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kestral

PostPosted: Sun May 27, 2007 5:23 pm    Author: kestral    Post subject:
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Noel says Sarah could go into the hall of fame here as the biggest victory for the banker if Sarah finds out she could have won £250,000!

Noel calls a break...


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Power5

PostPosted: Sun May 27, 2007 5:24 pm    Author: Power5    Post subject:
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Solskjaer wrote:
Shocking Deal with the top two still in play.


I wonder what basicasic will make of this? :-D

Horrible board of course, but we could well be on for the most horrible proveout of all time here if she doesn't take the big two out quickly!

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Solskjaer

PostPosted: Sun May 27, 2007 5:25 pm    Author: Solskjaer    Post subject:
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Power5 wrote:
Solskjaer wrote:
Shocking Deal with the top two still in play.


I wonder what basicasic will make of this? :-D

Horrible board of course, but we could well be on for the most horrible proveout of all time here if she doesn't take the big two out quickly!


I can see this being costly if I'm honest


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kestral

PostPosted: Sun May 27, 2007 5:25 pm    Author: kestral    Post subject:
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Cazzie wrote:
kestral wrote:
Noel uses Gaz's hundreds and thousands ice cream line!! :-D

Sarah says

NO DEAL


Power5 wrote:
The 99 and "hundreds and thousands" references at the opening offer take you back to £100k Gaz's game, hopefully the outcome will be similar here!


A Gaz reference on my birthday, my day is complete!! :P :lol:

:-D

HAPPY BIRTHDAY CAZZIE :smt113 :banana: :smt026


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alexandercbrown

PostPosted: Sun May 27, 2007 5:25 pm    Author: alexandercbrown    Post subject:

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£7,500 wasn't that good. i was expecting a stick to be honest.
It seems quite a cautious deal, I wouldn't have dealt as it was too early on and wouldn't have too many regrets if it crashed but lets see what happens as it her decision and her money. Would have considered it alot more if it was 10-15K though.


Last edited by alexandercbrown on Sun May 27, 2007 5:28 pm, edited 1 time in total.

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KP

PostPosted: Sun May 27, 2007 5:27 pm    Author: KP    Post subject:
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Makes a change for someone to realise the board is unstable though!

I'd have gone on but with at least one eye on getting out at eight-box. The odds are just about on for the nightmare proveout round here, 50.9% chance of keeping the top two. 5.5% chance of taking out both.

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KP

PostPosted: Sun May 27, 2007 5:28 pm    Author: KP    Post subject:
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I can see it being costly but maybe not as much as some are thinking. I bet some people here are expecting (or at least hoping for) the Teary Donna finish already!

Maybe it'll go in an odd way, like hitting £250k this round but keeping £100k to very near the end?

Also, what alexandercbrown said. If that were five figures I'd be a hell of a lot more tempted. £15k would have me out on that board, £10k would if I were scared. £7.5k wouldn't.

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Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


Last edited by KP on Sun May 27, 2007 5:29 pm, edited 1 time in total.

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Power5

PostPosted: Sun May 27, 2007 5:28 pm    Author: Power5    Post subject:
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KP wrote:
Makes a change for someone to realise the board is unstable though!

Unstable perhaps, and certainly worth considering the chance to exit at the next offer, but taking £7,500 with the top two in play is in the greeny league of cautious play!

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Oh and five others, guess I need to update this!


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kestral

PostPosted: Sun May 27, 2007 5:30 pm    Author: kestral    Post subject:
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We're back and it's proveout time...

Noel tells us that Sarah told him that she has NEVER had that sort of money before, and infact she has no money....


Proveout Round

12 - £250 Newbie Jon

2 - £50 No, it's a fabulous round says Noel

1 - £250,000 :D Big relief there...

Banker time


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Solskjaer

PostPosted: Sun May 27, 2007 5:30 pm    Author: Solskjaer    Post subject:
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maybe not such a bad deal after all then :D


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KP

PostPosted: Sun May 27, 2007 5:30 pm    Author: KP    Post subject:
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Power5 wrote:
KP wrote:
Makes a change for someone to realise the board is unstable though!

Unstable perhaps, and certainly worth considering the chance to exit at the next offer, but taking £7,500 with the top two in play is in the greeny league of cautious play!


Completely agreed.

I suppose this has proved they aren't picking 22 identical walking Wakeys though. I cannot express enough how happy I am at that. I prefer a variety of contestants with maybe a tendency towards the fiscally moderate.

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"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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kestral

PostPosted: Sun May 27, 2007 5:31 pm    Author: kestral    Post subject:
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Noel asks is that last box enough, or have you missed out on more money

Banker would have offered

£4,000


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Tom22

PostPosted: Sun May 27, 2007 5:31 pm    Author: Tom22    Post subject:

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Wooo!

Round 4 Stats
Boxes left: 8
Mean: £14,032.63
Offer: £4,000
Offer (%): 28.50%
Fair Deal: £3,935.36
Volatility: 8.16


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kestral

PostPosted: Sun May 27, 2007 5:32 pm    Author: kestral    Post subject:
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Next proveout

21 - £750

14 - £1,000 We need 100 times more than that says Noel

22 - £10,000 NO NO says Noel

Banker time


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KP

PostPosted: Sun May 27, 2007 5:33 pm    Author: KP    Post subject:
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This feels like a flashback to March 2006. I'm talking the Sequencegate-era offers rather than the legendary characters though (not watching the show so can't speak for how entertaining these guys and gals are).

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Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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Tom22

PostPosted: Sun May 27, 2007 5:33 pm    Author: Tom22    Post subject:

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Round 5 Stats
Boxes left: 5
Mean: £20,102.20
Offer: £7,501
Offer (%): 37.31%
Fair Deal: £4,701.86
Volatility: 195.69

Hah :P


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kestral

PostPosted: Sun May 27, 2007 5:34 pm    Author: kestral    Post subject:
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It would have been all or peanuts now says Noel, and he's not sure where the offer would have gone now, although the banker has to be honest!

Banker would have offered

£7,501


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KP

PostPosted: Sun May 27, 2007 5:35 pm    Author: KP    Post subject:
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The thing is, it's still a 75-25 TPW at the moment, the margin hasn't changed because of the £10,000 second offer!

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Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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JasonK

PostPosted: Sun May 27, 2007 5:35 pm    Author: JasonK    Post subject:

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£7,500 would have been a poor offer if she was still in the game. Less than 10% of the board with only 5 boxes left.

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kestral

PostPosted: Sun May 27, 2007 5:35 pm    Author: kestral    Post subject:
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Next provout

4 - £500

8 - £10 Rita now has a little box and can see over her box!!

9 - £1



Banker time with 1p and £100,000 remaining


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