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Deal or No Deal forum index » DoND Activities, Games & Quizzes Forums » UK & Worldwide Forum Series » KP's SeriesAll times are UTC [ DST ]



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KP

PostPosted: Thu Jan 26, 2017 10:13 pm    Author: KP    Post subject: KP's Series 2.0 | Game #20 [Archie]
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Even with a stunning crash to 69p in his last game, he's still our top player so far thanks to two colossal wins before that... yes, it's ARCHIE!

As always, this is the starting 22...

1p
10p
50p
£1
£5
£10
£50
£100
£250
£500
£750

£1,000
£3,000
£5,000
£10,000
£20,000
£35,000
£50,000
£75,000
£100,000
£150,000
£250,000


...and then it all changes thanks to the Dulux Purpliser! There are 11 red boxes here with all the red amounts, 11 blue boxes here with all the blues, and 11 greens with percentages from 0% to 50%. That green percentage is the share of the red that gets moved to the blue.

We do that five times in all. For each application of that Dulux Purpliser, we need a red, blue, and green box selection - a different one each time. You know the drill. Let's get it going!

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"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
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Archstered

PostPosted: Thu Jan 26, 2017 10:14 pm    Author: Archstered    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 2.0 | Game #20 [Archie]

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Alright then..

1, 1, 1
2, 2, 2
4, 4, 4
7, 7, 7
10, 10, 10

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KP

PostPosted: Thu Jan 26, 2017 10:19 pm    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 2.0 | Game #20 [Archie]
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Opening treble 1... £10,000 the donor, £100 the recipient... 5%. Well, that's a thing that happened. £600 a blue now, and £9,500 also on the board.

Treble 2... ooh, £100,000, hello! Blue recipient is the £1... and it's 40% on the move! There's a big move, leaving you with £60,000 and £40,001 boxes!

Doubling up again to treble 4... that bumps £20,000 down and hands some of it to the 50p if this isn't 0%... and it VERY isn't, it's 50%! £10,000 returns to this configuration and is joined now by £10,000.50!

Treble 7... £75,000 is the big red potentially on the move... £500 the recipient... of 25% of it! This board now contains £56,250 and £19,250, three five-figure blues now!

Will there be a fourth, though? Quite possibly, as red 10 has £150,000! Blue 10 is £50, and green 10... has... 15%, so we DO see a fourth five-figure blue in the form of £22,550 while the top backup drops to £127,500!

I think you're gonna love this board...

_________________
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Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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KP

PostPosted: Thu Jan 26, 2017 10:22 pm    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 2.0 | Game #20 [Archie]
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SO many five-figure amounts. And the quarter-million untouched.

1p
10p
£10,000.50
£40,001
£5
£10
£22,550
£600
£250
£19,250
£750

£1,000
£3,000
£5,000
£9,500
£10,000
£35,000
£50,000
£56,250
£60,000
£127,500
£250,000


So many possibilities here. One of those 22 values is in your Box 15. Five in the first round before the pivotal prediction. Let's GO!

_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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Archstered

PostPosted: Thu Jan 26, 2017 10:26 pm    Author: Archstered    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 2.0 | Game #20 [Archie]

Joined: Tue Aug 16, 2011 10:34 pm
Location: Bristol, UK
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Yeah, I like this!

16, 9, 2, 19 and 7 please!

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KP

PostPosted: Thu Jan 26, 2017 10:32 pm    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 2.0 | Game #20 [Archie]
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Will you still like it at the first call?

Box 16... £19,250. One bonus five-figure sum is gone.

Box 9... £5,000. Quiet start...

Box 2... £10,000. And so it remains, but aren't you glad you cut that one in half?

Box 19... £35,000... heading in the wrong direction...

Box 7... £22,550! Oo-er, what a weird round!

1p
10p
£10,000.50
£40,001
£5
£10
£600
£250
£750

£1,000
£3,000
£9,500
£50,000
£56,250
£60,000
£127,500
£250,000


The Banker says that round should have left you with a perilous position, but there were so many significant sums on the board that it hasn't! Wonder where you think the offer is based on that?

_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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Archstered

PostPosted: Thu Jan 26, 2017 10:33 pm    Author: Archstered    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 2.0 | Game #20 [Archie]

Joined: Tue Aug 16, 2011 10:34 pm
Location: Bristol, UK
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PLAYER'S PREDICTION

£9,000


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29 | Retail Manager | Eurovision | Rats | Corrie | A little bit of DoND


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KP

PostPosted: Thu Jan 26, 2017 10:35 pm    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 2.0 | Game #20 [Archie]
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BANKER'S OFFER

£9,250



That's close enough! 2.7% out, bumping all of these up 17 points...

BOX 23 OPTIONS
17%
67%
117%
167%
217%
317%


That's a nice Box 23 setup which could get even better... but you could take that £9,250 right now and put it on that 23 for a possible win of over £29,300. Deal or No Deal?

