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American Coupon Boy

PostPosted: Sun Jan 22, 2017 4:45 am    Author: American Coupon Boy    Post subject: Re: KP plays ACB's Deal or No Deal 015
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Joined: Thu Jan 10, 2013 10:20 pm
Warnings: 0
13- £50

Board:

50p
£1
£100

£10,000
£15,000
£35,000
£75,000
£100,000


** RING **

The Banker thought for sure that you would've exploited the button by pressing it at 10 box, and you made a serious mistake not pressing it then.

Prediction or No Prediction?

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Miss Deal or No Deal? The US version returns in Fall 2018 with yours truly as a recapper.


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KP

PostPosted: Sun Jan 22, 2017 4:50 am    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP plays ACB's Deal or No Deal 015
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Only in retrospect. ;)

No Prediction.

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Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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American Coupon Boy

PostPosted: Sun Jan 22, 2017 4:54 am    Author: American Coupon Boy    Post subject: Re: KP plays ACB's Deal or No Deal 015
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BANKER'S OFFER

£17,777



It looks like the Banker wants to force you on here. Will you take the bait, or will you take the offer? Deal or No Deal?

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Miss Deal or No Deal? The US version returns in Fall 2018 with yours truly as a recapper.


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KP

PostPosted: Sun Jan 22, 2017 4:55 am    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP plays ACB's Deal or No Deal 015
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No Deal, of course, and now I'll go one box at a time and reassess after each one; box 11 is the first of those.

_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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American Coupon Boy

PostPosted: Sun Jan 22, 2017 5:01 am    Author: American Coupon Boy    Post subject: Re: KP plays ACB's Deal or No Deal 015
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Joined: Thu Jan 10, 2013 10:20 pm
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11-
£100,000 :(

That £36,000+ potential 10 box offer is looking very good at the moment. :(


Button or Box?

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Miss Deal or No Deal? The US version returns in Fall 2018 with yours truly as a recapper.


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KP

PostPosted: Sun Jan 22, 2017 5:02 am    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP plays ACB's Deal or No Deal 015
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Oh boy. Box 7.

_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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American Coupon Boy

PostPosted: Sun Jan 22, 2017 5:05 am    Author: American Coupon Boy    Post subject: Re: KP plays ACB's Deal or No Deal 015
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Joined: Thu Jan 10, 2013 10:20 pm
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7- £1

Button or Box?

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Miss Deal or No Deal? The US version returns in Fall 2018 with yours truly as a recapper.


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KP

PostPosted: Sun Jan 22, 2017 5:06 am    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP plays ACB's Deal or No Deal 015
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Box 9. I am liking this stability, even if the stakes have fallen.

_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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American Coupon Boy

PostPosted: Sun Jan 22, 2017 5:11 am    Author: American Coupon Boy    Post subject: Re: KP plays ACB's Deal or No Deal 015
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The board is so stable at the moment that I really don't see much need in using a spoiler tag for this box. :P

9- £15,000

Board:

50p
£100

£10,000
£35,000
£75,000


** RING **

The Banker has come up with an offer, and that's all you're getting out of him. ;)

Prediction or No Prediction?

_________________
Miss Deal or No Deal? The US version returns in Fall 2018 with yours truly as a recapper.


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KP

PostPosted: Sun Jan 22, 2017 5:14 am    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP plays ACB's Deal or No Deal 015
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No prediction. This offer doesn't have a guarantee attached, and if I press the button for a future offer, that does. :P

_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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American Coupon Boy

PostPosted: Sun Jan 22, 2017 5:16 am    Author: American Coupon Boy    Post subject: Re: KP plays ACB's Deal or No Deal 015
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Joined: Thu Jan 10, 2013 10:20 pm
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Fair enough!

BANKER'S OFFER

£18,950



Already over 75% of the average, but you have the button and a chance at bonus money should you go on.

Deal or No Deal?

_________________
Miss Deal or No Deal? The US version returns in Fall 2018 with yours truly as a recapper.


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KP

PostPosted: Sun Jan 22, 2017 5:17 am    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP plays ACB's Deal or No Deal 015
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NO DEAL. There's lots of ways I can win more than that, and I'm prepared to take the risk to find one of them.

