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Deal or No Deal forum index » DoND Activities, Games & Quizzes Forums » UK & Worldwide Forum Series » KP's SeriesAll times are UTC [ DST ]



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KP

PostPosted: Sun Jan 22, 2017 7:09 pm    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 2.0 | Game #13 [David "H"]
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OK, here we go...

Box 20... £20,000. That's one of them, but barely! If you can find one of the tiddly three now...

Box 6... £50! And you do, and it's the smallest of them! This is a box that deserves a spoiler tag...

Box 10...

£500! Amazing!

What a 5-box you have now, especially considering in regular play you'd have a 30% disaster scenario...

£22,505
£87,510
£250

£35,000
£150,000

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KP

PostPosted: Sun Jan 22, 2017 7:11 pm    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 2.0 | Game #13 [David "H"]
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That has spooked the Banker a bit.

BANKER'S OFFER

£39,000 + 23



OR

BANKER'S OFFER

£39,500 FIXED


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"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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h2005

PostPosted: Sun Jan 22, 2017 7:17 pm    Author: h2005    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 2.0 | Game #13 [David "H"]
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Well, the offer's about 66% of the mean and chances are box 23 will produce a decent result... so...

DEAL £39,000 + 23

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KP

PostPosted: Sun Jan 22, 2017 7:17 pm    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 2.0 | Game #13 [David "H"]
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All three options were available, but David's decided to risk the 1/7 chance of nothing knowing that anything else will be a very nice sum of money! He's taking £39,000 to Box 23!

We now need to play out that proveout round...

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"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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h2005

PostPosted: Sun Jan 22, 2017 7:20 pm    Author: h2005    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 2.0 | Game #13 [David "H"]
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The next 3 would've been:

12, 14 and 3.

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KP

PostPosted: Sun Jan 22, 2017 7:22 pm    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 2.0 | Game #13 [David "H"]
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Here's where we find out where we would've been at the 2-box decision point...

Box 12... £250! Oh, of all the times to find that one...

Box 14 we've already had, it's 3, 5, and 7 left on the wings...

Box 3 we'll open...

£87,510! That's that out of the way, and it makes it very easy. Find the £150k and you got out at the right time; don't, and you didn't.

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Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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h2005

PostPosted: Sun Jan 22, 2017 7:27 pm    Author: h2005    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 2.0 | Game #13 [David "H"]
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Oops! :oops: Box 5 please.

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KP

PostPosted: Sun Jan 22, 2017 7:29 pm    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 2.0 | Game #13 [David "H"]
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For the win...

Box 5!

£22,505! Nope, the "all-blue" leaves the unadjusted £35,000/£150,000 finish...

BANKER'S OFFER
WOULD'VE BEEN

£72,000 FIXED


OR

BANKER'S OFFER
WOULD'VE BEEN

£78,000 + 23


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Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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KP

PostPosted: Sun Jan 22, 2017 7:32 pm    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 2.0 | Game #13 [David "H"]
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And now, the reveal of what was in your box.... it was...

£150,000! An amazing game, and that was a big part of why. Box 7 had £35,000.

_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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KP

PostPosted: Sun Jan 22, 2017 7:33 pm    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 2.0 | Game #13 [David "H"]
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While there was even more to be won in this game, playing on to 5-box was certainly lucrative for you.

Well, almost certainly. You took the Box 23 option with a £39,000 stake, and this is your setup:

BOX 23 OPTIONS
0% - NOTHING
50% - £19,500
100% - £39,000
150% - £58,500
300% - £117,000
+£17,000 - £56,000
ADD CAR - £39,000 + Nissan Leaf


Pick a number, 1-7, to decide your fate...

_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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h2005

PostPosted: Sun Jan 22, 2017 7:39 pm    Author: h2005    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 2.0 | Game #13 [David "H"]
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I'm sure Mark is currently shouting "Should've been a LOT, LOT, LOT more brave" somewhere!

Option 1 please.

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KP

PostPosted: Sun Jan 22, 2017 7:41 pm    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 2.0 | Game #13 [David "H"]
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Amazing.

Of course, you did risk it all with the decision you did make! Let's see what it got you...

There were 7 items in your list. Here they are in random order:

100% - £39,000
0% - NOTHING
ADD CAR - £39,000 + Nissan Leaf
50% - £19,500
150% - £58,500
+£17,000 - £56,000
300% - £117,000

IP: 86.15.173.210
Timestamp: 2017-01-22 18:40:57 UTC

DAVID'S FINAL WINNINGS: £39,000

_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


Top
 Profile  

h2005

PostPosted: Sun Jan 22, 2017 9:36 pm    Author: h2005    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 2.0 | Game #13 [David "H"]
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Phew! No change then.

Thanks for hosting! :smt023

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