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Deal or No Deal forum index » UK DoND Forums » Deal or No Deal Show Commentaries & DiscussionAll times are UTC [ DST ]



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American Coupon Boy

PostPosted: Wed Jul 08, 2015 5:29 pm    Author: American Coupon Boy    Post subject: Re: 08/07 Adam
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Joined: Thu Jan 10, 2013 10:20 pm
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Now to address some earlier posts:

American Coupon Boy wrote:
Actually, I think this is the WORST EVER board at the 2nd offer. :shock: :shock: :(


In terms of the mean, Adam did indeed have the worst board at the 2nd offer as he was the first person to take out the Top 6 amounts in the first two rounds. However, Sue from last July (who had all 11 blues, £10k, £15k and £20k at that stage) and Adie from November 2008 (who had 10 blues, £1k, £3k, £10k and £20k at that stage) had worse boards in terms of the Fair Deal.

BankerSpanker wrote:
American Coupon Boy wrote:
BankerSpanker wrote:
The odds of taking out the Power 5 in 7 boxes are a staggering
1 IN 26,334!!


I think you got that wrong. That's the odds of eliminating the Power 5 in the first 5 boxes.

This is how I came up with that result:
Image


Yes, that's how you calculate the odds of the Power 5 going in 5 particular boxes. :P

The odds of finding them in the first 7 boxes is (17*16*15*14*13*12*11*10*9*8*7*6*5*4*3)/(22*21*20*19*18*17*16*15*14*13*12*11*10*9*8) = 1 in 1254

The odds of finding the Top 6 amounts in the first 7 boxes, however, is (16*15*14*13*12*11*10*9*8*7*6*5*4*3*2)/(22*21*20*19*18*17*16*15*14*13*12*11*10*9*8) = 1 in 10,659 :shock:

To put how unlucky Adam's start was into further context, had he picked his boxes in reverse order he would've had the strongest 8 box of all time.

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jamesfish

PostPosted: Mon Jul 13, 2015 7:02 pm    Author: jamesfish    Post subject: Re: 08/07 Adam

Joined: Mon Aug 13, 2007 5:38 pm
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Was this the last game before the summer break?


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Mark

PostPosted: Mon Jul 13, 2015 7:22 pm    Author: Mark    Post subject: Re: 08/07 Adam

Joined: Thu May 18, 2006 2:09 am
Location: Ipswich
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Yup. It'll be back sometime in August probably, after 15 to 1.


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