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KP

PostPosted: Wed Nov 07, 2018 1:07 am    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP plays Aaron's DoND [107]
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I'm having to decide on the offer here, because I want the +£20,000 if I'm playing on and the half/double swap if I'm dealing!!

Given that I have that replay, I think there's the upside for playing on - especially if I add that +£20,000, giving me a one-in-three redemption shot if it comes to it, which is enough to make it a lot less scary to finish with a blue. Just as well on this board :P

So make it +£20,000, NO DEAL, and I'll go two boxes with 11 and 7.

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"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
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Aaron Brock

PostPosted: Wed Nov 07, 2018 1:11 am    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: KP plays Aaron's DoND [107]

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
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Here's how your Box 23 roster looks now:

    DOUBLE
    +£20,000
    +£20,000

    MONEY BACK
    HALF
    NOTHING

We play on. The longer we don't need that replay, the more it is worth to you...


11 - £100,000!! Oh christ! Quick, the spoiler box, the spoiler box!

7 -
£5! Well, ANOTHER tricky choice here... Are you happy to accept the damage or are we replaying?

_________________
Host and co-developer of forum Race to a Billion - Season 7 now in progress. Follow us on Twitter @racetoabillion.
Race to a Billion Season 7 Live Leaderboard can be found HERE.
Host of Aaron's DoND, now in its fourth season. Drop me a PM if you wish to arrange a game.
Also a Eurovision enthusiast and fellow member of #teambat.


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KP

PostPosted: Wed Nov 07, 2018 1:13 am    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP plays Aaron's DoND [107]
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A replay might take out the £250k instead. No replay.

_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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Aaron Brock

PostPosted: Wed Nov 07, 2018 1:15 am    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: KP plays Aaron's DoND [107]

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
Warnings: 0
No replay...


10p
50p

£7.50
£10
£12,500
£250,000


BT...

_________________
Host and co-developer of forum Race to a Billion - Season 7 now in progress. Follow us on Twitter @racetoabillion.
Race to a Billion Season 7 Live Leaderboard can be found HERE.
Host of Aaron's DoND, now in its fourth season. Drop me a PM if you wish to arrange a game.
Also a Eurovision enthusiast and fellow member of #teambat.


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Aaron Brock

PostPosted: Wed Nov 07, 2018 1:21 am    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: KP plays Aaron's DoND [107]

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
Warnings: 0
** RING **

The Banker fancies mixing things up here...

BANKER'S OFFER

BANKER'S CHALLENGE


If you decide to say Deal to this challenge, you must open one of the remaining boxes. If you find the 10p, 50p or £7.50, he will replace the £10 and your next highest blue with two more of the medium green boxes. Out of the six remaining, they contain: £2k, £4k, £7.5k, £17.5k, £23k, £26k. If however, you find the £10, £12.5k or the £250k, Box 23 will permanently leave this game...

If you refuse this offer, he will give you a cash alternative. So. Banker's Challenge, Deal or No Deal?

_________________
Host and co-developer of forum Race to a Billion - Season 7 now in progress. Follow us on Twitter @racetoabillion.
Race to a Billion Season 7 Live Leaderboard can be found HERE.
Host of Aaron's DoND, now in its fourth season. Drop me a PM if you wish to arrange a game.
Also a Eurovision enthusiast and fellow member of #teambat.


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KP

PostPosted: Wed Nov 07, 2018 1:23 am    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP plays Aaron's DoND [107]
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I had a plan, and Box 23 leaving the game would not be good for that plan. NO DEAL.

_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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Aaron Brock

PostPosted: Wed Nov 07, 2018 1:23 am    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: KP plays Aaron's DoND [107]

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
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Refusing the challenge! So the cash alternative...


BANKER'S OFFER

£19,999


_________________
Host and co-developer of forum Race to a Billion - Season 7 now in progress. Follow us on Twitter @racetoabillion.
Race to a Billion Season 7 Live Leaderboard can be found HERE.
Host of Aaron's DoND, now in its fourth season. Drop me a PM if you wish to arrange a game.
Also a Eurovision enthusiast and fellow member of #teambat.


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KP

PostPosted: Wed Nov 07, 2018 1:35 am    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP plays Aaron's DoND [107]
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Money menu here is three lots of £40k with £20k, £10k, zip. Which is annoyingly difficult to decide on.

But as I said, I have a plan. I have a 1/3 chance of keeping the £250k to 2-box, a 2/3 chance of taking it out. But because of the replay, the Banker needs that 2/3 chance to come up twice if I commit to a four-box round, meaning I have a 5/9 chance of a £250k-high 2-box. And if that doesn't come up, I then have another 1/3 chance of getting £20k anyway!

In short, I have an 8/27 chance of a crash, and a 5/9 chance of being offered a lot more than this.

NO DEAL, 9, 5, 3, 1. Replay iff I hit the £250k.

_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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Aaron Brock

PostPosted: Wed Nov 07, 2018 1:40 am    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: KP plays Aaron's DoND [107]

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
Warnings: 0
Woah!!! :shock: :shock: :shock: What a BOLD play, I really hope it pays off...

... those four will naturally need spoiler boxes...


