DEAL. Can't turn down that level of generosity, especially when it means the Double actually means something using that on 23.

15, 19, 21.

£1,777.70 is locked in on the blue - he'll be ecstatic if he's saved himself over £8k on that one! Now to see what happens on the red...


15 - £1,000 we'd have taken...

19 - 10p! One away from making it on that one...

21 - £5,000 means we've still got the £15k and £50k to aim for on red! BT...

** RING **

He's been trying to think of clever ways to throw in some conditional offers here, but given that they haven't gone well for him recently, he won't... Here's a flat offer...

BANKER'S OFFER

£9,242.30

... which would produce a pre-23 win of £11,020!

It's OVER NINE THOUSAAAAND!

Banker playing safe. Should I? I think that offer going just the right side of the £3k/£15k finish makes it tempting, and I don't know how much generosity there will be on the £50k-high finishes other than £15k/£50k to validate going on here... so DEAL.

11, 13, 9, 7, 5, 3 is the proveout order.

In the baaag! £11,020 and potentially up to £20,000 more. Let's see how we get on...


11 - ** RING **

The Banker's not done having fun yet!

BANKER'S OFFER

BANKER'S CONDITIONAL GAMBLE

Hand back the £1,777.70 you won on that board and go into live play with a 1 in 3 shot at ten grand... But Box 23 would then be blue-board compulsory, with no upside... Is it worth the risk with nearly £10k already locked in on the red board?

That offer makes about as much sense as my £35,000 + No Box 23 super AMO. £1,800 would be marginal on that 3 box board normally, but the No Box 23 stipulation makes this as easy NO DEAL unless you misread the board/offer.

It's peanuts or £10k, with that menu it's 13/18 of peanuts/nothing, 1/18 £5k, 4/18 £10k. (All based on the assumption the 2-box is rejected here, for simplicity and so I don't give any hint to Aaron as to what I'd be looking to deal on the £10k-high 2-box if I got it in live play.) So the EV is £45k/18, or about £2.5k.

If it was actually against the £1,777.70 I'd take it on. But it's not, it's against £1,777.70 on that 23, and that's worth a load more. NO DEAL. Honestly, take out the no-upside 23 stipulation and you have a really interesting decision there.

Keeping the money with a huge chance of an uplift there! Let's play the proveout...


11 - £1 was the best start there...

13 - £15,000! Now shut that board down completely!

9 - £10,000! Good job you didn't take the gamble!

1p vs 50p...

BANKER'S OFFER WOULD'VE BEEN

17p

7 - £3,000 and you'd still have been in play for £50k here!

£5 vs £50,000...

BANKER'S OFFER WOULD'VE BEEN

£18,222.30

5 - 1p means you'd have won 50p on the blue...

3 - £50,000 means you'd have then crashed to just £5 on the red! Great deals!

Box 1 had £5 and Box 17 had 50p! Now decision time...

Those money menus...

£1,777.70 on Box 23:
DOUBLE (£3,555.40)
+£20,000 (£21,777.70)
+£10,000 (£11,777.70)
MONEY BACK (£1,777.70)
HALF (£888.85)
NOTHING

OR

£9,242.30 on Box 23:
DOUBLE (£18,484.60)
+£20,000 (£29,242.30)
+£10,000 (£19,242.30)
MONEY BACK (£9,242.30)
HALF (£4,621.15)
NOTHING

The second one is clearly more profitable but has more of a risk... Which amount would you like to buy Box 23 with?

I'll set the floor at OVER NINE THOUSAAAAND by buying Box 23 with £1,777.70.

And it'll be the square root of 9 for my choice.

£9,242.30 is the only certain safe choice here...

... but what will we add to that for your final winnings tonight?

Option 3...