Deal or No Deal Fansite and Forum: Welcome to DOND, the home of Deal or No Deal fans.

Deal Or No Deal
Deal or No Deal Fansite and Forum: Welcome to DOND, the home of Deal or No Deal fans.
It is currently Tue Dec 03, 2024 4:39 pm Last visit was: Tue Dec 03, 2024 4:39 pm



Watch NEW Deal or No Deal, ITV1, Mon-Fri at 4pm.



New user? Register to join in! Returning user? Login (or reset your password).

Deal or No Deal forum index » UK DoND Forums » Deal or No Deal Show Commentaries & DiscussionAll times are UTC [ DST ]



 [ 56 posts ]  Go to page Previous  1, 2, 3
Author Message

Big-Davey

PostPosted: Mon Mar 14, 2011 6:20 pm    Author: Big-Davey    Post subject: Re: 14/03 Archie
User avatar

Joined: Sat May 19, 2007 6:23 pm
Warnings: 0
Actually we need to analyse this more. £26,000 was used so much for the same reasons...in other words Noel is coining this "New Governor" because it's obviously going to be used a HELL of a lot more than £26,000 ever will (with it being a lower amount and therefore able to be used in lower-value games)...we might as well get used to it guys, regardless of the way £26,000 is being overshadowed.

If it was upto me, I'd have coined £16,000 as something else, not the "New Governor"...it took years for £26,000 to get the title of "The Governor", why is £16,000 getting it so quickly?!

_________________
Lifelong fan of Vicky, Siobhan and Lisa

Resident divvy, keeps a nerdy eye on the UK Top 10, makes up the numbers in the forum Fantasy Football...

...and overseeing The 2010 Forum Wing Line-Up! Check it out in the Contestants section of the forum!


Top
 Profile  

KP

PostPosted: Mon Mar 14, 2011 6:34 pm    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: 14/03 Archie
International Forums Moderator
User avatar

Joined: Sat Jan 28, 2006 8:00 pm
Warnings: 0
What happened to £16,500 as a recurring motif anyway?!?

_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


Top
 Profile  

Brick

PostPosted: Mon Mar 14, 2011 7:01 pm    Author: Brick    Post subject: Re: 14/03 Archie
User avatar

Joined: Sat Dec 01, 2007 10:37 pm
Location: Essex
Warnings: 0
We get the same amounts popping up in a few games on the trot quite often - £16,500, £7,500 and £21,500 have all been examples of that. Then there's a couple of games where players win a lot less or a lot more, and they fade away!

Didn't see today's game but sounds like Archie made for a good watch. It's a shame he didn't beat the banker but £16,000 was a lot higher than his other offers and maybe he didn't think £35,000 would be on the table twice in a row.

_________________
Hear me every Wednesday at 8pm here. Also on Twitter: @MrLashout


Top
 Profile  

norwichdonder

PostPosted: Mon Mar 14, 2011 8:38 pm    Author: norwichdonder    Post subject: Re: 14/03 Archie

Joined: Mon Jul 26, 2010 12:27 am
Location: norwich :)
Warnings: 0
Big-Davey wrote:
Actually we need to analyse this more.

Okay. Possible answers
1 Noel could just want to coin a new Dond word. You could say why 'governor' for £26k? Somebody must have started to call it that after a run of deals at £26k.
2 The producers could want to save a few 000's on deals and trying to get a value amount into the thinking process when players are contemplating a deal. Why not 16.5k, 17k, 18k?
3 They are running out of ideas and and just need more padding. We rarely hear any of the old catchphrases and dond-speak from the early years. Why isn't Olivia a black widow

Id be interested to see from statsman how the £16k offer stands up to the deal eye.

_________________
Rules? What Rules!
Best DOND moment ever; http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gbyFxNDP0Nw&t=3m27s


Top
 Profile  

killersbee

PostPosted: Mon Mar 14, 2011 9:13 pm    Author: killersbee    Post subject: Re: 14/03 Archie
User avatar

Joined: Tue Mar 20, 2007 9:52 pm
Location: In his little studio at home
Warnings: 0
And with it being lower than £26,000, it's gonna make for even more frustrating deals that go horribly wrong!

Dealing at £16,000 and finding out that a further £84,000 or worse £234,000 could've been his or hers...like we needed this right now! :roll:

_________________
Skyline: "You're still winging about a game six hours after it airs, and it's not even your money!"
H2005: "Anyone can quote anything from here, so long as kestral and I get £4,523.49 each for every word that's quoted."


Top
 Profile  

paulyc

PostPosted: Mon Mar 14, 2011 9:20 pm    Author: paulyc    Post subject: Re: 14/03 Archie

Joined: Wed Oct 21, 2009 10:28 pm
Warnings: 0
My theory on the 16k is that a show like deal prospers on provenance. This has previously been built around the 26k but less and less players are playing to that level, so they've dropped the governor to 16k for this reason. That, or plain and simple budget cuts.


