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Deal or No Deal forum index » DoND Activities, Games & Quizzes Forums » UK & Worldwide Forum Series » KP's SeriesAll times are UTC [ DST ]



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KP

PostPosted: Fri May 31, 2019 9:42 pm    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 3.1 | Game #50 [Paul] [SPECIAL EDITION]
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Two blues and a monster red. Both sides have reason to be a little upset with that round!

GOLD BARS
GOLDEN SYRUP
GOLD MIRROR
50" TV

£12
£1,093
£25,500
£35,500
£68,000
£111,000
£196,000


Two predictions left, and with only four prize boxes now left you have extra incentive to try and improve that Box 23...

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woko88

PostPosted: Fri May 31, 2019 10:24 pm    Author: woko88    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 3.1 | Game #50 [Paul] [SPECIAL EDITION]

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I’ll take it.

PLAYER'S PREDICTION

£18,500


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KP

PostPosted: Fri May 31, 2019 10:45 pm    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 3.1 | Game #50 [Paul] [SPECIAL EDITION]
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Actual offer...

BANKER'S OFFER

£16,923.81



...was the maximum possible offer at 14-box, and your £18,500 prediction sneaks into the 10% band! You now have a +£50,000 option on your Box 23!! Plus, your ADD CAR option is no longer a toy car - it's actually not a car at all, it's a supercar driving experience courtesy of Trackdays, worth £895! And if your third prediction is even within 20%, you'll at least have an actual vehicle to play for on 23, as well as that £50,000.

But we're at 11-box for now... Deal or No Deal?

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woko88

PostPosted: Fri May 31, 2019 10:53 pm    Author: woko88    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 3.1 | Game #50 [Paul] [SPECIAL EDITION]

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I’m willing to play on to see if the gold bars are that chocolate bar from Mcvities..

No deal.

8,9 and 15

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KP

PostPosted: Fri May 31, 2019 10:58 pm    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 3.1 | Game #50 [Paul] [SPECIAL EDITION]
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On we go!

The Banker rings up to confirm that they are! He adds that you could have bought thousands of packs of them with that offer. ;)

Box 8 - GOLD BARS! This is becoming a tasty board. ;)

Box 9 - £1,093! That definitely does not hurt, and if this is blue, my word...

Box 15 -
£25,500 is pretty good for the bad box of the round! This game is delivering the drama now...

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KP

PostPosted: Fri May 31, 2019 10:59 pm    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 3.1 | Game #50 [Paul] [SPECIAL EDITION]
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Half of your remaining boxes have over £35,000 in them. That is a position of strength. Unfortunately, three of the others do not come with the opportunity to win £50,000 from Box 23.

GOLDEN SYRUP
GOLD MIRROR
50" TV

£12
£35,500
£68,000
£111,000
£196,000


If you want to use your last prediction now, you can. If you want to keep it in reserve, again you can.

_________________
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Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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woko88

PostPosted: Fri May 31, 2019 11:02 pm    Author: woko88    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 3.1 | Game #50 [Paul] [SPECIAL EDITION]

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I missed the bars!

No prediction.

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KP

PostPosted: Fri May 31, 2019 11:06 pm    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 3.1 | Game #50 [Paul] [SPECIAL EDITION]
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Leaving it untouched. Which might leave the Banker relieved here...

BANKER'S OFFER

£26,000



The Banker thought about being less obvious than this, but he really felt it was the right offer for the board.

If you deal it, you will still get that prediction with its potential Box 23 upgrades in the proveout. Remember, as of right now you have the one +£50,000, and you could make that two, as well as making ADD CAR actually for a car. And that Box 23 won't apply if you win a prize, nor will that prize be as nice to eat as a McVitie's Gold bar (though I'm sure the golden syrup might be close).

Deal or No Deal?

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"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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woko88

PostPosted: Fri May 31, 2019 11:21 pm    Author: woko88    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 3.1 | Game #50 [Paul] [SPECIAL EDITION]

Joined: Fri Aug 17, 2012 8:21 pm
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No deal.

6,12,14.

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KP

PostPosted: Fri May 31, 2019 11:25 pm    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 3.1 | Game #50 [Paul] [SPECIAL EDITION]
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And we're going to 5-box in live play!

Four big numbers left. If we can keep three of them, that will make it a lot harder for the Banker. And if we can make it down to just one blue... that changes so much.

Box 6 - £35,500! The lowest of the biggest. Both of these need spoiler boxes now, no question.

Box 12 -
GOLD MIRROR! Brilliant! Now we know the worst-case scenario leaves us £68,000 and £111,000 still in play, along with a third box that provides a gateway to Box 23...


Box 14 -
GOLDEN SYRUP! NAILED! IT! This really is looking destined to produce the biggest payout this Banker has ever faced!

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In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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KP

PostPosted: Fri May 31, 2019 11:26 pm    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 3.1 | Game #50 [Paul] [SPECIAL EDITION]
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That is about as good a round as you could ever have honestly wished for. What a position this is.

