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Deal or No Deal forum index » DoND Activities, Games & Quizzes Forums » UK & Worldwide Forum Series » KP's SeriesAll times are UTC [ DST ]



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KP

PostPosted: Thu Jan 19, 2017 8:35 pm    Author: KP    Post subject: KP's Series 2.0 | Game #10 [Archie]
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Archie is ready for another go as we hit a double-digit game count! His first shot at this game produced what is still the biggest win to date, and yet there was even more out there. Will he get half as lucky this time? And how well will his gameplay match the boxes?

We've got the board reset...

1p
10p
50p
£1
£5
£10
£50
£100
£250
£500
£750

£1,000
£3,000
£5,000
£10,000
£20,000
£35,000
£50,000
£75,000
£100,000
£150,000
£250,000


...and then we fire up the Dulux Purpliser! There are 11 red boxes here with all the red amounts, 11 blue boxes here with all the blues, and 11 greens with percentages from 0% to 50%. Whatever green you find is the share of the red that gets moved to the blue.

We do that five times in all, and for each one you need to pick a different number for each colour. Let's do this thing!

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"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
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Archstered

PostPosted: Thu Jan 19, 2017 8:39 pm    Author: Archstered    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 2.0 | Game #10 [Archie]

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Alright!

1- 4,5,6
2- 1,10,5
3- 7,2,10
4- 11,3,9
5-2,1,2

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KP

PostPosted: Thu Jan 19, 2017 8:47 pm    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 2.0 | Game #10 [Archie]
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Starting off with red 4... and that's £10,000, with a split towards blue 5... 1p! This could be useful, then... but green 6 is 0%! Well, that ensures you keep the 1p, then. Wow.

Moving on, red 1 is... £1,000. Guaranteed to turn into a "blue" here. Blue 10 is... £1! So that's one peanuts amount that will become a bit better... how much better? Green 5 is 50%! Oh, that's genuinely hilarious, we now have a second £500 and also a £501.

Let's see if the big numbers get purplised here. Red 7... £20,000. That's bigger, anyway. Blue 2... £500! Aww, that was kind of a shame... green 10 is 30% and that means we have £14,000 and £6,500 on your board!

Here comes the fourth one... oh here we go, red 11 is £150,000! Blue 3, meanwhile... is £5, but it's not staying there at all... green 9 is 5%! That's still enough to bump the fiver up to a handy £7,505, all whilst keeping the big red at a huge £142,500!

Final application... it's another big one, red 2 has £100,000! We're now guaranteed to put another five-figure amount on the board... and it's painted on top of blue 1, which is just 10p! You've hit four of the bottom five, a shame the 1p was left untouched... green 2 is 25%, so you now have duplicate £75,000 boxes and the second-lowest amount is now a very handy £25,000.10!

Your ACTUAL starting board, then...

1p
£25,000.10
50p
£501
£7,505
£10
£50
£100
£250
£6,500
£750

£500
£3,000
£5,000
£10,000
£14,000
£35,000
£50,000
£75,000
£75,000
£142,500
£250,000


You've got Box 21 on the table, and five to open before that first crucial prediction!

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Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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Archstered

PostPosted: Thu Jan 19, 2017 8:49 pm    Author: Archstered    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 2.0 | Game #10 [Archie]

Joined: Tue Aug 16, 2011 10:34 pm
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Not that many major changes this time..

Boxes 5, 14, 10, 6 and 3 please

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KP

PostPosted: Thu Jan 19, 2017 8:58 pm    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 2.0 | Game #10 [Archie]
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Here we go then, with Box 5... £7,505! One of the changed amounts is gone, but it's not a huge one.

Box 14... £10,000. Another modest backup goes.

Box 10... £14,000. This is relatively safe territory for now, but we'd like to go down rather than up.

Box 6... £142,500! Oof, the only thing going down is apparently your opening offer...

Box 3... £500! So it was a four-red opening round, except the colours flipped on a couple of them. ;)

1p
£25,000.10
50p
£501
£10
£50
£100
£250
£6,500
£750

£3,000
£5,000
£35,000
£50,000
£75,000
£75,000
£250,000


The Banker says that the quiet Purpliser will hold back the opening offer a bit... but how low do you think he was able to go?

_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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Archstered

PostPosted: Thu Jan 19, 2017 9:00 pm    Author: Archstered    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 2.0 | Game #10 [Archie]

Joined: Tue Aug 16, 2011 10:34 pm
Location: Bristol, UK
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PLAYER'S PREDICTION

£6,000


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KP

PostPosted: Thu Jan 19, 2017 9:02 pm    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 2.0 | Game #10 [Archie]
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An understandable prediction...

BANKER'S OFFER

£8,000



...but he got you to go too far! That's a 25% miss, so the 0% remains and the others go down five ticks...

BOX 23 OPTIONS
0%
45%
95%
145%
195%
295%


At £8,000... Deal or No Deal?

_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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Archstered

PostPosted: Thu Jan 19, 2017 9:04 pm    Author: Archstered    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 2.0 | Game #10 [Archie]

Joined: Tue Aug 16, 2011 10:34 pm
Location: Bristol, UK
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Ouch. NO DEAL!