Top
 Profile  

James1978

PostPosted: Mon Mar 14, 2011 10:45 pm    Author: James1978    Post subject: Re: 14/03 Archie

Joined: Fri Aug 04, 2006 4:47 pm
Location: Darlington, NE England
Warnings: 0
Just seen the full thing on 4OD - all I can say is thatnk goodness Archie got picked today so he could have a longer-edited show, and not a shortened version over the Cheltenham days! :)

_________________
Image

"22 identical sealed boxes, and no questions except one.....do a poor deal for an easy few thousand or be brave and win a blue!"


Top
 Profile  

StatsMan

PostPosted: Mon Mar 14, 2011 11:25 pm    Author: StatsMan    Post subject: Re: 14/03 Archie

Joined: Wed Jul 04, 2007 11:55 pm
Warnings: 0
Great game, I had been looking forward to Archie's game for months - and it didn't disappoint! :D I thought it was going to be one of those 'funny-no-money' kind of games at first, but out of nowhere we get a solid finish and a near average win.

I wonder if they chose Archie today because they knew it was likely to be humorous enough to fill the hour-long slot which is absent the rest of the week. I will be interest to see the 45 min show back again, not least to see whether the team were aware of the scheduling change... (which I'm sure they were! :D)

I'll look into the £16k's effectiveness at some point, too. Not sure if this has been picked up on, but same amount won today and same amount on the table as yesterday!

_________________
Image

Biggest Pilgrim Game Wins:

Marlene - 21 July 2013: £118,000
Gill - 23 March 2014: £75,000
Tony - 24 April 2012: £72,000
Lee - 4 April 2013: £48,000
Tommy & Jen - 26 & 27 Mar 2013 :O - £45,000! :O :O


Top
 Profile  

KP

PostPosted: Mon Mar 14, 2011 11:34 pm    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: 14/03 Archie
International Forums Moderator
User avatar

Joined: Sat Jan 28, 2006 8:00 pm
Warnings: 0
norwichdonder wrote:
Big-Davey wrote:
Actually we need to analyse this more.

Okay. Possible answers
1 Noel could just want to coin a new Dond word. You could say why 'governor' for £26k? Somebody must have started to call it that after a run of deals at £26k.
2 The producers could want to save a few 000's on deals and trying to get a value amount into the thinking process when players are contemplating a deal. Why not 16.5k, 17k, 18k?
3 They are running out of ideas and and just need more padding. We rarely hear any of the old catchphrases and dond-speak from the early years. Why isn't Olivia a black widow

Id be interested to see from statsman how the £16k offer stands up to the deal eye.


The benchmark figure from Deal-Eye for that point was almost exactly £16k! :roll:

The show is definitely having budget troubles from last I heard, and encouraging lower Deals will - assuming no effect on ratings, and that'll do for an assumption as I don't think you could possibly truly pick out any correlation - reduce the long-run winnings. Notice how Noel isn't quite as antagonistic towards cautious players as he was four years ago..

_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


Top
 Profile  

StatsMan

PostPosted: Tue Mar 15, 2011 12:08 am    Author: StatsMan    Post subject: Re: 14/03 Archie

Joined: Wed Jul 04, 2007 11:55 pm
Warnings: 0
KP wrote:
The benchmark figure from Deal-Eye for that point was almost exactly £16k! :roll:


That was indeed the case yesterday with Debbie's £16k 5-box offer. Today, at 2-box it reverts back to actual FD of the finish, as I feel that's the best analyser at this point - either decision was justifiable today...

_________________
Image

Biggest Pilgrim Game Wins:

Marlene - 21 July 2013: £118,000
Gill - 23 March 2014: £75,000
Tony - 24 April 2012: £72,000
Lee - 4 April 2013: £48,000
Tommy & Jen - 26 & 27 Mar 2013 :O - £45,000! :O :O


Top
 Profile  

Michael DeVere

PostPosted: Tue Mar 15, 2011 12:16 am    Author: Michael DeVere    Post subject: Re: 14/03 Archie

Joined: Fri Jul 14, 2006 6:46 pm
Warnings: 0
I've just read an article about the Endemol company having financial difficulty. So I guess they are trying to save money where they can. If anyone's interested in the business side of Endemol here's the link to the article - http://www.guardian.co.uk/media/2011/ma ... ther-loans

But back to DoND and I'd been looking forward to Archie's game for a while as he was quite a character on the wings and his show didn't disappoint. I was worried that when Archie came running down to the table he might drop his box! An enjoyable show with, thankfully, a good result too. Even if there was a bit more money in the game.


