KP plays Aaron's DoND [46 - Secret Game]

**Joined:** Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm **Warnings:** 0

So Mark won £14,900 in the first game! That's the benchmark, and let's see if there's an advance on that now...

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Welcome to Game 46 of Aaron's DoND! We had Mark last time trying to claim his spot in the chair for game 50 where the player will get the chance to win up to £500,000 - and that's before Box 23! Having his go now is KP!

He has Box 4 on the table, but it's twist time now...

... 1-5 please!

**Joined:** Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm **Warnings:** 0

KP wrote:

My Melodifestivalen listening is at Euphoria, but given the duet that came beforehand it's got to be #1!

One by One...

HAPPY 2017

... it's HAPPY 2017! So we'll find out what your gift is right at the end, but nothing will change the main game! Following your box number would have got you Two Boxes!

Off we go, first 5 David, good luck!

**Joined:** Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm **Warnings:** 0

KP wrote:

Aww, but it's a positive start at least! Be hilarious if I won it by the margin of that gift... 8, 2, 12, 6, 10!

Off we go with the KP system...

8 - £10,000!

2 - £10! Nice!

12 - £1,000!

6 - £5,000! This is going really well so far...

10 - £250!! What a start!!

BT...

**Joined:** Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm **Warnings:** 0

** RING **

The Banker welcomes you to this special set of shows, and he can't do anything but make a strong bid for that box after that opening...

... but is that enough to garner a prediction at this stage?

KP wrote:

I bet. I'm not going to bet on *how* generous. Let him make a statement and hold that prediction back!

I reckon it *might* be in the £15k bracket in the circumstances though.

**Joined:** Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm **Warnings:** 0

After that first round, your offer is...

BANKER'S OFFER

£13,200

KP wrote:

Well, if I moderated it a bit from £15k I'd have been happy, but I'm still fine with saving the prediction!

And with having a round to save it for - NO DEAL

**Joined:** Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm **Warnings:** 0

NO DEAL it is, and time for Round 2! Where do we go from here?

KP wrote:

18, 14, and 16...

Let's go...

18 - 1p!!! Perfect start!

14 - £50!!

KP wrote:

Oh boy...

16 - 50p!!! IT'S ONLY BLOODY 50p!!! :shock:

KP wrote:

OH GOOD GRIEF! I have £3k, the top seven, and who bloody cares which blues?

BT...

**Joined:** Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm **Warnings:** 0

This is absolutely incredible...

** RING **

He can't recall a game this strong, and now he's hoping to appeal to your sensible side!

This is an unprecedented board, but would you now like to make that prediction?

KP wrote:

I reckon it's in the twenties, but I really don't trust myself to guess where! No call!

**Joined:** Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm **Warnings:** 0

No prediction... but already we're at...

BANKER'S OFFER

£22,000

KP wrote:

Ooof, I might have guessed around there but really didn't feel confident.

I do, however, feel confident saying NO DEAL to this one!

**Joined:** Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm **Warnings:** 0

NO DEAL, next three Brenda where are we going?

KP wrote:

BRILLIANT comment

20, 21, 22!

Can this continue?!

20 - £100,000! Oof, reality check there...

21 - £3,000! Fine!

22 - £75,000!! Two big hits there... BT

**Joined:** Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm **Warnings:** 0

** RING **

That was a relief for him, but that block of four backing up the big one still isn't good news!

We're down, but how far down? Predicting?

KP wrote:

I'm thinking it's at least over half the mean...

...going to go for a rare BOX 23 prediction in the circumstances,

PLAYER'S PREDICTION

£17,550

to cover £15,950 and £19,500 in the 10% band!

**Joined:** Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm **Warnings:** 0

It's your first non-Cash in Hand prediction... He actually hedged his bets a bit more than that, it's in a

BANKER'S OFFER

£15,500

It's a 13.23% difference so we throw out MONEY BACK and we replace it with ADD HALF!

KP wrote:

Should have used it at 14-box as I'd have been closer. Annoyed as hell at that... apparently my route to winning this involves going all the way! NO DEAL!!

**Joined:** Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm **Warnings:** 0

Amazing stuff here, let's play round 4!

KP wrote:

13, 15, and 19!

13 - £100! Good start!

15 - £250,000!! Massive hit!! :smt011

Now we're chasing the £50k but that's a good block of numbers...

19 - £15,000! The block of four becomes a block of three! BT...

