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kestral

PostPosted: Tue May 29, 2007 4:34 pm    Author: kestral    Post subject:
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Next round

4 - £50,000
Lionel goes for another wander to change his luck

3 - 1p :D It works

He tries another wander

16 - £100


Banker time


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James1978

PostPosted: Tue May 29, 2007 4:34 pm    Author: James1978    Post subject:

Joined: Fri Aug 04, 2006 4:47 pm
Location: Darlington, NE England
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Is it just me or does 3 seem to have the 1p loads more than any other box? Closely followed by 6! :)

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"22 identical sealed boxes, and no questions except one.....do a poor deal for an easy few thousand or be brave and win a blue!"


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kestral

PostPosted: Tue May 29, 2007 4:36 pm    Author: kestral    Post subject:
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Lionel goes off for another wander!! Noel follows him around attemting to hit him on the head with the crazy chair!!! The banker advises Lionel to take this next offer...


Banker offers

£17,500


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Tom22

PostPosted: Tue May 29, 2007 4:36 pm    Author: Tom22    Post subject:

Joined: Sat Jun 17, 2006 12:12 pm
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Lionel's a legend and this is one of the best games for ages!

Round 3 Stats
Boxes left: 11
Mean: £37,659.65
Offer: £17,500
Offer (%): 46.47%
Fair Deal: £14,426.22
Volatility: 1.52
Redometer: +12
(Im trying out a new stat, the Redometer, basically ive given all reds a number 1 - 11 and all blues as well and just take the sum of the blues from the reds.)


Last edited by Tom22 on Tue May 29, 2007 4:42 pm, edited 1 time in total.

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James1978

PostPosted: Tue May 29, 2007 4:36 pm    Author: James1978    Post subject:

Joined: Fri Aug 04, 2006 4:47 pm
Location: Darlington, NE England
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Lionel's hilarious anyway - hope he wins huge - but I can't believe they put him on so early! (Maybe they picked him becuase he has the big one.....)

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"22 identical sealed boxes, and no questions except one.....do a poor deal for an easy few thousand or be brave and win a blue!"


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KP

PostPosted: Tue May 29, 2007 4:37 pm    Author: KP    Post subject:
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TOM22: that would already exist in the form of the Absolute Balance on Bother's Bar. It's a nice stat though! :)

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Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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Zeddie

PostPosted: Tue May 29, 2007 4:38 pm    Author: Zeddie    Post subject:

Joined: Sat Feb 25, 2006 7:58 pm
Location: Hertfordshire
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James1978 wrote:
Lionel's hilarious anyway - hope he wins huge - but I can't believe they put him on so early! (Maybe they picked him becuase he has the big one.....)


(Maybe, just maybe, they don't know what's in the boxes.)

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kestral

PostPosted: Tue May 29, 2007 4:38 pm    Author: kestral    Post subject:
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Lionel says he knows why it's called the crazy chair now, and he asks for a little sweep. Colin says it's a good board and there is another round there, Joe agrees but also tells him to remain focused...

Lionel says

NO DEAL


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Zeddie

PostPosted: Tue May 29, 2007 4:39 pm    Author: Zeddie    Post subject:

Joined: Sat Feb 25, 2006 7:58 pm
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Oh dear.

<Noel>Let's hope this isn't the nightmare round!</Noel>

It is...

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Last edited by Zeddie on Tue May 29, 2007 4:39 pm, edited 1 time in total.

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KP

PostPosted: Tue May 29, 2007 4:39 pm    Author: KP    Post subject:
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It's actually sad and telling that we can even make the suggestion.

Good advice from all, there is another round but that doesn't automatically mean he should be preparing to open his box...!

_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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James1978

PostPosted: Tue May 29, 2007 4:40 pm    Author: James1978    Post subject:

Joined: Fri Aug 04, 2006 4:47 pm
Location: Darlington, NE England
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Well forget that thought :(

This is Jim R's 4th round all over again - he had almost exactly the same 3rd round board and offer! That is SO unlucky! :( :(

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"22 identical sealed boxes, and no questions except one.....do a poor deal for an easy few thousand or be brave and win a blue!"


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kestral

PostPosted: Tue May 29, 2007 4:40 pm    Author: kestral    Post subject:
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Next round

19 - £250,000 :(

2 - £100,000 :( Wow says Noel

Noel asks will Lionel take the £35,000 out and complete a horrible round!! He then calls a break...


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KP

PostPosted: Tue May 29, 2007 4:40 pm    Author: KP    Post subject:
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...!!

Is this going to reinforce the conservative siege mentality that seems to exist in the Dream Factory?

_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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James1978

PostPosted: Tue May 29, 2007 4:44 pm    Author: James1978    Post subject:

Joined: Fri Aug 04, 2006 4:47 pm
Location: Darlington, NE England
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That was a 1 in 55 chance , taking out the top 2 in consecutive boxes?

I'd have played on there tooI'd have been looking for an offer over £20k - hopefuly Lionel will just be able to take it in his stride unlike Lynn, so fingers crossed it doesn't affect the following players too much!

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"22 identical sealed boxes, and no questions except one.....do a poor deal for an easy few thousand or be brave and win a blue!"


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Zeddie

PostPosted: Tue May 29, 2007 4:45 pm    Author: Zeddie    Post subject:

Joined: Sat Feb 25, 2006 7:58 pm
Location: Hertfordshire
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The worst possible round...

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kestral

PostPosted: Tue May 29, 2007 4:45 pm    Author: kestral    Post subject:
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We're back
Last box before the banker

18 - £35,000 :( Incredibly bad round says Noel

Banker time


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James1978

PostPosted: Tue May 29, 2007 4:46 pm    Author: James1978    Post subject:

Joined: Fri Aug 04, 2006 4:47 pm
Location: Darlington, NE England
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Make it a 1 in 165 chance.....

Why couldn't that happen to a third-round dealer, or someone I don't like? :evil:

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"22 identical sealed boxes, and no questions except one.....do a poor deal for an easy few thousand or be brave and win a blue!"


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Tom22

PostPosted: Tue May 29, 2007 4:47 pm    Author: Tom22    Post subject:

Joined: Sat Jun 17, 2006 12:12 pm
Warnings: 0
KP wrote:
TOM22: that would already exist in the form of the Absolute Balance on Bother's Bar. It's a nice stat though!


Oh does I thought I was on to something then, but my name for it is better ;) :P

That round was the round from hell! It was a disaster :(

Round 4 Stats
Boxes left: 8
Mean: £3,657.01
Offer: £750
Offer (%): 20.51%
Fair Deal: £1,578.98
Volatility: 2.16
Redometer: -16


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kestral

PostPosted: Tue May 29, 2007 4:47 pm    Author: kestral    Post subject:
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The worst round possible for Lionel, but he tries to remain positive and says that the £20,000 is still out there. The banker says that he loves both white and dark chocolate, and he also gets equal pleasure from crushing the older and younger players!!


Banker offers

£750


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kestral

PostPosted: Tue May 29, 2007 4:47 pm    Author: kestral    Post subject:
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Lionel says

NO DEAL


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