Top
 Profile  

Simon F

PostPosted: Tue Mar 15, 2011 12:51 am    Author: Simon F    Post subject: Re: 14/03 Archie
User avatar

Joined: Sat Jan 21, 2006 11:12 pm
Location: Leeds
Warnings: 0
One of those rare all red finishes where you just allow the contestant to make their own personal preference about whether they want to gamble. Neither decision was wrong.

A thoroughly enjoyable game today - shades of Orri with Jefferson's costume (although at 15 games, it's unlikely he will be picked in the next day or 2).

_________________
Number of visits to see DOND: 20
Number of shows seen: 88


Top
 Profile  

Moxx of Balhoom

PostPosted: Tue Mar 15, 2011 11:57 pm    Author: Moxx of Balhoom    Post subject: Re: 14/03 Archie

Joined: Thu Jun 12, 2008 10:21 am
Location: Oxfordshire
Warnings: 0
A very funny, and entertaining show. Archie was great value on the wings and his show didn't dissapoint, and to top it all what a fantastic turnaround in the final round, The £16,000 was a respectable amount to deal though there would have been no shame in playing to the end with £5,000 back up

_________________
Now on Twitter @Mike_J_Lord


Top
 Profile  

thundercat

PostPosted: Thu Mar 17, 2011 9:25 pm    Author: thundercat    Post subject: Re: 14/03 Archie

Joined: Wed Apr 30, 2008 6:51 pm
Warnings: 0
Good game good character most definitely

However I can't understand the logic in dealing the 2 box offer with a high guarantee when he chased the 10% chance of that finish at 5 box which was much more risky IMO. He had 90% chance at 5 box of a stick or a lower offer, right? Yet he dealt a soporific offer at 2 box with 100% of at least £5,000 and 50% of £35,000.

Would have been an entertaining power 5 win, and if he lost the final gamble still £5,000 well earnt? People take bigger risks with pennies left on the other side.


Top
 Profile  

Simon F

PostPosted: Thu Mar 17, 2011 11:59 pm    Author: Simon F    Post subject: Re: 14/03 Archie
User avatar

Joined: Sat Jan 21, 2006 11:12 pm
Location: Leeds
Warnings: 0
thundercat wrote:
He had 90% chance at 5 box of a stick or a lower offer, right? Yet he dealt a soporific offer at 2 box with 100% of at least £5,000 and 50% of £35,000.

Would have been an entertaining power 5 win, and if he lost the final gamble still £5,000 well earnt? People take bigger risks with pennies left on the other side.


He no-dealt £3,500 at 5-box. A £35k/blue finish would definitely have been more than that (even in the mean mood the banker is in, would he offer 20% of the average at 2-box) so it was a 60% chance of a lower offer.

EDIT - just seen today's game where 20% of the mean was offered at 2-box but still don't believe the banker would go as low as £3,500 with the £35k in play at 2-box.

_________________
Number of visits to see DOND: 20
Number of shows seen: 88


Top
 Profile  

thundercat

PostPosted: Fri Mar 18, 2011 11:08 pm    Author: thundercat    Post subject: Re: 14/03 Archie

Joined: Wed Apr 30, 2008 6:51 pm
Warnings: 0
Simon F wrote:
thundercat wrote:
He had 90% chance at 5 box of a stick or a lower offer, right? Yet he dealt a soporific offer at 2 box with 100% of at least £5,000 and 50% of £35,000.

Would have been an entertaining power 5 win, and if he lost the final gamble still £5,000 well earnt? People take bigger risks with pennies left on the other side.


He no-dealt £3,500 at 5-box. A £35k/blue finish would definitely have been more than that (even in the mean mood the banker is in, would he offer 20% of the average at 2-box) so it was a 60% chance of a lower offer.

EDIT - just seen today's game where 20% of the mean was offered at 2-box but still don't believe the banker would go as low as £3,500 with the £35k in play at 2-box.


Indeed, I was using £7,500 in my calculations for some reason, which incidentally would have been about 95% of the mean at 5 box! My point still remains, however, as the 5 box gamble was almost certainly more risky than going to the end at 2 box.


Top
 Profile  
Display posts from previous:  Sort by  
 [ 56 posts ]  Go to page Previous  1, 2, 3
Deal or No Deal forum index » UK DoND Forums » Deal or No Deal Show Commentaries & DiscussionAll times are UTC [ DST ]


Who is online

Users browsing this forum: Bot, trendiction and 7 guests


You cannot post new topics in this forum
You cannot reply to topics in this forum
You cannot edit your posts in this forum
You cannot delete your posts in this forum

Jump to:  

Deal Or No Deal

[ View who is online ]

Powered by phpBB © 2000, 2002, 2005, 2007 phpBB Group
Copyright ©2023 dond.co.uk All rights reserved

www.dond.co.uk is not responsible for the content posted by private individuals on this website. The views expressed herein are solely the opinions of the individuals that produced them and not necessarily the views of the owner, or of the admins, or of the moderators of this website.


Admin Zone Directory