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Deal or No Deal forum index » DoND Activities, Games & Quizzes Forums » UK & Worldwide Forum Series » KP's SeriesAll times are UTC [ DST ]



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KP

PostPosted: Tue Jan 24, 2017 1:04 am    Author: KP    Post subject: KP's Series 2.0 | Game #14 [Aaron]
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We've got another contestant preparing for his third attempt, and this time it's AARON!

He starts, once again, with these 22 values...

1p
10p
50p
£1
£5
£10
£50
£100
£250
£500
£750

£1,000
£3,000
£5,000
£10,000
£20,000
£35,000
£50,000
£75,000
£100,000
£150,000
£250,000


...before we ring the changes thanks to the Dulux Purpliser! There are 11 red boxes here with all the red amounts, 11 blue boxes here with all the blues, and 11 greens with percentages from 0% to 50%. Whatever green you find is the share of the red that gets moved to the blue.

We do that five times in all. For each application of that Dulux Purpliser, we need a red, blue, and green box selection - a different one each time. Are you ready?

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Aaron Brock

PostPosted: Tue Jan 24, 2017 1:06 am    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 2.0 | Game #14 [Aaron]

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If I can handle a Mexican hysterectomy I can handle this!

Here we go:

7, 4, 4
10, 2, 3
6, 8, 1
1, 6, 8
5, 5, 5!

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KP

PostPosted: Tue Jan 24, 2017 1:16 am    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 2.0 | Game #14 [Aaron]
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LET'S DO THIS THING!

Red 7 is £1,000... blue 4 is £50... and green 4 is 40%. Can you handle a red becoming £600? Maybe you can when you bump a blue up to £450...

Next one could be bigger! Well, not much, as red 10 is £5,000... blue 2 is £100, and the green 3 percentage... 35%. Have yourself a £3,250 box and an £1,850 one!

Red 6 for our third application... £20,000, that's a bit more impactful! Blue 8 is the highest one, £750... green 1 is 50%! Oh hello, how about £10,000 and £10,750 boxes? Now it's getting interesting.

In each of the last three games, the top four percentages have been chosen in the first four applications. Surely green 8 hasn't done it again... red 1 is £10,000, blue 6 is £500, green 8... is NOT 45%, it's 15%! £8,500 and £2,000 join your board.

You've kept the top end untouched... but not now it seems, red 5 is £150,000! Blue 5 is just 50p, but will that stay put? Green 5... the biggest moment so far... 20%, meaning your top backup is now £120,000 and your new backup is £30,000.50!

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"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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KP

PostPosted: Tue Jan 24, 2017 1:17 am    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 2.0 | Game #14 [Aaron]
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That configuration in full:

1p
10p
£30,000.50
£1
£5
£10
£450
£1,850
£250
£2,000
£10,750

£600
£3,000
£3,250
£8,500
£10,000
£35,000
£50,000
£75,000
£100,000
£120,000
£250,000


You have Box 1 - let's see if you're going to be Tinchy Stryding to a huge win! GAME ON!

_________________
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Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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Aaron Brock

PostPosted: Tue Jan 24, 2017 1:19 am    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 2.0 | Game #14 [Aaron]

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
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This should be interesting, let's go!

8, 18, 11, 15, 5!

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KP

PostPosted: Tue Jan 24, 2017 1:24 am    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 2.0 | Game #14 [Aaron]
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Box 8... 1p! BOOM!

Box 18... £10,750. We can live with losing those fake blues, though I think we'd rather lose fake news ;)

Box 11... £450! That one was certainly disposable!

Box 15... £30,000.50. Bah, we might have wanted to keep that one. This could be the most ironic all-blue opening round ever...

Box 5... £1! AND IT IS!

10p
£5
£10
£1,850
£250
£2,000

£600
£3,000
£3,250
£8,500
£10,000
£35,000
£50,000
£75,000
£100,000
£120,000
£250,000


It's still a very fine opening round, but how much will be offered?

_________________
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Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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Aaron Brock

PostPosted: Tue Jan 24, 2017 1:26 am    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 2.0 | Game #14 [Aaron]

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
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Let's go for...

PLAYER'S PREDICTION

£10,000


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KP

PostPosted: Tue Jan 24, 2017 1:27 am    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 2.0 | Game #14 [Aaron]
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BANKER'S OFFER

£10,250



Near enough! Less than 2.5% out...

BOX 23 OPTIONS
18%
68%
118%
168%
218%
318%


At £10,250... Deal or No Deal?

_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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Aaron Brock

PostPosted: Tue Jan 24, 2017 1:29 am    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 2.0 | Game #14 [Aaron]

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
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Great start, long may it continue! NO DEAL!

4, 14 and 9 next please!

