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Deal or No Deal forum index » DoND Activities, Games & Quizzes Forums » UK & Worldwide Forum Series » KP's SeriesAll times are UTC [ DST ]



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KP

PostPosted: Mon Sep 05, 2016 1:43 am    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 2.0 | Game #1 [Leah]
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Round three. Box count: three.

Box 6 - £10! This is going quite well.

Box 3 - £250,000! Well, that was a reality check. Fortunately, the big money very definitely doesn't end there on this board.

Box 20 - £2,100! A low red made even lower by the adjustment... gone.

£37,500.01
10p
£600
£250
£750

£3,000
£35,000
£50,000
£37,500
£100,000
£150,000


We're adding the CAR to the board now, but if you miss by 21% again you'll be losing the 200%... hopefully you can get within 5% of this revised offer, which would take the zero out of the equation!

_________________
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Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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JDGA

PostPosted: Mon Sep 05, 2016 1:46 am    Author: JDGA    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 2.0 | Game #1 [Leah]

Joined: Tue Nov 11, 2014 4:23 pm
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Welp, big one's gone, but the block's still pretty... blocky, with two more smalls going too. Let's call it a stick.

PLAYER'S PREDICTION

£16,500


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KP

PostPosted: Mon Sep 05, 2016 1:50 am    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 2.0 | Game #1 [Leah]
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Not expecting a change...

BANKER'S OFFER

£19,000



...getting an increase, as the Banker weighs on the stability, but it's only a 13% miss. That means the 100% option has gone, meaning that your prediction of a stick means you can't stick on 23...

BOX 23 OPTIONS
0%
50%
150%
200%
300%
-£1,000
ADD CAR


So, with the top prize gone but the backups strong... £19,000, Deal or No Deal?

_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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JDGA

PostPosted: Mon Sep 05, 2016 1:52 am    Author: JDGA    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 2.0 | Game #1 [Leah]

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Gone up?! I was expecting to be too high!
But... yeah. Far too much stability. I can't really quit here, honestly? NO DEAL...
Boxes 1, 19, and 8.

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You know the wind will always come back.


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KP

PostPosted: Mon Sep 05, 2016 1:58 am    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 2.0 | Game #1 [Leah]
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After this, we're looking at two separate offers - one with 23, the other without.

Box 1 - £35,000. Remarkably, that was actually the median box. Usually, that's a good one to hit. In this scenario, not so much.

Box 19 - £100,000! Second-highest is gone, and is that stability slipping away?

Box 8 - £250! Well, not there it isn't - just one amount below £600 now!

£37,500.01
10p
£600
£750

£3,000
£50,000
£37,500
£150,000


Offer option 1...

BANKER'S OFFER

£20,000



Offer option 2...

BANKER'S OFFER

£20,000 + BOX 23



The offers are actually the same...

_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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JDGA

PostPosted: Mon Sep 05, 2016 2:07 am    Author: JDGA    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 2.0 | Game #1 [Leah]

Joined: Tue Nov 11, 2014 4:23 pm
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That's a... weird offer. 23's neutral enough it's not worth any extra value, huh?
Honestly, yeah, this one has me nervous. There's a lot of ways this could come crashing down, but the double on £37500 and the £50k is a little tempting. Honestly though, I think it might be best to quit while I'm ahead on this one. DEAL, thankyou.
2, 4, 13 for the proveout?

_________________
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Strongly opinionated or barely invested, but a constant
You know the wind will always come back.


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KP

PostPosted: Mon Sep 05, 2016 2:08 am    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 2.0 | Game #1 [Leah]
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Which offer are you dealing? :)

_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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JDGA

PostPosted: Mon Sep 05, 2016 2:10 am    Author: JDGA    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 2.0 | Game #1 [Leah]

Joined: Tue Nov 11, 2014 4:23 pm
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Oh, I have to decide on 23 now? Let's run with it! £20k + 23!

_________________
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Strongly opinionated or barely invested, but a constant
You know the wind will always come back.


