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KP

PostPosted: Tue Nov 18, 2008 3:59 pm    Author: KP    Post subject: Miljoenenjacht - November 16 2008 (SPOILER)
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PETER is the player for the first Miljoenenjacht of the series. He's an old man with a small amount of receding grey hair, and chooses CASE 10. Sounds like he wants a car amongst other things. His wife's in the audeince and looks about 15 years younger than he does.

Changes for this series: there's now a US-style button, enclosed within a very clearly oversized box (much taller than the US one). I approve, as Linda often had to ask the question more than once, especially for unexpected No Deals. The table is bigger to fit the button in as well as the case. Linda demonstrates the box carefully as it's the first time it's appeared.

Board is the same.

ROUND 1
1 - €0.01! (prediction was €1,000,000 - that made it even better!)
2 - €2,500,000! His wife shakes her head.
'Number 3, or a new tactic?'
3 - €400,000! (CORRECT GUESS for €24,000! Linda wonders if it'll be more than Peter wins!)
4 - €100,000
5 - €500,000! So much for the first case...
6 - €750,000!!

Not a good start, everything was in at least six figures after the first one! So much for Dave!

OFFER €18,500 | NO DEAL (and an outrageously OTT graphic!)

ROUND 2
21 - €2,500. Plan change worked!
26 - €200,000 (prediction was €5,000,000...)
14 - €5,000,000!! Linda swears, and who can blame her? He's hit seven of the top nine in nine picks!
18 - €5,000
15 - €1,000,000!!

Linda puts her head in her hands. The top six gone in two rounds. This is by far the worst board I have ever seen in any DoND, ever.

OFFER €8,000 | NO DEAL

It can't get worse. I'll check at the end how his board might have looked like sticking to his system.

His wife picks the next one. Not a surprise the way this is going.

ROUND 3
22 - €10! And after that she's picking the next one too!
9 - €1,000. She's picking the next one too...
12 - €50,000. Normally disposable here but not tonight! She still selects this one...
24 - €100

OFFER €18,500

First obvious bit of psychology I've seen this Banker do! NO DEAL.

ROUND 4
17 - €5
13 - €50
8 - €20! Almost the perfect round - a bit late to really help, but there's still lots of money here.

OFFER €32,000

Genuinely tricky decision here. NO DEAL is warmly applauded, although his wife has a bit of a frown. I think that's just her face though...

ROUND 5
20 - €0.50!
Someone predicted the cent, which went first case! This leads to a break and then...
19 - €500!

The Final Six
€0.20
€1
€10,000
€25,000
€75,000
€300,000

It's all a bit 'really good daytime board' to me!

OFFER €54,000

I was thinking before the last pick €55-60k was the right area, this is painfully close and gets the audience chattering amongst themselves, which I always enjoy hearing. His wife offered advice I couldn't understand. His decision... NO DEAL. Linda's response? She bursts into an odd high-pitched... something. I can't judge it.

ROUND 6
23 - €1!

The mean, if I've got the maths right, is €82,000.04. I reckon this offer could be very close to it.

OFFER €66,000

Not what I thought and the audience response was silent at first. I'd go on. Wife again offers advice lost to me at this end, but I think it might be leaning Deal. The case-openers seem to be shouting/gesturing No Deal... but will he press the button? DEAL! Big OTT graphics! Considering the frankly shocking start that's a great result, but I'd have played on there (if I'd not taken an earlier offer...).

Who's right?

ROUND 7 (proveout, with rather nice blue graphics denoting the Deal amount)
11 - €25,000

This would have maybe been €85,000, but no proveout offers here.

ROUND 8 (proveout)
16 - €10,000 (correct guess for €4,000)

This would certainly have been in six figures. Linda seemed to hint as much.

ROUND 9 (proveout)
25 - €75,000 (correct guess for €3,000)

Disastrous start, stable mid-game board, and now an all-or-peanuts final two. A Banker's Gamble would be viable here but we won't get one...

The last case-opener is insistent €300,000 is in his case...

wrong. He (7) had €0.20, Case 10 had €300,000, which means he took all eight €100k+ amounts on the wings in eleven picks. He was always up against it from there and while I'd have gone either earlier or later, his decisions were by no means bad.

What if he'd kept his system? The following rounds would have been:

ROUND 2
7 - €0.20
8 - €20
9 - €1,000
11 (as 10 is his case) - €25,000
12 - €50,000 (which would have been disposable with €5m and €1m in play)

ROUND 3
13 - €50
14 - €5,000,000
15 - €1,000,000 (so much for this being a better game then!)
16 - €10,000

ROUND 4
17 - €5 (chosen at the same time as in the real game!!)
18 - €5,000
19 - €500

ROUND 5
20 - €50
21 - €2,500

The Final Six
€1
€10
€100
€75,000
€200,000
€300,000

ROUND 6
22 - €10

ROUND 7
23 - €1

ROUND 8
24 - €100 (bizarre final three!)

ROUND 9
25 - €75,000 (again chosen at the same time!)

€200,000 / €300,000 finish.

Now that would have been dramatic, but rather favoured Wakeyism...

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