Tis Mark's game

He has box number: 8

Should be a good game

First Round:

3 - £1

13 - £250,000

11 - 10p

1 - £35,000

22 - £5,000

First Offer:

£2,400

No Deal!

I arrived early, but have just had a bit of a computer calamity, so I'm going to be a bit late with the stats.

Second Round:

20 - 1p {No New member today }

21 - £5

17 - After the break

lance is doing the voice-over.

Here's the stats after the first round... £2,400 with this board is low, even with the loss of the 250k. I think the banker is testing the waters to see how he reacts.

17 boxes left

Average: £16,216
Offer: £2,400
Offer (%): 14.8

Highest offer: £2,400
Highest offer (%): 14.8

2 box median: £7,501
Fair deal: £6,333

Risk of collapse: 40%

Back from the commercial break

17 - £250

Blue Round

Bankers Offer:

£9,600

A good offer, again I think it might be an offer to test his resolve rather than made as an expectation for him to deal.

14 boxes left

Average: £19,672
Offer: £9,600
Offer (%): 48.8

Highest offer: £9,600
Highest offer (%): 48.8

2 box median: £10,013
Fair deal: £9,089

Highest future average: £20,394 (11 boxes left)
Risk of collapse: 31%

No Deal

Round 3 -

16 - £750

9 - 50p

6 - £10,000

A very good offer at this stage, and take a look at the highest future average below; It's below the current average, a sign that it's as good as it gets.

A pivotal point here, he hasn't dealt, so he might go all the way...

11 boxes left

Average: £24,060
Offer: £17,000
Offer (%): 70.64

Highest offer: £17,000
Highest offer (%): 70.64

2 box median: £18,253
Fair deal: £12,032

Highest future average: £23,966 (5 boxes left)
Risk of collapse: 27%

Bankers Offer:

17,000

No Deal

Next Round -

4 - £500

2 - £50,000

14- After break

And were back from the commercial break

We go too Box 14

14 - £1,000

An OK round

Bankers Offer:

£17,000 again!

A good round, the banker's stuck because there is a good chance the average will weaken, but the correct thing to do is to no deal...

Which he has done.

8 boxes left

Average: £26,645
Offer: £17,000
Offer (%): 63.79

Highest offer: £17,000
Highest offer (%): 70.64

2 box median: £14,500
Fair deal: £13,485

Highest future average: £24,617 (5 boxes left)
Risk of collapse: 21%

No Deal

Round 5 -

10 - £75,000

7 - £100

After a long time choosing

18 - £50

Bankers Offer:

£10,000

This is interesting, the median is higher than the two box median.

I know exactly why the banker's offered £10,000, the perception that he isn't taking it seriously.

5 boxes left

Average: £27,602
Offer: £10,000
Offer (%): 36.21

Highest offer: £17,000
Highest offer (%): 70.64

2 box median: £14,500
Fair deal: £16,285

Risk of collapse: 10%

A quick No Deal!

Next Round: -

19 - £15,000

12 - £3,000

15 - £20,000