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Simon F

PostPosted: Fri Jun 17, 2011 4:50 pm    Author: Simon F    Post subject: Re: 17/06 Charlie
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PJ finish and I wouldn't be surprised if we get the Banker's gamble here.

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killersbee

PostPosted: Fri Jun 17, 2011 4:50 pm    Author: killersbee    Post subject: Re: 17/06 Charlie
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The jackpot goes at the last minute but he could still lose

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KP

PostPosted: Fri Jun 17, 2011 4:50 pm    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: 17/06 Charlie
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Better than it looks, but not enough: like cfd, I am thinking mid-twenties before I am anguishing.

As Simon points out, the offer is where the 30% chance of a £75k-high finish would be, so fitting my approach to these boards. I just don't think I could not chase this though.

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h2005

PostPosted: Fri Jun 17, 2011 4:51 pm    Author: h2005    Post subject: Re: 17/06 Charlie
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The banker says this month is really putting the pressure on his nerves!

Banker's offer:

BANKER'S GAMBLE

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killersbee

PostPosted: Fri Jun 17, 2011 4:51 pm    Author: killersbee    Post subject: Re: 17/06 Charlie
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Woah! The Banker's gamble is back...should've known that was coming with the time left on the clock

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H2005: "Anyone can quote anything from here, so long as kestral and I get £4,523.49 each for every word that's quoted."


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Mark

PostPosted: Fri Jun 17, 2011 4:52 pm    Author: Mark    Post subject: Re: 17/06 Charlie

Joined: Thu May 18, 2006 2:09 am
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So far this season, the bankers gamble has not been accepted.

Hopefully today that will change.

His target is still reachable... the banker's given him a MASSIVE lifeline.


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norwichdonder

PostPosted: Fri Jun 17, 2011 4:52 pm    Author: norwichdonder    Post subject: Re: 17/06 Charlie

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50/50 to win £75k. better than any quid scratchcard you could buy. Still what does £20k buy him at 80, few nice hols so does he really need £75k?!

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Simon F

PostPosted: Fri Jun 17, 2011 4:53 pm    Author: Simon F    Post subject: Re: 17/06 Charlie
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I don't think he should take the gamble here. I doubt I would.

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h2005

PostPosted: Fri Jun 17, 2011 4:53 pm    Author: h2005    Post subject: Re: 17/06 Charlie
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Beryl-Anne asks what Charlie's wife would think here, and he wonders what would happen if he finished with 1p! G asks if Charlie's a gambler, and he says only to a certain extent.

Charlie says

NO DEAL

He keeps the £20,000.

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killersbee

PostPosted: Fri Jun 17, 2011 4:53 pm    Author: killersbee    Post subject: Re: 17/06 Charlie
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He declines it...

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KP

PostPosted: Fri Jun 17, 2011 4:54 pm    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: 17/06 Charlie
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Forget the backing. Forget the drama. Forget how you got here. This is one question. Is £75,000 twice as good as £20,000?

I think it just about is for me. Goodness would I rather have still been in play with a £25k offer though.

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In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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Mark

PostPosted: Fri Jun 17, 2011 4:55 pm    Author: Mark    Post subject: Re: 17/06 Charlie

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OH DEAR...

Should have been thinking my target still could be reached a lot more...

He had his change, but blew it BIG TIME.....


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killersbee

PostPosted: Fri Jun 17, 2011 4:55 pm    Author: killersbee    Post subject: Re: 17/06 Charlie
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It's a victory to the banker on this one...after what was looking like a powerful game

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H2005: "Anyone can quote anything from here, so long as kestral and I get £4,523.49 each for every word that's quoted."


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h2005

PostPosted: Fri Jun 17, 2011 4:55 pm    Author: h2005    Post subject: Re: 17/06 Charlie
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Noel says that would've been such a big gamble.

Charlie has £75,000 in his box 9.

Box 21 with Charlotte contains the 1p

Charlie says he's quite happy with what he got. Noel reveals that Charlie wrote "Diamond wedding £25,000" in the book. Charlie says he didn't go at the £25k offer as the board was so strong.

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Simon F

PostPosted: Fri Jun 17, 2011 4:57 pm    Author: Simon F    Post subject: Re: 17/06 Charlie
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Excellent - he reached his target but realised that the offer wasn't good enough for the board.

Then the £20k was near enough for what he wanted that he wasn't going to risk it at the end.

Ignoring what was in the box, his logic was spot on today.

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KP

PostPosted: Fri Jun 17, 2011 4:58 pm    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: 17/06 Charlie
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Good to see he wasn't a rigid targetist, and if his aim was £25k then £20k is most of the way there. Keeping even one more red at five-box would have done it, of course, but that was good play.

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Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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cfd

PostPosted: Fri Jun 17, 2011 4:59 pm    Author: cfd    Post subject: Re: 17/06 Charlie

Joined: Mon Mar 09, 2009 6:02 pm
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Assuming I'd have been offered £20k I'd have taken it. On that basis the bankers gamble is a no deal for me. But only just!


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hogwild94

PostPosted: Fri Jun 17, 2011 5:03 pm    Author: hogwild94    Post subject: Re: 17/06 Charlie
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Looks like the Banker's Gamble isn't gone for good then!

Well, that was well played by Charlie though, a nice chap who will clearly enjoy the money!

Also, the newbie's name is Micole, not Nicole.

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JS Boy

PostPosted: Fri Jun 17, 2011 9:19 pm    Author: JS Boy    Post subject: Re: 17/06 Charlie

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Well well well, he had the 75k, what a surprise ... not!


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Moxx of Balhoom

PostPosted: Fri Jun 17, 2011 11:44 pm    Author: Moxx of Balhoom    Post subject: Re: 17/06 Charlie

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Can't say i fault Charlie's reasoning there, that 8 box board was definately worth playing on, regardless of whether or not he'd reached his target, but the 5 box board was far more precarious. Personally i'd have been hoping to keep three of the power five in play in order to warrant playing on. I don't know if i would have wanted to take the BG with the 1p still in play either (and what's the betting if Charlie had said Deal the Banker would have immediately phoned again to offer the swap?)

In gameplay terms he technically went either too early or too late, but I think he played the odds in a sensible way

Bit surprised his target was £25k though, i had him down as a £20k man

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