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KP

PostPosted: Mon Sep 05, 2016 2:12 am    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 2.0 | Game #1 [Leah]
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Alright! So we're taking £20k to the twister, but where would we have been three boxes from now?

Box 2 - £3,000, the real fourth blue...

Box 4 - 10p! Surely not... surely...

Box 13 - £37,500! Well, that might have been enough... if it hadn't had half of its value yoinked onto the 1p that's still on the board.

_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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KP

PostPosted: Mon Sep 05, 2016 2:14 am    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 2.0 | Game #1 [Leah]
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We'd be here...

£37,500.01
£600
£750

£50,000
£150,000


...and been faced with a choice between playing on, this...

BANKER'S OFFER
WOULD'VE BEEN

£45,000



...and this.

BANKER'S OFFER
WOULD'VE BEEN

£42,000 + BOX 23


_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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American Coupon Boy

PostPosted: Mon Sep 05, 2016 2:19 am    Author: American Coupon Boy    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 2.0 | Game #1 [Leah]
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I definitely would've dealt £45,000 there.

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The next series begins immediately after the premiere of the Deal or No Deal revival.


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JDGA

PostPosted: Mon Sep 05, 2016 2:19 am    Author: JDGA    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 2.0 | Game #1 [Leah]

Joined: Tue Nov 11, 2014 4:23 pm
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...that offer's insane!!
Boxes 22, 12, and 5, I guess...? But surely there's no way that would have been the offer in live play.

_________________
Fickle, cold and harsh or caring and warm
Strongly opinionated or barely invested, but a constant
You know the wind will always come back.


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KP

PostPosted: Mon Sep 05, 2016 2:24 am    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 2.0 | Game #1 [Leah]
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Let's finish this.

Box 22 - £150,000! There we go.

Box 12 - £37,500.01! We're one away...

Box 5 - £50,000! Crash, bang, wallop, what a bailout. We'd have had a £600 - £750 finish...

BANKER'S OFFER
WOULD'VE BEEN

£2,000


or

BANKER'S OFFER
WOULD'VE BEEN

£666 + BOX 23



Box 15 had the £750as it happened, while Box 18 had £600.

NOW we have the Box 23 reveal...

_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


Top
 Profile  

KP

PostPosted: Mon Sep 05, 2016 2:25 am    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 2.0 | Game #1 [Leah]
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Joined: Sat Jan 28, 2006 8:00 pm
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BOX 23 OPTIONS
0%
(£0)
50% (£10,000)
150% (£30,000)
200% (£40,000)
300% (£60,000)
-£1,000 (£19,000)
+ CAR (£20,000 + Nissan Leaf)

Seven options... pick a number, 1-7.

_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


Top
 Profile  

JDGA

PostPosted: Mon Sep 05, 2016 2:28 am    Author: JDGA    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 2.0 | Game #1 [Leah]

Joined: Tue Nov 11, 2014 4:23 pm
Warnings: 0
That was certainly a 5-box round.
Option 4 is the usual for me, and that's not changing!

_________________
Fickle, cold and harsh or caring and warm
Strongly opinionated or barely invested, but a constant
You know the wind will always come back.


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KP

PostPosted: Mon Sep 05, 2016 2:28 am    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 2.0 | Game #1 [Leah]
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BOX 23 RESULT
There were 7 items in your list. Here they are in random order:

0% (£0)
300% (£60,000)
-£1,000 (£19,000)
+ CAR (£20,000 + Nissan Leaf)
150% (£30,000)
200% (£40,000)
50% (£10,000)


LEAH'S FINAL WINNINGS: £20,000 + Nissan Leaf

_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


Top
 Profile  

JDGA

PostPosted: Mon Sep 05, 2016 2:29 am    Author: JDGA    Post subject: Re: KP's Series 2.0 | Game #1 [Leah]

Joined: Tue Nov 11, 2014 4:23 pm
Warnings: 0
That's certainly a decent result!
...yeah. Interesting format, the board shuffling is fun. Thanks for hosting, and good game!

_________________
Fickle, cold and harsh or caring and warm
Strongly opinionated or barely invested, but a constant
You know the wind will always come back.


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