12, 7 and 2 next, please.

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KP

PostPosted: Thu Jan 19, 2017 9:14 pm    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 2.0 | Game #10 [Archie]
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Looking to regain the momentum with a good round here.

Box 12... £50! That will most certainly help.

Box 7... £3,000. That won't hurt either...

Box 2... 50p! Terrific round, and we're definitely going to see a step up here...

1p
£25,000.10
£501
£10
£100
£250
£6,500
£750

£5,000
£35,000
£50,000
£75,000
£75,000
£250,000


Where are you going with this prediction? A good guess here will give you a very nice positive cash addition to Box 23...

_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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American Coupon Boy

PostPosted: Thu Jan 19, 2017 9:15 pm    Author: American Coupon Boy    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 2.0 | Game #10 [Archie]
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I'd predict £15,300.

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The next series begins immediately after the premiere of the Deal or No Deal revival.


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Archstered

PostPosted: Thu Jan 19, 2017 9:17 pm    Author: Archstered    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 2.0 | Game #10 [Archie]

Joined: Tue Aug 16, 2011 10:34 pm
Location: Bristol, UK
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I'll go for the double.. Although I don't think it'll be any higher than that, so I'll go a grand below.

PLAYER'S PREDICTION

£15,000


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KP

PostPosted: Thu Jan 19, 2017 9:23 pm    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 2.0 | Game #10 [Archie]
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Thinking it'll be a double or a bit less...

BANKER'S OFFER

£14,000



...and it is a bit less, as it's the sum of your prediction and the actual first offer!

That's a 7% miss, which will certainly do here:

BOX 23 OPTIONS
0%
45%
95%
145%
195%
295%
+£13,000


So, at £14,000... Deal or No Deal?

_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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Archstered

PostPosted: Thu Jan 19, 2017 9:25 pm    Author: Archstered    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 2.0 | Game #10 [Archie]

Joined: Tue Aug 16, 2011 10:34 pm
Location: Bristol, UK
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Still looking good, so NO DEAL!

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29 | Retail Manager | Eurovision | Rats | Corrie | A little bit of DoND


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Archstered

PostPosted: Thu Jan 19, 2017 9:25 pm    Author: Archstered    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 2.0 | Game #10 [Archie]

Joined: Tue Aug 16, 2011 10:34 pm
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4, 9 and 13 are my next boxes.

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KP

PostPosted: Thu Jan 19, 2017 9:33 pm    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 2.0 | Game #10 [Archie]
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Box 4... £25,000.10. Which isn't the worst one to find.

Box 9... £100! That one most certainly isn't, and if this is £6,500 downwards we are in a very promising position indeed...

Box 13... 1p! Oh, how about THAT? You have well and truly seized the momentum with two strong rounds in a row...

£501
£10
£250
£6,500
£750

£5,000
£35,000
£50,000
£75,000
£75,000
£250,000


Where will the Banker go here, I wonder? You need to guess, and if you nail it within 5%, that 0% possibility from Box 23 will be out of the game...

_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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American Coupon Boy

PostPosted: Thu Jan 19, 2017 9:34 pm    Author: American Coupon Boy    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 2.0 | Game #10 [Archie]
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I'd go with £23,500.

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The next series begins immediately after the premiere of the Deal or No Deal revival.


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Archstered

PostPosted: Thu Jan 19, 2017 9:34 pm    Author: Archstered    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 2.0 | Game #10 [Archie]

Joined: Tue Aug 16, 2011 10:34 pm
Location: Bristol, UK
Warnings: 0
It's going to be..

PLAYER'S PREDICTION

£26,000


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KP

PostPosted: Thu Jan 19, 2017 9:37 pm    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 2.0 | Game #10 [Archie]
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Going bigger than Ben's call...

BANKER'S OFFER

£21,000



...and it was £2,500 off the other way! :( That's a 23.8% miss, and that removes the 195% from play :( Still, at least you have ADD CAR in there for if it all goes wrong!

BOX 23 OPTIONS
0%
45%
95%
145%
295%
+£13,000
ADD CAR


At £21,000... Deal or No Deal?

_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


Top
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Archstered

PostPosted: Thu Jan 19, 2017 9:38 pm    Author: Archstered    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 2.0 | Game #10 [Archie]

Joined: Tue Aug 16, 2011 10:34 pm
Location: Bristol, UK
Warnings: 0
Still not an awful Box 23 and I'm happy to play the board on this one.

NO DEAL!

18, 19 and 22 next, please.

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KP

PostPosted: Thu Jan 19, 2017 9:40 pm    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 2.0 | Game #10 [Archie]
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It's definitely an interesting Box 23, and a very dramatic one. You'll have to think about just how you value it after these three boxes...

Box 18... £250! Well, both offers are likely to look good if you keep that up...

Box 19... £6,500, a sixth straight blue and disposable even in that augmented form...

Box 22... £75,000! Ends the run painfully, but you've got another one of those! As it happens, that one was the one that started at £100k, so it really could have been worse...

_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


Top
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