Last week, utterly convinced by the utter inability of the England side (weren't you?) and completely startled by the 13/2 available on Slovenia to beat them in Port Elizabeth, I lumped £200 on them, to exploit the free bet offer from Bet365 to the max.
Of course, England turned up for the one and only time all tournament in that match, and my 'free bet bonus' turned out to have the nasty catch that I had to roll through my deposit and bonus three times. That's both, three times. Meaning I had to place £1,000 in bets before I could withdraw anything. Now, I could have quit there and taken the £200 loss. But no, I'd basically been given a Free Go. A Bookie's Gamble, if you like.
And I could split the bets anyway I liked so I didn't have to bet in £200 lumps, so I thought 'oh, what the hell, I should be able to come close to breaking even, and I'm going to have a lot of fun trying'. So for all intents and purposes, we begin here, with £1,000
I soon started to wish I
did have to bet in £200 lumps when I put £30 at 7/2 on the Dutch to win in 90 minutes against Brazil for my first bet.
The winning streak continued with £11.11 on Uruguay-Ghana to go to extra time at 5/2, leaving me about £130 up on the day.
The thing with sports betting, that is completely absent from lotteries and casino games (which I still avoid like the plague), is the element of skill. Or, perhaps being more fair, the entertainment derived from predictions. As someone who has never supported a team, it gives me the adrenaline rush and feeling of belonging that I have long lacked, making every game that much more exciting - and it only takes a few quid to do that. Now, finally, I truly understand the kick people get out of gambling - and because I'm betting with sums I can afford to lose (I have significant savings for someone my age, and a well-paid secure job with excellent prospects starting in September) and avoiding wild outside bets the likes of which are common in horse racing, I feel very able to take a chance knowing that in the long-run I will probably, at worst, be nursing modest losses. The utility derived from the added excitement provided in my sports-watching (and the added sports-watching itself from Bet365's streaming of everything from Australia's NRL to the Filipino basketball league - yes, really) is arguably worth it - it's certainly a lot better than spending it on beer, as far as I'm concerned!
(Deal or No Deal has a semi-skill element, certainly in terms of reading the board and playing the psychological battles, but it lives only within itself. Sports betting lives within a wider universe of discussion about sport, and to me that's much more interesting, much as I have loved Deal or No Deal.)
On this little thread, I'll be keeping you all in touch with my predictions, and possibly inviting you all to offer advice...!
SUMMARY AS OF 1530 BST, JULY 3 2010Turnover: £241.11 (£1,000 required before withdrawal)
Returns so far: £173.89
Active bets: £20 treble: Serena Williams to win final @ 1.16 / Rafael Nadal to win final @ 1.3 / more than 2.5 goals in Germany-Argentina @ 1.95 - returns £59.15
So excuse me, I'm off to cheer all the attacking players in Cape Town! :