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RMF1254

PostPosted: Tue Apr 12, 2011 4:33 pm    Author: RMF1254    Post subject: Re: 12/04 Shannon
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Noel being a plonker again... :roll: :roll: :roll: ;)

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h2005

PostPosted: Tue Apr 12, 2011 4:34 pm    Author: h2005    Post subject: Re: 12/04 Shannon
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Shannon's friends say she still has some big values with backups, and it's unlikely she'll take out high values in the next round. Hugo says there's still another round in it.

Shannon says

NO DEAL

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KP

PostPosted: Tue Apr 12, 2011 4:35 pm    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: 12/04 Shannon
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Would just about prefer this board at 11-box to the opposite, I think. That would be a good hypothetical decision. How many would swap boards for the eleven that have gone? It's more of a decision than that actual offer...

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RMF1254

PostPosted: Tue Apr 12, 2011 4:36 pm    Author: RMF1254    Post subject: Re: 12/04 Shannon
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Think the Banker was stingy going down £500 there - she took out only the fourth-highest amount on the board, as well as a blue and an orange...

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h2005

PostPosted: Tue Apr 12, 2011 4:37 pm    Author: h2005    Post subject: Re: 12/04 Shannon
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Round 4

4 - Helen - £750

Noel says newbie Iain is a statistical analyst in sports, and says he looks like a giraffe waiting to eat. :lol:

1 - newbie Iain - £5

21 - Tanya - £20,000

Banker time

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Winner

PostPosted: Tue Apr 12, 2011 4:37 pm    Author: Winner    Post subject: Re: 12/04 Shannon

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itchy and scratchy.... :blueponder


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RMF1254

PostPosted: Tue Apr 12, 2011 4:38 pm    Author: RMF1254    Post subject: Re: 12/04 Shannon
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Would this be the sort of board on which to offer £16k, I wonder...

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h2005

PostPosted: Tue Apr 12, 2011 4:39 pm    Author: h2005    Post subject: Re: 12/04 Shannon
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Noel says the 1p has really pulled the offers down recently, but Shannon still has 3 big values. The banker says the solidity of those 3 values balances out the dragging power of the 1p.

Banker's offer:

£12,000

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KP

PostPosted: Tue Apr 12, 2011 4:39 pm    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: 12/04 Shannon
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I think I would want £15k here. That's roughly what I would expect for hitting one and only one big red in the next round, which is the likeliest outcome. (Basing that on it being £75k; it goes up if £50k and down if £100k, natch.)

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"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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Winner

PostPosted: Tue Apr 12, 2011 4:39 pm    Author: Winner    Post subject: Re: 12/04 Shannon

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no deal, silly increase on a solid board :D


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RMF1254

PostPosted: Tue Apr 12, 2011 4:40 pm    Author: RMF1254    Post subject: Re: 12/04 Shannon
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Well, I suppose Noel and the Banker have a point about the 1p...

I'd go on regardless, though.

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h2005

PostPosted: Tue Apr 12, 2011 4:43 pm    Author: h2005    Post subject: Re: 12/04 Shannon
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Shannon says if she plays on now, she thinks she'll play on to the end. Shannon talks about Sophie's game, and Jim points out that Shannon's game is different. Her friends say she's given out good advice to the others, and she needs to go with how she feels. Shannon says she has no idea what to do, and Noel helps her by running through the possible outcomes of the next round, and she says she's worried that she doesn't have any good backups. Noel talks about the rise of the OHO, and wonders if that is an influencing factor here.

Shannon says

DEAL

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KP

PostPosted: Tue Apr 12, 2011 4:43 pm    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: 12/04 Shannon
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£12k is no insult, but it's also No Deal.

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Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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h2005

PostPosted: Tue Apr 12, 2011 4:43 pm    Author: h2005    Post subject: Re: 12/04 Shannon
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Noel calls a break...

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RMF1254

PostPosted: Tue Apr 12, 2011 4:43 pm    Author: RMF1254    Post subject: Re: 12/04 Shannon
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What??!? :shock: :shock: :shock:

I can't help but feel she might have made a mistake here... especially with three of the Power 5 still there... :? :?

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Last edited by RMF1254 on Tue Apr 12, 2011 4:44 pm, edited 1 time in total.

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Mark

PostPosted: Tue Apr 12, 2011 4:43 pm    Author: Mark    Post subject: Re: 12/04 Shannon

Joined: Thu May 18, 2006 2:09 am
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There was always one more round in it. I've a feeling it's a mistake.


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Winner

PostPosted: Tue Apr 12, 2011 4:44 pm    Author: Winner    Post subject: Re: 12/04 Shannon

Joined: Wed Mar 30, 2011 4:24 pm
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why can't noel just sometimes, once in a while, NOT influence the players to deal at crap £ :ponder:


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KP

PostPosted: Tue Apr 12, 2011 4:44 pm    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: 12/04 Shannon
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Maybe the emphasis on the 1p reduced the offer upside potential.

Expect a massive proveout lie if it goes...

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Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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RMF1254

PostPosted: Tue Apr 12, 2011 4:45 pm    Author: RMF1254    Post subject: Re: 12/04 Shannon
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I'm being slow again, it seems... :lol: ;)

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h2005

PostPosted: Tue Apr 12, 2011 4:50 pm    Author: h2005    Post subject: Re: 12/04 Shannon
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We're back

Round 5 - proveout

Noel says we might have the round from hell now.

14 - Hilde - £100,000

18 - Abbey - £75,000

19 - Roy - 1p

Banker time

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