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Deal or No Deal forum index » DoND Activities, Games & Quizzes Forums » UK & Worldwide Forum Series » KP's SeriesAll times are UTC [ DST ]



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KP

PostPosted: Sat Jun 15, 2019 1:24 pm    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 3.2 | Game #56 [Leah]
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Especially now we know they will, in fact, be cars. That tends to help. :)

Box 16 - £500! Down to four blues, nice.

Box 7 - CAR. One from each block of the board is now the worst-case scenario...

Box 20 - £50! And it is very much not the scenario that plays out! Still the three five-figure sums at 8-box!

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KP

PostPosted: Sat Jun 15, 2019 1:25 pm    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 3.2 | Game #56 [Leah]
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This is not the 8-box the Banker planned for three rounds ago.

50p
£10
£250

CAR
CAR
£35,000
£50,000
£79,500


One prediction left, you've locked in an actual car for Box 23 and those two backups at least, but you could still make it a much better car. Prediction time now, or saving it?

_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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JDGA

PostPosted: Sat Jun 15, 2019 1:29 pm    Author: JDGA    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 3.2 | Game #56 [Leah]

Joined: Tue Nov 11, 2014 4:23 pm
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Sure, with how quickly this is picking up I think we're in a good spot to lock in the car.

PLAYER'S PREDICTION

£13,131


Palindromes :)

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KP

PostPosted: Sat Jun 15, 2019 1:35 pm    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 3.2 | Game #56 [Leah]
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Inside 20% and we lock in an actual car as opposed to the Twizy, which is technically classified in Europe as a "heavy quadricycle"...

BANKER'S OFFER

£13,500



OH DID WE EVER! 2.73% out, three steps up the ladder, the car is now confirmed to be an Audi A1 worth £17,735!

That improvement actually invalidates the £13,500 offer... it's replaced with this.

BANKER'S OFFER

£15,151



PALINDROME! You'd have a 23 option on that of course. Deal or No Deal?

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"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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JDGA

PostPosted: Sat Jun 15, 2019 1:40 pm    Author: JDGA    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 3.2 | Game #56 [Leah]

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Phew, quite happy with that pickup!
The uplifted offer is good, but with the board this stable it's hard to see a need to call it quits! NO DEAL, thankyou, and Boxes 11, 4, and 5 next!

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KP

PostPosted: Sat Jun 15, 2019 1:45 pm    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 3.2 | Game #56 [Leah]
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The stability drives this game, no car pun intended!

Box 11 - CAR. Down to one Audi, but on this board that's not really an ow anymore.

Box 4 - £250! Your top three at 18-box are still your top three at the squashdown...

Box 5 -
£50! AND STILL AT 5-BOX!!

_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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KP

PostPosted: Sat Jun 15, 2019 1:49 pm    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 3.2 | Game #56 [Leah]
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The Banker is speechless. This wasn't meant to happen, not after that start, not against LEAH for crying out loud...

50p
CAR
£35,000
£50,000
£79,500


Two offers. First one is straightforward.

BANKER'S OFFER

£29,000



Second one... less so.

BANKER'S OFFER

£23,099.96 ON NO-DOWNSIDE 23



And the reason for that precise sum? It's 1p more than your total winnings from this series so far. ;)

Take either of those, or don't. Deal or No Deal?

_________________
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Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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JDGA

PostPosted: Sat Jun 15, 2019 1:59 pm    Author: JDGA    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 3.2 | Game #56 [Leah]

Joined: Tue Nov 11, 2014 4:23 pm
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This is... difficult. £29k would be just about EV- on 23, so that'd be ruled out - meaning the no-downside basically becomes a bonus box that can be considered extra. Factoring that in, I think that makes the second worth a quite serious 90% of the mean! As tempting as this board is to play on, I think that offer might just be too good to ignore! It's a DEAL to the conditional offer!
As for the proveout, 8, 12, and 10, then Option 4 for 23.

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KP

PostPosted: Sat Jun 15, 2019 2:03 pm    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 3.2 | Game #56 [Leah]
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DEAL it is, for not only your biggest win ever, but more than you've won in your first five games combined... and it might get bigger yet!

For now, proveout. We want to see 50p stay!

Box 8 - £79,500! So barring an EV- 23, you were never going to break the £50,000 ceiling!

Box 12 - £50,000! Or, for that matter, reach it!

Box 10 - 50p! Awww. CAR vs £35,000 though...

BANKER'S OFFER
WOULD'VE BEEN

£26,062



Because obviously. ;)

Box 6 had £35,000 so the Banker can claim a profit on some level, but with the offer you took it's still a coinflip! Box 21 had the last CAR. Whew!

_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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KP

PostPosted: Sat Jun 15, 2019 2:05 pm    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 3.2 | Game #56 [Leah]
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Here's your money menu...

DOUBLE (£46,199.92)
ADD CAR (£23,099.96 + Audi A1)

MONEY BACK (£23,099.96)
MONEY BACK (£23,099.96)


And here's your outcome...
There were 4 items in your list. Here they are in random order:

ADD CAR (£23,099.96 + Audi A1)
MONEY BACK (£23,099.96)
DOUBLE (£46,199.92)
MONEY BACK (£23,099.96)

IP: 81.104.176.120
Timestamp: 2019-06-15 13:04:47 UTC

LEAH'S TOTAL WINNINGS: £23,099.96

_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


Top
 Profile  
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