50" TV
£12
£68,000
£111,000
£196,000


The Banker has never paid out more than £50,000 before. That is looking in massive danger now. But what will this offer be? You have one prediction still to use.

_________________
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Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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woko88

PostPosted: Fri May 31, 2019 11:30 pm    Author: woko88    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 3.1 | Game #50 [Paul] [SPECIAL EDITION]

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I may regret this but I’m going to make another attempt at second guessing the banker and presume he still doesn’t want to give £50,000 away

PLAYER'S PREDICTION

£49,999


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KP

PostPosted: Fri May 31, 2019 11:35 pm    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 3.1 | Game #50 [Paul] [SPECIAL EDITION]
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The Banker expected you to predict £50,000 exactly.

He wanted to account for that. But computer said no.

BANKER'S OFFER

£47,000



Inside 10% again! That means you can now add a Dacia Logan worth £8,495 from one of the options on Box 23, BUT WE DON'T WANT TO GIVE YOU THAT! Because you now have two shots at something MUCH better...

+£50,000
+£50,000
ADD CAR

HALF
HALF


What an incredible situation this is. Remember, deal this £47,000 and you will have the option of using it to buy Box 23. You won't have that option if you win the TV. Anything else from the box would give you the chance, even the £12.

Deal or No Deal?

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Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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woko88

PostPosted: Fri May 31, 2019 11:40 pm    Author: woko88    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 3.1 | Game #50 [Paul] [SPECIAL EDITION]

Joined: Fri Aug 17, 2012 8:21 pm
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No deal.

16, 18 and 21.

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American Coupon Boy

PostPosted: Fri May 31, 2019 11:44 pm    Author: American Coupon Boy    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 3.1 | Game #50 [Paul] [SPECIAL EDITION]
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I'd definitely go on here. 90% chance of at least a decent offer, and even a 40% chance of winning over £50,000 if it goes wrong as the Banker is required to make an offer on a £12/TV finish.

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KP

PostPosted: Fri May 31, 2019 11:46 pm    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 3.1 | Game #50 [Paul] [SPECIAL EDITION]
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It was delivered quietly, but there's nothing quiet about this now.

This game could yet produce an ASTONISHING result. This Banker has never paid out more than £50,000. There's been a £93,500 win in the April Fools Series last year, courtesy of the Banker making an error on an undeal offer. No game has even come close to that amount of money since.

This one very, very much could. Here we go.

Box 16 -
£196,000! First box, top box. But if we find the TV, the worst-case scenario - the WORST-case scenario - is that it's £12 vs £68,000 with THAT 23.


Box 18 -
50" TV!! AND THERE IT IS!!

If this is the £12, the minimum you could possibly win from this game is £34,000...


Box 21 -
£68,000... leaving £12 or £111,000 WITH A BOX 23 OPTION GUARANTEED!

_________________
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Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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KP

PostPosted: Fri May 31, 2019 11:54 pm    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 3.1 | Game #50 [Paul] [SPECIAL EDITION]
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This really is quite the situation.

The biggest problem the Banker faces right now is knowing that while he can experience the most enormous relief he has ever faced if this goes wrong, it would have to go wrong twice. You would need to not only have the £12 on the table, but miss the two +£50,000 options on 23 - and even one of the other three sends you home with a car.

He feels the need to point out that if you had chosen the safer pair than £12/£196,000 - and he doesn't say this with pleasure because it almost went the other way - you'd have had £38,750 on the board instead of £12. In THAT scenario...

BANKER'S OFFER
WOULD'VE BEEN

£72,000



But as it is with £12 there, it's clearly a lot lower because there is a disaster chance of winning £6. Only 20%, but he thinks that's enough to scare you.

And he wants to remind you of it as clearly as he can.

BANKER'S OFFER

£35,020.20


_________________
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Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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woko88

PostPosted: Fri May 31, 2019 11:56 pm    Author: woko88    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 3.1 | Game #50 [Paul] [SPECIAL EDITION]

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To be fair, he has me nailed on. I’m terrified of 23 heading into it with £12. So let’s make sure I don’t.

DEAL

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KP

PostPosted: Sat Jun 01, 2019 12:01 am    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 3.1 | Game #50 [Paul] [SPECIAL EDITION]
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And there it is! Whatever happens, it won't be £6. Right now, you have just over £35,000.

That Deal has undoubtedly been a profitable transaction for someone. Either a six-figure box or a £12 box has just been sold for five figures... but which one was Box 19?

£12! What a Deal THAT turned out to be in the end! Box 22 had the £111,000...

_________________
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Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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KP

PostPosted: Sat Jun 01, 2019 12:03 am    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 3.1 | Game #50 [Paul] [SPECIAL EDITION]
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There's been some drama in Box 23 before, but rarely even close to this...

+£50,000 (£85,020.20)
+£50,000 (£85,020.20)
ADD CAR (£35,020.20 + Dacia Logan)

HALF (£17,510.10)
HALF (£17,510.10)


And now I need you to confirm, to buy Box 23 for £35,020.20... Deal or No Deal?

_________________
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Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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