Now to address some earlier posts:
American Coupon Boy wrote:
In terms of the mean, Adam did indeed have the worst board at the 2nd offer as he was the first person to take out the Top 6 amounts in the first two rounds. However, Sue from last July (who had all 11 blues, £10k, £15k and £20k at that stage) and Adie from November 2008 (who had 10 blues, £1k, £3k, £10k and £20k at that stage) had worse boards in terms of the Fair Deal.
BankerSpanker wrote:
American Coupon Boy wrote:
BankerSpanker wrote:
The odds of taking out the Power 5 in 7 boxes are a staggering
1 IN 26,334!!
I think you got that wrong. That's the odds of eliminating the Power 5 in the first 5 boxes.
This is how I came up with that result:
Yes, that's how you calculate the odds of the Power 5 going in 5 particular boxes.
The odds of finding them in the first 7 boxes is (17*16*15*14*13*12*11*10*9*8*7*6*5*4*3)/(22*21*20*19*18*17*16*15*14*13*12*11*10*9*8) =
1 in 1254The odds of finding the Top 6 amounts in the first 7 boxes, however, is (16*15*14*13*12*11*10*9*8*7*6*5*4*3*2)/(22*21*20*19*18*17*16*15*14*13*12*11*10*9*8) =
1 in 10,659 To put how unlucky Adam's start was into further context, had he picked his boxes in reverse order he would've had the strongest 8 box of all time.