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Deal or No Deal forum index » DoND Activities, Games & Quizzes Forums » UK & Worldwide Forum Series » Aaron Brock's SeriesAll times are UTC [ DST ]



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Aaron Brock

PostPosted: Mon Mar 19, 2018 1:20 am    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: Archie plays Aaron's DoND [92]

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
Warnings: 0
For the bonus box...


BANKER'S OFFER

£27,500



... and it's a CRACKING prediction! Less than 2% in it means you'll only need £20k to crack open the Bonus Box! This could be a huge game, and maybe our first jackpot winner?! But £27,500 is where we're at Archie, Deal or No Deal?

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Eurovision enthusiast and fellow member of #teambat.


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Archstered

PostPosted: Mon Mar 19, 2018 1:28 am    Author: Archstered    Post subject: Re: Archie plays Aaron's DoND [92]

Joined: Tue Aug 16, 2011 10:34 pm
Location: Bristol, UK
Warnings: 0
NO DEAL!

4, 13 and 7 please

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29 | Retail Manager | Eurovision | Rats | Corrie | A little bit of DoND


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Aaron Brock

PostPosted: Mon Mar 19, 2018 1:30 am    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: Archie plays Aaron's DoND [92]

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
Warnings: 0
We have everything in place for this to be a truly magnificent game. All we need now is for the boxes to fall in Archie's favour!


4 - £250! Boxes like that, for example!

13 - £250,000!! Blast, and down comes the ceiling, but there's still a huge amount that could be won here...

7 - £75 helps to restore the damage somewhat! BT...

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Aaron Brock

PostPosted: Mon Mar 19, 2018 1:31 am    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: Archie plays Aaron's DoND [92]

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
Warnings: 0
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KP

PostPosted: Mon Mar 19, 2018 1:32 am    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: Archie plays Aaron's DoND [92]
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Joined: Sat Jan 28, 2006 8:00 pm
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Very interesting configuration here, and a heck of a call to make a 14-box prediction at all!

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"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
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Aaron Brock

PostPosted: Mon Mar 19, 2018 1:33 am    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: Archie plays Aaron's DoND [92]

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
Warnings: 0
** RING **

The Banker loved seeing the biggie go there! He says it's the beginning of the end, and that this will be your last shot at opening the Bonus Box tonight...


BANKER'S OFFER

£20,001


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Archstered

PostPosted: Mon Mar 19, 2018 1:35 am    Author: Archstered    Post subject: Re: Archie plays Aaron's DoND [92]

Joined: Tue Aug 16, 2011 10:34 pm
Location: Bristol, UK
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Oh Banky, you're so full of doom and gloom! NO DEAL!

Boxes 10, 1 and 15 please

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Aaron Brock

PostPosted: Mon Mar 19, 2018 1:37 am    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: Archie plays Aaron's DoND [92]

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
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Archie clearly isn't phased by that 'minor hiccup', and we play on for possibly £400,000...


10 - £50,000! We definitely felt that, and now we only have two mega sums left on the board...

1 - £10,000 works in our favour, but we need a blue now to keep things nice and strong for us...

15 -
£500! That'll do just nicely!


BT...

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Aaron Brock

PostPosted: Mon Mar 19, 2018 1:38 am    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: Archie plays Aaron's DoND [92]

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
Warnings: 0
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Aaron Brock

PostPosted: Mon Mar 19, 2018 1:41 am    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: Archie plays Aaron's DoND [92]

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
Warnings: 0
** RING **

"Right, let's start giving him some real exit options..."

BANKER'S OFFER

£33,333


OR

BANKER'S OFFER

£42,042 & NO BONUS BOX


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Archstered

PostPosted: Mon Mar 19, 2018 1:43 am    Author: Archstered    Post subject: Re: Archie plays Aaron's DoND [92]

Joined: Tue Aug 16, 2011 10:34 pm
Location: Bristol, UK
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Very tasty indeed! I shall.. DEAL the £33,333!