**Joined:** Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm **Warnings:** 0

KP wrote:

Ouch.

I've got basically H's 8-box!

** RING **

He's very relieved with that, especially with your enhanced Box 23 setup, but he's giving you a better offer than H did at this stage...

BANKER'S OFFER

£7,750

KP wrote:

I have no choice, in the circumstances, to NO DEAL!

**Joined:** Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm **Warnings:** 0

A swift No Deal into Round 5, an ABR would be great now!

KP wrote:

Sure would... and 11, 7, and 9 are the boxes!

11 - £750! Alright...

7 - £20,000! This won't be H's 5-box but it could be better...

9 - £1! And it is! Actually not a terrible scenario! BT...

**Joined:** Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm **Warnings:** 0

** RING **

For the first time this season, he's coming in with two offers...

BANKER'S OFFER

£11,500

OR

BANKER'S OFFER

£13,200 & NO 23

KP wrote:

Were I playing this in regulation mode, both of those would be interesting options. However, the best I could get from even the £11,500 and 23 would be £26.5k, and while I know there's a bonus to add to that, I'm likely facing someone who's played A Tale of Two Boxes...

**Joined:** Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm **Warnings:** 0

NO DEAL! Here we go! Five boxes will become two, best of luck David...

KP wrote:

5, 3, 1...

Every box crucial to a huge win here and possibly a seat in episode 50...

5 - £5! Great, but still two to go...

3 - £35,000! And now we're literally on the knife edge...

1 -

**Joined:** Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm **Warnings:** 0

** RING **

The Banker would be thinking about coming in at around £15k here usually for you, but you've got the eyes on that chair...

BANKER'S OFFER

£19,500

OR

BANKER'S OFFER

£22,000 & NO 23

KP wrote:

Well, I've got no chance if I win a blue, but taking £19,500 to 23 gives me a 60% chance of something that I think will give me a shot, especially bolstered... but that compares to a 50% chance with £50k...

**Joined:** Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm **Warnings:** 0

HERE WE GO, NO DEAL!! Unprecedented play from the guy who plays deal by the notion that it isn't a "take it or leave it commodity!"

KP wrote:

It sure isn't, but I want to maximise my chances of the bigger shot! And because I'm not going away empty-handed that's not THAT out of character for me in normal circumstances, I'd ND £15k with a fallback of a useful prize...

That is true! You have one final decision to make but we may know the answer - Swap or No Swap?

KP wrote:

SWAP! Bring on number 17!

Box 4 goes away and Box 17 arrives...

If this is £50,000 you could be in with a real shot of sitting in that seat for our amazing 50th game. If not, I think we may have to wave that dream goodbye...
Box 17...

**Joined:** Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm **Warnings:** 0

Thanks to your relatively okay prediction earlier, you have this advanced #moneymenu for Box 23...

DOUBLE (£100,000)
+£15,000 (£65,000)
ADD HALF (£75,000)

HALF (£25,000)
NOTHING (£0)

What on earth are you going to do after this game, are you willing to purchase Box 23 with your £50,000? Deal or No Deal?

KP wrote:

Now, on average this IS positive expectation. HOWEVER, I think £50k and the bonus is a good enough total to sit in the clubhouse with. If I'd replaced the HALF with TRIPLE I would have been tempted, but I didn't, so I'm not. NO DEAL. Option 1!

NO DEAL it is, so let's see what it'd have been...

ADD HALF (£75,000)

Up to £75k thanks to your prediction earlier! £50k is yours though, but that's not it as you need to pick your gift box, 1-5!

KP wrote:

This is the BIG... 1!

1...

£4,539

And with that, you take your winnings up to £54,539!! Awesome game there David congratulations!

KP wrote:

BOOM! WACKY MONEY!

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There we have it! That game was literally all over the place but KP conquered it to take the top spot with £54,539! What's going to happen in Leah's game? We'll find out next time!

**Joined:** Thu Jan 10, 2013 10:20 pm **Warnings:** 0

Great job, KP. :smt023

I probably would've dealt at 5 box, as wouldn't want the chance of playing show 50 to influence me too much on a 30% disaster board and both offers would be a cast-iron Deal in normal play. I definitely would've dealt £22,000 at 2 box, though, and I'm VERY surprised you turned that down. :shock:

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KP plays Aaron's DoND [46 - Secret Game]

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