_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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Archstered

PostPosted: Thu Jan 26, 2017 10:35 pm    Author: Archstered    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 2.0 | Game #20 [Archie]

Joined: Tue Aug 16, 2011 10:34 pm
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Great start with the prediction front.. NO DEAL!

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29 | Retail Manager | Eurovision | Rats | Corrie | A little bit of DoND


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Archstered

PostPosted: Thu Jan 26, 2017 10:36 pm    Author: Archstered    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 2.0 | Game #20 [Archie]

Joined: Tue Aug 16, 2011 10:34 pm
Location: Bristol, UK
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Boxes 15, 11 and 8 please

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KP

PostPosted: Thu Jan 26, 2017 10:37 pm    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 2.0 | Game #20 [Archie]
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15 is yours! Here's the other two...

Box 11... £600! Even though it was Purplised, that's an ACTUAL BLUE!

Box 8... £250! Here we go... can you complete the all-blue round when we come back?

_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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Archstered

PostPosted: Thu Jan 26, 2017 10:41 pm    Author: Archstered    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 2.0 | Game #20 [Archie]

Joined: Tue Aug 16, 2011 10:34 pm
Location: Bristol, UK
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Oops! 14 please!

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KP

PostPosted: Thu Jan 26, 2017 10:43 pm    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 2.0 | Game #20 [Archie]
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This actually neatly added tension, so let's emphasise that more with a spoiler tag...

Box 14...
£56,250! Aww, but two blues plus that is definitely not a bad round in this situation!

1p
10p
£10,000.50
£40,001
£5
£10
£750

£1,000
£3,000
£9,500
£50,000
£60,000
£127,500
£250,000


With the top two and three life-changing backups still in play, where is he going now?

_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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Archstered

PostPosted: Thu Jan 26, 2017 10:45 pm    Author: Archstered    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 2.0 | Game #20 [Archie]

Joined: Tue Aug 16, 2011 10:34 pm
Location: Bristol, UK
Warnings: 0

PLAYER'S PREDICTION

£12,000


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29 | Retail Manager | Eurovision | Rats | Corrie | A little bit of DoND


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KP

PostPosted: Thu Jan 26, 2017 10:47 pm    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 2.0 | Game #20 [Archie]
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BANKER'S OFFER

£13,500



We don't mind an 11.1% miss at this stage in proceedings, as a +£9,000 option enters proceedings!

BOX 23 OPTIONS
17%
67%
117%
167%
217%
317%
+£9,000


Hopefully it's one of those drops that's being replaced at the next offer for a seriously tasty money menu... OR you could take £13,500 to that 23 and have a shot at over £42,500! Deal or No Deal?

_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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Archstered

PostPosted: Thu Jan 26, 2017 10:48 pm    Author: Archstered    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 2.0 | Game #20 [Archie]

Joined: Tue Aug 16, 2011 10:34 pm
Location: Bristol, UK
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That's alright..

NO DEAL!

3, 21 and 20!

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29 | Retail Manager | Eurovision | Rats | Corrie | A little bit of DoND


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KP

PostPosted: Thu Jan 26, 2017 10:51 pm    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 2.0 | Game #20 [Archie]
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Round three, we open three... beginning with three!

Box 3... £5! Glee!

Box 21... £60,000! Banker strikes back...

Box 20... £9,500, and I think that's OK! You still hold a solid position, and it'll be interesting to see how the Banker values this configuration now...

1p
10p
£10,000.50
£40,001
£10
£750

£1,000
£3,000
£50,000
£127,500
£250,000

_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


Top
 Profile  

Archstered

PostPosted: Thu Jan 26, 2017 10:56 pm    Author: Archstered    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 2.0 | Game #20 [Archie]

Joined: Tue Aug 16, 2011 10:34 pm
Location: Bristol, UK
Warnings: 0
I'm gonna go up.

PLAYER'S PREDICTION

£16,000


_________________
29 | Retail Manager | Eurovision | Rats | Corrie | A little bit of DoND


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KP

PostPosted: Thu Jan 26, 2017 10:58 pm    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 2.0 | Game #20 [Archie]
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It's gone up further than that...

BANKER'S OFFER

£18,750



...but that 14.67% miss is just inside the key 15% band, so it's only the 117% that's being yoinked!

BOX 23 OPTIONS
17%
67%
167%
217%
317%
+£9,000
ADD CAR


I think you'd have taken that setup at the start of proceedings, and probably this 11-box too! But will you take £18,750 to optionally place on that 23? You'd have a 6-in-7 chance of five figures and a ceiling of close to £60,000, but your ambitions may yet run higher still... Deal or No Deal?

_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


Top
 Profile  

Archstered

PostPosted: Thu Jan 26, 2017 11:00 pm    Author: Archstered    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 2.0 | Game #20 [Archie]

Joined: Tue Aug 16, 2011 10:34 pm
Location: Bristol, UK
Warnings: 0
Not surprisingly, it's a NO DEAL.

1, 10 and 12!

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29 | Retail Manager | Eurovision | Rats | Corrie | A little bit of DoND


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