11, 17 and 22 would have been my next picks

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KP

PostPosted: Mon Mar 19, 2018 1:46 am    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: Archie plays Aaron's DoND [92]
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Joined: Sat Jan 28, 2006 8:00 pm
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That could be a devil of a Deal with the BB! ;)

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Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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Aaron Brock

PostPosted: Mon Mar 19, 2018 1:48 am    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: Archie plays Aaron's DoND [92]

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
Warnings: 0
And just like that, it's an 8-box exit from Archie! We'll see what he can make of that £33,333 in a short while, but let's get this proveout underway...


11 - 1p! Would've been the perfect start!!

17 - £100,000! We would've been narrowing the game even more now! One box game in terms of mega money...

22 - £1! But you'd still have been in it to win it!

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You'd have had a 90% chance of taking that yellow or higher, and a 40% chance of taking the £75k home, hence...

BANKER'S OFFER
WOULD'VE BEEN

£33,333


OR

BANKER'S OFFER
WOULD'VE BEEN

£42,042 & NO BONUS BOX


... these would've been exactly the same! We need two more now, so where would we have gone now?

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Archstered

PostPosted: Mon Mar 19, 2018 1:49 am    Author: Archstered    Post subject: Re: Archie plays Aaron's DoND [92]

Joined: Tue Aug 16, 2011 10:34 pm
Location: Bristol, UK
Warnings: 0
2 and 14...

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Aaron Brock

PostPosted: Mon Mar 19, 2018 1:53 am    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: Archie plays Aaron's DoND [92]

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
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Need to find that 75...


2 - £17,5000! That won't cut it...

14 - £5!! Youch, you'd have been guaranteed £20k, and a 2/3 shot at the 75...

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... which would've led to this:

BANKER'S OFFER
WOULD'VE BEEN

£55,000


OR

BANKER'S OFFER
WOULD'VE BEEN

£74,000 & NO BONUS BOX


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Aaron Brock

PostPosted: Mon Mar 19, 2018 1:54 am    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: Archie plays Aaron's DoND [92]

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
Warnings: 0
But was the £75k destined to be yours?


Boxes 9 and 20...


... had £20,000 and £10! So you weren't indeed!! Box 18 which you saved to the very end had the £75,000!

Now then, we've got two bits of business before we send you on your way...

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Aaron Brock

PostPosted: Mon Mar 19, 2018 1:56 am    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: Archie plays Aaron's DoND [92]

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
Warnings: 0
Firstly, we have Box 23:


    DOUBLE (£66,666 & BB)
    +£15,000 (£48,333 & BB)

    MONEY BACK (£33,333 & BB)
    HALF (£16,666.50)
    NOTHING

You're already in BB territory, but if you make the right move here you're on for over £133k... So with your £33,333 Archie, would you like to purchase Box 23?

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American Coupon Boy

PostPosted: Mon Mar 19, 2018 1:58 am    Author: American Coupon Boy    Post subject: Re: Archie plays Aaron's DoND [92]
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Joined: Thu Jan 10, 2013 10:20 pm
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With going to the end only having a 6 in 28 chance of producing a blue box win and the EV of the board being £47,142, I think I actually would've went on when Archie dealt! I probably would've dealt at 5 box, though, with the offer being 85% of the EV.

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Archstered

PostPosted: Mon Mar 19, 2018 1:59 am    Author: Archstered    Post subject: Re: Archie plays Aaron's DoND [92]

Joined: Tue Aug 16, 2011 10:34 pm
Location: Bristol, UK
Warnings: 0
With a 40% chance of loosing out on the Bonus Box, I shall NO DEAL to 23. Hypo 5

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Aaron Brock

PostPosted: Mon Mar 19, 2018 2:01 am    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: Re: Archie plays Aaron's DoND [92]

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
Warnings: 0
Making sure he can take the money to the Bonus Box, but could you have pumped even more money into it?


    Image

Nope, not at all! Bonus Box time...

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