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norwichdonder

PostPosted: Sun Jun 05, 2011 4:50 pm    Author: norwichdonder    Post subject: Re: 05/06 Emma

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haha a joke about Noels bad memory which we often comment on! Lets see that statto soon so we don't have his bad memory letting the side down.

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hogwild94

PostPosted: Sun Jun 05, 2011 4:53 pm    Author: hogwild94    Post subject: Re: 05/06 Emma
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Round 4

Noel tells Emma not to be a self-fulfilling prophecy.

Box 22 with Danni - £5

Can you find another, says Noel. Can she actually take out the three lowest?

Box 11 with Beryl-Anne - £100,000

Emma wants the bunny ears back! Noel puts the visor hat on instead! :lol:

Box 4 with Charlie - £15,000

Banker time.

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norwichdonder

PostPosted: Sun Jun 05, 2011 4:54 pm    Author: norwichdonder    Post subject: Re: 05/06 Emma

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LOL. she doesn't know what she's thinking :ponder:

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hogwild94

PostPosted: Sun Jun 05, 2011 4:54 pm    Author: hogwild94    Post subject: Re: 05/06 Emma
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3-5 at 8-box, says Noel. There are parallels with Tony's game, he says, where made a gamble.

Banker's offer:

£11,000

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norwichdonder

PostPosted: Sun Jun 05, 2011 4:55 pm    Author: norwichdonder    Post subject: Re: 05/06 Emma

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11k. Her body language said it all. You could see she let out a sigh when Noel gave her the offer. 50/50 if she's going to deal!

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Simon F

PostPosted: Sun Jun 05, 2011 4:55 pm    Author: Simon F    Post subject: Re: 05/06 Emma
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2-box game at 8-box. Low teens would be good here. Taking out the £250k and it's going to be high 4-figures, take out the £75k and it's not going to be a lot more than £20k (more like £15k if the £10k goes too).

I think £11k is a little too low for me here.

Edit - so the £75k going isn't going to be a large increase now. Might be worth dealing here with that info.

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Last edited by Simon F on Sun Jun 05, 2011 4:57 pm, edited 1 time in total.

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norwichdonder

PostPosted: Sun Jun 05, 2011 4:57 pm    Author: norwichdonder    Post subject: Re: 05/06 Emma

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Im tempted to say she will deal. Scared of losing the big two.

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hogwild94

PostPosted: Sun Jun 05, 2011 4:57 pm    Author: hogwild94    Post subject: Re: 05/06 Emma
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Ade says he'd go on, as there are more blues to hit. Emma says her aim was higher. G says it depends on her gambling. The Banker calls and says it's likely she'll take two blues and a red, but she musn't hit either of the two big ones. The Banker says he'll reward her if she goes on and it works out. Emma says she doesn't really need the money, but she'd be gutted if it doesn't work out.

The Banker calls back at the last minute, and says he wouldn't want to be in this situation.

Emma says:

NO DEAL

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hogwild94

PostPosted: Sun Jun 05, 2011 4:58 pm    Author: hogwild94    Post subject: Re: 05/06 Emma
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Emma thinks she's stupid, as she said she'd never gamble. Noel calls a break...

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norwichdonder

PostPosted: Sun Jun 05, 2011 5:01 pm    Author: norwichdonder    Post subject: Re: 05/06 Emma

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Well she's extremely emotional now with the crying. A single power 5 revealed or total crash is going to be very tough watching. Up there with Robs nightmare proveout.

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Simon F

PostPosted: Sun Jun 05, 2011 5:01 pm    Author: Simon F    Post subject: Re: 05/06 Emma
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hogwild94 wrote:
Emma thinks she's stupid, as she said she'd never gamble. Noel calls a break...


If she ends up with a 1-box game after the next round, I think she's going to have to go to 2-box as the offer will be pitched low.

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norwichdonder

PostPosted: Sun Jun 05, 2011 5:03 pm    Author: norwichdonder    Post subject: Re: 05/06 Emma

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Simon F wrote:
If she ends up with a 1-box game after the next round, I think she's going to have to go to 2-box as the offer will be pitched low.

Agree. If she loses the 250k then the offer may well be a stick or minus a few k. If she loses the 75k they may pitch the offer just shy of 20k.

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hogwild94

PostPosted: Sun Jun 05, 2011 5:06 pm    Author: hogwild94    Post subject: Re: 05/06 Emma
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We're back!

Emma is talking to Ade, who is giving her advice.

Round 5

Box 7 with newbie Gary - 50p

The Banker said two blues and a red was most likely, says Noel.

Box 5 with Olga - £250

This is so important, says Noel.

Box 16 with Seema - £50 :D

Banker time.

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Simon F

PostPosted: Sun Jun 05, 2011 5:07 pm    Author: Simon F    Post subject: Re: 05/06 Emma
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Wow, not only the 35.7% chance of not hitting the top 2, but the 17.85% of not hitting the top 3.

Ought to be £26k minimum here.

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norwichdonder

PostPosted: Sun Jun 05, 2011 5:07 pm    Author: norwichdonder    Post subject: Re: 05/06 Emma

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the governor?

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hogwild94

PostPosted: Sun Jun 05, 2011 5:07 pm    Author: hogwild94    Post subject: Re: 05/06 Emma
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The Banker says Emma defied the odds.

Banker's offer:

£27,000

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norwichdonder

PostPosted: Sun Jun 05, 2011 5:08 pm    Author: norwichdonder    Post subject: Re: 05/06 Emma

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Lady luck shining on her today. Odd that many of the Sunday games are the most memorable!
I'm saying she will deal, but who knows if she's feeling lucky punk

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hogwild94

PostPosted: Sun Jun 05, 2011 5:09 pm    Author: hogwild94    Post subject: Re: 05/06 Emma
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Your courage is rewarded, says Noel. Emma thinks she has 75k; a lot of people have said she'd win it! :shock: Annette says 27k is massive. Jonny says he'd deal.

Emma says:

DEAL

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Simon F

PostPosted: Sun Jun 05, 2011 5:09 pm    Author: Simon F    Post subject: Re: 05/06 Emma
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The presence of the QM means that the EV is a lot more than that. £75k/blue won't be as high as that.

So 40% of a lot more
10% of a bit more (£75k/£10k will be around £35k)
20% of a bit less
30% of disaster.

Deal is sensible here and especially for her.

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Simon F

PostPosted: Sun Jun 05, 2011 5:11 pm    Author: Simon F    Post subject: Re: 05/06 Emma
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BG possibly if the next box is 10p.

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