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cfd

PostPosted: Mon Jun 13, 2011 4:45 pm    Author: cfd    Post subject: Re: 13/06 Danni

Joined: Mon Mar 09, 2009 6:02 pm
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Looking at the offer. £23.5k is prob dealable but I THINK i'd push on. I'm not sure our 5-box EV is massively better though...


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h2005

PostPosted: Mon Jun 13, 2011 4:46 pm    Author: h2005    Post subject: Re: 13/06 Danni
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We're back

Round 5

19 - newbie Charlotte - £50,000

8 - Victoria - £100

5 - Charlie - £5

Banker time

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KP

PostPosted: Mon Jun 13, 2011 4:46 pm    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: 13/06 Danni
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I can decide that the board is attractive. We can both agree on that :D

Especially now it's all-red. I am wanting £40k to even blink.

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"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


Last edited by KP on Mon Jun 13, 2011 4:47 pm, edited 1 time in total.

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cfd

PostPosted: Mon Jun 13, 2011 4:47 pm    Author: cfd    Post subject: Re: 13/06 Danni

Joined: Mon Mar 09, 2009 6:02 pm
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£40,000 is my walking point here.


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h2005

PostPosted: Mon Jun 13, 2011 4:47 pm    Author: h2005    Post subject: Re: 13/06 Danni
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Noel says having an all-red 5-box in live-play is rare.

Banker's offer:

£33,500

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cfd

PostPosted: Mon Jun 13, 2011 4:48 pm    Author: cfd    Post subject: Re: 13/06 Danni

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Nope. Too low. On we go :)

That isn't even half the average...


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Mark

PostPosted: Mon Jun 13, 2011 4:48 pm    Author: Mark    Post subject: Re: 13/06 Danni

Joined: Thu May 18, 2006 2:09 am
Location: Ipswich
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Very good offer but with a all red five box, including the biggie and the £75k... very worth going on. Just have to be very brave.


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KP

PostPosted: Mon Jun 13, 2011 4:49 pm    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: 13/06 Danni
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cfd wrote:
£40,000 is my walking point here.


Fair call... tbh I overstated how much I would brush aside an offer in the thirties. Although doing so might get me something near the mean at the end, which you can afford to go for on this board...

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Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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h2005

PostPosted: Mon Jun 13, 2011 4:49 pm    Author: h2005    Post subject: Re: 13/06 Danni
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Danni runs trough all the things she could do with the money. She says the sensible part of her is telling her to deal.

Danni says

DEAL

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cfd

PostPosted: Mon Jun 13, 2011 4:50 pm    Author: cfd    Post subject: Re: 13/06 Danni

Joined: Mon Mar 09, 2009 6:02 pm
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Can't fault the deal at all there. She's 21 and £33.5k is a serious sum of money.

Let's just hope these boxes are nice to her...


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wkd

PostPosted: Mon Jun 13, 2011 4:51 pm    Author: wkd    Post subject: Re: 13/06 Danni

Joined: Thu Nov 22, 2007 6:04 pm
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Oh. What was wrong with 23.5 then?


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h2005

PostPosted: Mon Jun 13, 2011 4:53 pm    Author: h2005    Post subject: Re: 13/06 Danni
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Round 6 - proveout

The banker rings and says if Danni spanks him, he'll give her a DoND mug!

22 - Macka - £250,000

11 - Hayley - £20,000

10 - Seema - £75,000

Banker time with £1,000 and £10,000 remaining...

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cfd

PostPosted: Mon Jun 13, 2011 4:54 pm    Author: cfd    Post subject: Re: 13/06 Danni

Joined: Mon Mar 09, 2009 6:02 pm
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Those boxes were quite nice I do have to say.


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h2005

PostPosted: Mon Jun 13, 2011 4:54 pm    Author: h2005    Post subject: Re: 13/06 Danni
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Noel says Danni's played the perfect game and she now gets the mug!

Banker's offer would've been:

£3,500

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h2005

PostPosted: Mon Jun 13, 2011 4:54 pm    Author: h2005    Post subject: Re: 13/06 Danni
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The banker says he wasn't robbed, he was mugged. :P

Danni has £1,000 in her box 4.

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wkd

PostPosted: Mon Jun 13, 2011 4:55 pm    Author: wkd    Post subject: Re: 13/06 Danni

Joined: Thu Nov 22, 2007 6:04 pm
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wkd wrote:
Oh. What was wrong with 23.5 then?


Oh well. What do I know?


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h2005

PostPosted: Mon Jun 13, 2011 4:55 pm    Author: h2005    Post subject: Re: 13/06 Danni
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Box 15 with Andy contains the £10,000

The other contestants rush out to congratulate Danni, so Noel sits in the audience!

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KP

PostPosted: Mon Jun 13, 2011 4:55 pm    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: 13/06 Danni
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And that's why some players are targetists.

Five OPWs and a big TPW in seven games, and after two straight weeks with a mean win above the mean of the 22 boxes, we're in that territory again! What a spell this is!

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Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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cfd

PostPosted: Mon Jun 13, 2011 4:56 pm    Author: cfd    Post subject: Re: 13/06 Danni

Joined: Mon Mar 09, 2009 6:02 pm
Location: Leeds
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It's another of those where if the player is dealing £33.5k then she really should have dealt the £23.5k too. The £23.5k was a better offer for the board at that point I feel.

That said the usual mentality is to push it as far as you can before common sense kicks in and you think "what am I doing???".


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killersbee

PostPosted: Mon Jun 13, 2011 4:57 pm    Author: killersbee    Post subject: Re: 13/06 Danni
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Call it what you will, it's an OPW at the end of the day, a great start to the week :D

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