Box 5, please...

_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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 Profile  

American Coupon Boy

PostPosted: Sun Jan 22, 2017 5:20 am    Author: American Coupon Boy    Post subject: Re: KP plays ACB's Deal or No Deal 015
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Joined: Thu Jan 10, 2013 10:20 pm
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The ideal scenario here is of course finding one of those 2 blues.

5- £100 :D

Button or Box?

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Miss Deal or No Deal? The US version returns in Fall 2018 with yours truly as a recapper.


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KP

PostPosted: Sun Jan 22, 2017 5:21 am    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP plays ACB's Deal or No Deal 015
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Joined: Sat Jan 28, 2006 8:00 pm
Warnings: 0
Box 3!

_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


Top
 Profile  

American Coupon Boy

PostPosted: Sun Jan 22, 2017 5:26 am    Author: American Coupon Boy    Post subject: Re: KP plays ACB's Deal or No Deal 015
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Joined: Thu Jan 10, 2013 10:20 pm
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If this is 50p, the button will have proven to be a huge weapon in this game even if it won't be used in the 22 box game!

3-
50p :D :-D

£10,000, £35,000 and £75,000 remain. :D


Do you wish to press the button now?

_________________
Miss Deal or No Deal? The US version returns in Fall 2018 with yours truly as a recapper.


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KP

PostPosted: Sun Jan 22, 2017 5:29 am    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP plays ACB's Deal or No Deal 015
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Joined: Sat Jan 28, 2006 8:00 pm
Warnings: 0
NOPE

Box 1 :D

_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


Top
 Profile  

American Coupon Boy

PostPosted: Sun Jan 22, 2017 5:34 am    Author: American Coupon Boy    Post subject: Re: KP plays ACB's Deal or No Deal 015
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Joined: Thu Jan 10, 2013 10:20 pm
Warnings: 0
Can this box guarantee you a Power 5 win from this part of the game?

1- £75,000 :(

NOPE! :(

£10,000 and £35,000 remain........

** RING **

The Banker has a VERY bad feeling about this game.

This is your last chance to predict the offer, but doing so is always optional. Prediction or No Prediction?

_________________
Miss Deal or No Deal? The US version returns in Fall 2018 with yours truly as a recapper.


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KP

PostPosted: Sun Jan 22, 2017 5:42 am    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP plays ACB's Deal or No Deal 015
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Joined: Sat Jan 28, 2006 8:00 pm
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Nothing to lose with the prediction type I actually have, namely the straight cash one.

I'm just nervous he's going to do something really weird, but...

PLAYER'S PREDICTION

£22,400


_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


Top
 Profile  

American Coupon Boy

PostPosted: Sun Jan 22, 2017 5:50 am    Author: American Coupon Boy    Post subject: Re: KP plays ACB's Deal or No Deal 015
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Joined: Thu Jan 10, 2013 10:20 pm
Warnings: 0
This should be an easy prediction, but will the Banker be conpletely erratic for a change?

BANKER'S OFFER

£34,501



:shock: :shock: :shock:

That is a 35.08% miss, meaning the Banker now gets to look inside both remaining boxes.


** RING **

The Banker genuinely would've honored the above offer had you not predicted it. With the current circumstances, though, there's a new offer.

BANKER'S OFFER

£25,001



Deal or No Deal?

_________________
Miss Deal or No Deal? The US version returns in Fall 2018 with yours truly as a recapper.


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KP

PostPosted: Sun Jan 22, 2017 5:59 am    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: KP plays ACB's Deal or No Deal 015
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Joined: Sat Jan 28, 2006 8:00 pm
Warnings: 0
OH I SEE WHAT HE DID THERE. Make the seemingly outrageous offer to prevent cashing out, knowing that even if I didn't take the bait he's... paying out about what he would have done if he hadn't made that offer. :P

In any case... it's an AMO, and there is evidence that a Banker who knows where the money is should act as though they do not have such knowledge (Bombardini and Trebbi, 2012). DEAL. A shame I didn't anticipate it, but that's still a very nice win. Would have swapped because I always swap. ;)

_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


Top
 Profile  
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