9 -
£10! You'd have lost out on the challenge!


5 -
£12,500! Out goes your one and only backup, but IT is STILL there...


3 -
10p!!! SO SO CLOSE!! We might not even need the replay after all?!?!


1 -
£7.50!!! YOU'VE MADE IT!! 50p plays £250,000 in one of our biggest showdowns ever...

_________________
Host and co-developer of forum Race to a Billion - Season 7 now in progress. Follow us on Twitter @racetoabillion.
Race to a Billion Season 7 Live Leaderboard can be found HERE.
Host of Aaron's DoND, now in its fourth season. Drop me a PM if you wish to arrange a game.
Also a Eurovision enthusiast and fellow member of #teambat.


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Aaron Brock

PostPosted: Wed Nov 07, 2018 1:44 am    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: KP plays Aaron's DoND [107]

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
Warnings: 0
** RING **

"Well if there's one person I could trust here not to do that, it's him. He risked it at the last offer, but there's no way he'll risk this much..."


BANKER'S OFFER

£73,000


What a moment... After lots of early damage, it's a massive offer, a colossal crash to a blue, a comfortable £20k, or the jackpot... Is that offer enough to dissuade you away from the gamble?!

_________________
Host and co-developer of forum Race to a Billion - Season 7 now in progress. Follow us on Twitter @racetoabillion.
Race to a Billion Season 7 Live Leaderboard can be found HERE.
Host of Aaron's DoND, now in its fourth season. Drop me a PM if you wish to arrange a game.
Also a Eurovision enthusiast and fellow member of #teambat.


Last edited by Aaron Brock on Wed Nov 07, 2018 1:45 am, edited 1 time in total.

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KP

PostPosted: Wed Nov 07, 2018 1:44 am    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP plays Aaron's DoND [107]
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Joined: Sat Jan 28, 2006 8:00 pm
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Wow.

_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


Top
 Profile  

KP

PostPosted: Wed Nov 07, 2018 1:49 am    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP plays Aaron's DoND [107]
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Joined: Sat Jan 28, 2006 8:00 pm
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£20k is about what I'd look for on blue/£75k, so I think that validated the approach - I figured I might get an offer in this range, and I was more likely than not to get it, making it better than blue/£75k even before the £12.5k was thrown into the equation.

It's a huge offer, and while the 1/3 chance of salvation makes the blue a bit better than advertised, I feel like I took the calculated unorthodox risk and this is my reward. DEAL.

Hypo swap, obvs.

_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


Top
 Profile  

Aaron Brock

PostPosted: Wed Nov 07, 2018 1:52 am    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: KP plays Aaron's DoND [107]

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
Warnings: 0
It's a DEAL for £73,000! Unbelievable Jeff...

... but this mental game have the jackpot in store for you all along?!



Box 17 had £250,000. It did!! :shock: :shock: Box 21 had just 50p all along!

Box 23 time...

_________________
Host and co-developer of forum Race to a Billion - Season 7 now in progress. Follow us on Twitter @racetoabillion.
Race to a Billion Season 7 Live Leaderboard can be found HERE.
Host of Aaron's DoND, now in its fourth season. Drop me a PM if you wish to arrange a game.
Also a Eurovision enthusiast and fellow member of #teambat.


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Aaron Brock

PostPosted: Wed Nov 07, 2018 1:52 am    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: KP plays Aaron's DoND [107]

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
Warnings: 0
    DOUBLE (£146,000)
    +£20,000 (£93,000)
    +£20,000 (£93,000)

    MONEY BACK (£73,000)
    HALF (£36,500)
    NOTHING

The rewards are evident, but so are the risks... Will you be buying Box 23 with your £73,000?

_________________
Host and co-developer of forum Race to a Billion - Season 7 now in progress. Follow us on Twitter @racetoabillion.
Race to a Billion Season 7 Live Leaderboard can be found HERE.
Host of Aaron's DoND, now in its fourth season. Drop me a PM if you wish to arrange a game.
Also a Eurovision enthusiast and fellow member of #teambat.


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 Profile  

KP

PostPosted: Wed Nov 07, 2018 1:55 am    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP plays Aaron's DoND [107]
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Joined: Sat Jan 28, 2006 8:00 pm
Warnings: 0
NO DEAL, hypo 3.

What a game.

_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


Top
 Profile  

Aaron Brock

PostPosted: Wed Nov 07, 2018 1:57 am    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: KP plays Aaron's DoND [107]

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
Warnings: 0
    NOTHING
    +£20,000 (£93,000)
    DOUBLE (£146,000)
    +£20,000 (£93,000)
    MONEY BACK (£73,000)
    HALF (£36,500)

Well it could've been a £500k game if you played it perfectly, but you didn't half turn that game up to 11 when it mattered! Thanks for playing!

_________________
Host and co-developer of forum Race to a Billion - Season 7 now in progress. Follow us on Twitter @racetoabillion.
Race to a Billion Season 7 Live Leaderboard can be found HERE.
Host of Aaron's DoND, now in its fourth season. Drop me a PM if you wish to arrange a game.
Also a Eurovision enthusiast and fellow member of #teambat.


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