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KP

PostPosted: Tue Jan 24, 2017 1:33 am    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 2.0 | Game #14 [Aaron]
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Box 4... 10p! Another perfect opening! Six blues in a row now...

Box 14... £75,000! The run ends badly...

Box 9... £600! What a reply!

£5
£10
£1,850
£250
£2,000

£3,000
£3,250
£8,500
£10,000
£35,000
£100,000
£120,000
£250,000


You've definitely got a good thing going, but how much will the £75k hit hold back this offer? It's your prediction again...

_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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Aaron Brock

PostPosted: Tue Jan 24, 2017 1:35 am    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 2.0 | Game #14 [Aaron]

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
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It's definitely gone up, let's try...

PLAYER'S PREDICTION

£15,250


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KP

PostPosted: Tue Jan 24, 2017 1:38 am    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 2.0 | Game #14 [Aaron]
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BANKER'S OFFER

£15,375



He went up 50%, and you missed by just 0.8%!

BOX 23 OPTIONS
18%
68%
118%
168%
218%
318%
+£19,000


This could be an INCREDIBLE Box 23 if you nail the third prediction too... but at £15,375, Deal or No Deal?

_________________
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Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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Aaron Brock

PostPosted: Tue Jan 24, 2017 1:39 am    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 2.0 | Game #14 [Aaron]

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
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Loving this, need to get rid of that 0% to really drive those fixed offers northwards. NO DEAL!

19, 7 and 17 for round three!

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KP

PostPosted: Tue Jan 24, 2017 1:45 am    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 2.0 | Game #14 [Aaron]
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Of course, you've made it 18% already, but a 68% floor would be AMAZING - let's see the configuration you face for prediction 3 with this box trio!

Box 19... £120,000! Jennifer departs...

Box 7... £250! And so does ANOTHER blue! Only two real ones left!

Box 17... £10,000, which is also good! Another round with just the one big hit...

£5
£10
£1,850
£2,000

£3,000
£3,250
£8,500
£35,000
£50,000
£100,000
£250,000


You've got a thick chunk of backup support there, but has the £150k hit weighed big time on the offer? It's a tricky one to call...

_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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Aaron Brock

PostPosted: Tue Jan 24, 2017 1:48 am    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 2.0 | Game #14 [Aaron]

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
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This is a difficult one now. Average has stayed the same but that's not a volatile board... Hmm...

PLAYER'S PREDICTION

£16,500


_________________
Eurovision enthusiast and fellow member of #teambat.


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KP

PostPosted: Tue Jan 24, 2017 1:50 am    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 2.0 | Game #14 [Aaron]
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It'd be quite something if you're very close AGAIN...

BANKER'S OFFER

£19,000



Sadly not, but that could have been worse! With the £120k going, he offered the difference between Jennifer's 5-box and 8-box offers!

It's a 13.2% miss, which means you lose the 118%. Still two ways for you to lose, but multiple ways to win BIG...

BOX 23 OPTIONS
18%
68%
168%
218%
318%
+£19,000
ADD CAR


We get double offer trouble next up, but you could end this now at £19,000 with an option on 23... Deal or No Deal?

_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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Aaron Brock

PostPosted: Tue Jan 24, 2017 1:52 am    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 2.0 | Game #14 [Aaron]

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
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Was so close to predicting a grand higher but that's still a great setup... It's going to be a NO DEAL!

6, 10 and 13 to get me to 8-box!

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Eurovision enthusiast and fellow member of #teambat.


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KP

PostPosted: Tue Jan 24, 2017 1:56 am    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 2.0 | Game #14 [Aaron]
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It is indeed a Box 23 configuration that will pump up the fixed offers... but blues and low reds will pump them up even more!

Box 6... £5! And they don't come bluer than THAT! One away from an £1,850 main-game minimum...

Box 10...
£250,000! Bah!


Box 13...
£100,000! Good grief, that fell apart in a hurry...

£10
£1,850
£2,000

£3,000
£3,250
£8,500
£35,000
£50,000

_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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 Profile  

KP

PostPosted: Tue Jan 24, 2017 2:00 am    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 2.0 | Game #14 [Aaron]
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Obviously, that hurts the offers. But with that Box 23 setup and that deep pile of not-blues, you can still lock in a solid result...

BANKER'S OFFER

£16,000 FIXED


OR

BANKER'S OFFER

£9,000 + 23


_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


Top
 Profile  

Aaron Brock

PostPosted: Tue Jan 24, 2017 2:03 am    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 2.0 | Game #14 [Aaron]

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
Warnings: 0
Oh wow, that's rather good! I want to try and take a good sum of money to 23, I'm gonna have to play on - NO DEAL!

3, 12 and 20 please...

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