p and 50p), yet on the other quite strong (£75k and £250k). In a way, my decision at 8-box would commit me to 2-box anyway, unless this offer was exceptional. As it turned out, I would not have swapped and won £75,000, and that would have been from a considerable collapse!

_________________
Image


Top
 Profile E-mail  

Billy

PostPosted: Tue Nov 27, 2007 12:25 am    Author: Billy    Post subject:
User avatar

Joined: Sat Jul 22, 2006 11:32 pm
Location: London, UK
Warnings: 0
Wow, the new filming series certainly seems to be helping! Biggest win in absolutely forever today, and what a board as well, amazing how she kept those biggies for so long. I did think she'd made the wrong decision when she dealt, as there were four higher than the offer so she couldn't lose whatever she did, she was bound to keep at least one of them in play, but was luckily proved wrong, it really was spooky how she destroyed the board right after dealing! She had £75,000 but with £40,000 it was still a great result.

Well done Loraine, and I hope we continue the luck with a super Tuesday game tomorrow!

_________________
"Welcome to PACK IT IN OR CARRY ON!"
Image


Top
 Profile  

CrazyChair

PostPosted: Tue Nov 27, 2007 12:37 am    Author: CrazyChair    Post subject:

Joined: Thu Jan 11, 2007 11:34 pm
Warnings: 0
That was a fantastic game today, although I admit that I was screaming no deal at the TV at £40k. The banker could easily have offered in the region of £50k as the 4 big numbers were there. I don't like the no money but a swap offer at 2 box. It doesn't seem necessary.


Top
 Profile  

"The Banker"

PostPosted: Tue Nov 27, 2007 1:43 am    Author: "The Banker"    Post subject:
User avatar

Joined: Sat Mar 11, 2006 1:24 am
Warnings: 0
Welldone Loraine! Enjoy £40,000! :D

_________________
“Tell me," Wittgenstein's asked a friend, "why do people always say, it was natural for man to assume that the sun went round the earth rather than that the earth was rotating?" His friend replied, "Well, obviously because it just looks as though the Sun is going round the Earth."
Wittgenstein replied, "Well, what would it have looked like if it had looked as though the Earth was rotating?”
― Ludwig Wittgenstein


Top
 Profile  

Aramid

PostPosted: Tue Nov 27, 2007 2:17 am    Author: Aramid    Post subject:
User avatar

Joined: Mon Feb 12, 2007 2:34 pm
Location: Manila,Philippines
Warnings: 0
I believe Loraine had done a great job on her 40,000 win. I would have dealt at that offer. In the end I would not swap but my target amount is simply 20,000 if I were in her shoes.

_________________
Image


Top
 Profile  

Rich D

PostPosted: Tue Nov 27, 2007 10:11 am    Author: Rich D    Post subject:

Joined: Mon Aug 20, 2007 9:28 am
Location: Deepest darkest Suffolk
Warnings: 0
h2005 wrote:
I think Noel actually seemed a bit scared by her, hence why he didn't bang on too much about how she could've got £75k if she'd played on etc... I think she greatly confused him by admitting she thought she had 50p in her box!


I thought exactly the same. If Noel had been presenting the show "with honesty," then he would have criticised Loraine for not using her powers to wipe out all the remaining blues after she'd dealt... and he would've complained about her not swapping when she thought she had a low blue in her box...

Play on with honesty next time, please, Noel!

_________________
F1 Steff -- she's not just a Brolly Dolly


Top
 Profile  
Display posts from previous:  Sort by  
 [ 84 posts ]  Go to page Previous  1, 2, 3, 4, 5  Next
Deal or No Deal forum index » UK DoND Forums » Deal or No Deal Show Commentaries & DiscussionAll times are UTC [ DST ]


Who is online

Users browsing this forum: Google and 0 guests


You cannot post new topics in this forum
You cannot reply to topics in this forum
You cannot edit your posts in this forum
You cannot delete your posts in this forum

Jump to:  

Deal Or No Deal

[ View who is online ]

Powered by phpBB © 2000, 2002, 2005, 2007 phpBB Group
Copyright ©2008 dond.co.uk All rights reserved

www.dond.co.uk is not responsible for the content posted by private individuals on this website. The views expressed herein are solely the opinions of the individuals that produced them and not necessarily the views of the owner, or of the admins, or of the moderators of this website.


Deal or No Deal Online Games | Tava Tea Weight Loss | Go Go Hamster | Wii | Wii Fit | Xbox 360 | Playstation 3 | Sunglasses | Wii U Pre-order | Dropship | GoGo Hamster | Kidizoom Camera | Whitening teeth | Admin Zone Directory