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Deal or No Deal forum index » DoND Activities, Games & Quizzes Forums » UK & Worldwide Forum Series » KP's SeriesAll times are UTC [ DST ]



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Aaron Brock

PostPosted: Fri Oct 11, 2019 12:38 am    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 3.3 | Game #87 [Aaron]

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Annoyingly was thinking really quite close to that actually! But we won't dwell on that. There's still far too much to discover in this game yet, and I at least want to find out what we can do in the next three boxes - NO DEAL.

1, 4 and 18 here please.

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KP

PostPosted: Fri Oct 11, 2019 12:43 am    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 3.3 | Game #87 [Aaron]
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By the sounds of it, if you had to predict the first three offers you'd have gone 2-for-3! Instead, you're 1-for-1 which is clearly a higher percentage :P Let's go 100% instead of 2/3 in this round as well eh?

Box 1 - £20,000 :| Now very clear where we stand...

Box 4 - £104,250!! One. Box. Game.

Box 18 -
£50! Whew.

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KP

PostPosted: Fri Oct 11, 2019 12:44 am    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 3.3 | Game #87 [Aaron]
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And we now have this 8-box. Very different game now!

10p
£1
£5
£250
£750

£5,000
£10,000
£173,750


Two predictions left and three chances to use them...

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Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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Aaron Brock

PostPosted: Fri Oct 11, 2019 12:45 am    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 3.3 | Game #87 [Aaron]

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
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Damn, this feels like a worse prediction to make than three boxes ago, but I have to try here...

PLAYER'S PREDICTION

£8,300


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KP

PostPosted: Fri Oct 11, 2019 12:46 am    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 3.3 | Game #87 [Aaron]
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BANKER'S OFFER

£10,250



He thought you'd go £9,001 or lower... and you did! One and only one chance to get an EV+ 23 now... Deal or No Deal?

_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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Aaron Brock

PostPosted: Fri Oct 11, 2019 12:48 am    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 3.3 | Game #87 [Aaron]

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
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Good grief I don't like where this is heading at all... That feels like a very good sum of money to bail with at this stage, and so I will before this thing gets any worse :P DEAL!

I'd have gone for 2, 10 and 20 next please.

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KP

PostPosted: Fri Oct 11, 2019 12:50 am    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 3.3 | Game #87 [Aaron]
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It's a DEAL! £10,250 is yours, of course you still have a prediction in hand that could make for some interesting proveout action so the Banker really does have to play with honesty now! Thankfully his spreadsheet makes sure of that anyway ;)

Box 2 - £173,750! THAT'S THE BULLSEYE! Second time in three games someone's escaped earlier than expected and just in time!

Box 10 - 10p...

Box 20 - £1, would've been a lot scarier if that round was reversed eh?

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"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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KP

PostPosted: Fri Oct 11, 2019 12:51 am    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 3.3 | Game #87 [Aaron]
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You can predict on your 2-box, or alternatively on this 5-box...

£5
£250
£750

£5,000
£10,000

_________________
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Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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Aaron Brock

PostPosted: Fri Oct 11, 2019 12:53 am    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 3.3 | Game #87 [Aaron]

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
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Yeah I think it's better to go here than be left with a blue/red finish to be clutching at straws with...

PLAYER'S PREDICTION

£1,850


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KP

PostPosted: Fri Oct 11, 2019 12:56 am    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 3.3 | Game #87 [Aaron]
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BANKER'S OFFER

£2,222



Short of the mark with the low stakes and stability, 16.74% out... we now know your money menu...

DOUBLE STAKES
MONEY BACK
HALF
NOTHING


We play on...

_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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Aaron Brock

PostPosted: Fri Oct 11, 2019 12:58 am    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 3.3 | Game #87 [Aaron]

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
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Clearly effed that right up then :P I'll finish with 5, 17 and 22 please.

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KP

PostPosted: Fri Oct 11, 2019 1:03 am    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 3.3 | Game #87 [Aaron]
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Box 5 - £5,000...

Box 17 - £10,000! Boom.

Box 22 - £5 to leave £250 or £750... anticlimactic as you like.

So the Banker is going to have some fun.

BANKER'S OFFER

BOX 23 CHALLENGE



If you Deal this offer and accept the Box 23 Challenge, you go back into live play of sorts, win one of those two blues in addition to your £10,250. You must then spend exactly double your box win on buying Box 23, keeping the rest of your winnings untouched...

...Deal or No Deal?

_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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Aaron Brock

PostPosted: Fri Oct 11, 2019 1:06 am    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 3.3 | Game #87 [Aaron]

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
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An interesting little tempting gamble, especially at these stakes! If I had another £500 to my name I'd probably be taking this on, but to ensure a five-figure win I'll stand my ground and say NO DEAL.

I would have said NO SWAP here.

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KP

PostPosted: Fri Oct 11, 2019 1:08 am    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 3.3 | Game #87 [Aaron]
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Locking in the fifth five-figure win in seven games, not bad when the all-time series median win is ten grand!

Box 16 had £250 - Box 15 had the £750 - so you actually would have been guaranteed £10,000, with £500 going on this 23...

DOUBLE STAKES
MONEY BACK
HALF
NOTHING

_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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 Profile  

Aaron Brock

PostPosted: Fri Oct 11, 2019 1:09 am    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 3.3 | Game #87 [Aaron]

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
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Fair enough! Would've been Option 4 here.

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KP

PostPosted: Fri Oct 11, 2019 1:12 am    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 3.3 | Game #87 [Aaron]
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There were 4 items in your list. Here they are in random order:

MONEY BACK
NOTHING
DOUBLE STAKES
HALF

IP: 81.104.176.120
Timestamp: 2019-10-11 00:11:24 UTC

You'd have turned the £500 into £250 and ended up with exactly the same result so it truly made no difference! £10,250 was always yours!

_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


Top
 Profile  

Aaron Brock

PostPosted: Fri Oct 11, 2019 1:15 am    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 3.3 | Game #87 [Aaron]

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
Warnings: 0
Hahaha textbook ending! Well I'm glad I jumped off the bus before it started flying uncontrollably downhill! Thanks for that game :smt023

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Eurovision enthusiast and fellow member of #teambat.


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