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Big-Davey

PostPosted: Thu Mar 10, 2011 5:25 pm    Author: Big-Davey    Post subject: Re: 10/03 Ellen
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It's fine, even I know analogue signal is faster than Sky or Freeview :lol:

First big hit there...but the longer the £50 stays in the game, the more significance it's going to be given I reckon...beginning with a quick mention straight after the break

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cfd

PostPosted: Thu Mar 10, 2011 5:25 pm    Author: cfd    Post subject: Re: 10/03 Ellen

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RMF1254 wrote:
Confident of something happening at odds of 1 in 5,153,632? :lol: :lol:



1 in 12 odds at this point ;)


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Simon F

PostPosted: Thu Mar 10, 2011 5:27 pm    Author: Simon F    Post subject: Re: 10/03 Ellen
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RMF1254 wrote:
Confident of something happening at odds of 1 in 5,153,632? :lol: :lol:


The odds of it coming to the table today at the start of the game are still 1 in 22 (1 in 12 now), what happened the last 4 days is irrelevant.

At least it's an amount that is low enough that if she does get to 2-box with £50 in play, the offer will probably be large enough for her to deal if the other box is a big red.

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Monkeynut

PostPosted: Thu Mar 10, 2011 5:27 pm    Author: Monkeynut    Post subject: Re: 10/03 Ellen
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Quote:
I'm watching on analogue TV which is generally about 10 seconds ahead of digital TV. That must be it - I promise I have no prior knowledge!


Will you be converting to colour one day?

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norwichdonder

PostPosted: Thu Mar 10, 2011 5:27 pm    Author: norwichdonder    Post subject: Re: 10/03 Ellen

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h2005 wrote:
I'm watching on analogue TV which is generally about 10 seconds ahead of digital TV!

Analogue! thats so old school. When are you changing over to the other side :-)

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RMF1254

PostPosted: Thu Mar 10, 2011 5:28 pm    Author: RMF1254    Post subject: Re: 10/03 Ellen
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cfd wrote:
1 in 12 odds at this point ;)


In terms of this game only, yes - but 1 in 5,153,632 are the odds of any one amount coming to the table five games running...

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h2005

PostPosted: Thu Mar 10, 2011 5:30 pm    Author: h2005    Post subject: Re: 10/03 Ellen
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We're back

Last box before the Banker

Noel talks about some more of Ellen's demands :lol:

16 - newbie Will - 10p

Banker time

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norwichdonder

PostPosted: Thu Mar 10, 2011 5:30 pm    Author: norwichdonder    Post subject: Re: 10/03 Ellen

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I think re the odds. It would be 1 in a big number if there were 5 Noels 5 x sets of 22 numbers, 5 x sets of pilgrims, 5 players all playing simultaneously and all ended up with £50 in their box. :? Otherwise as they said its 1 in 22.

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RMF1254

PostPosted: Thu Mar 10, 2011 5:31 pm    Author: RMF1254    Post subject: Re: 10/03 Ellen
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Simon F wrote:
The odds of it coming to the table today at the start of the game are still 1 in 22 (1 in 12 now), what happened the last 4 days is irrelevant.


So what if the last four days are irrelevant?

It's still too much to expect the £50 to complete a five-in-a-row...

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h2005

PostPosted: Thu Mar 10, 2011 5:31 pm    Author: h2005    Post subject: Re: 10/03 Ellen
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Ellen says you need demands as you're only here once.

Banker's offer:

£13,050

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Simon F

PostPosted: Thu Mar 10, 2011 5:31 pm    Author: Simon F    Post subject: Re: 10/03 Ellen
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norwichdonder wrote:
I think re the odds. It would be 1 in a big number if there were 5 Noels 5 x sets of 22 numbers, 5 x sets of pilgrims, 5 players all playing simultaneously and all ended up with £50 in their box. :? Otherwise as they said its 1 in 22.


Nope. 5 independent games being played simulatneously have the same odds as 5 games played one after the other. The state of indepedence between each game is still there.

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h2005

PostPosted: Thu Mar 10, 2011 5:31 pm    Author: h2005    Post subject: Re: 10/03 Ellen
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Ellen says

NO DEAL

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norwichdonder

PostPosted: Thu Mar 10, 2011 5:32 pm    Author: norwichdonder    Post subject: Re: 10/03 Ellen

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h2005 wrote:
Banker's offer:

£13,050

A clever 'stick' but with the £250k shes going on a bit more. It does set a benchmark if she has a crash now with power 5s being revealed.

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h2005

PostPosted: Thu Mar 10, 2011 5:35 pm    Author: h2005    Post subject: Re: 10/03 Ellen
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Round 4

The banker rings and tells Greg the floor manager to bring out some cakes for Ellen! Greg delivers the cakes, and the banker then phones back and says all the cakes are plastic and artificial. :lol:

22 - Archie - £15,000

5 - Alex - £35,000

15 - Tom - 1p :D

Banker time

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cfd

PostPosted: Thu Mar 10, 2011 5:35 pm    Author: cfd    Post subject: Re: 10/03 Ellen

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If 5 days ago you were to say "what are the odds of it coming to the table 5 games in a row" then you'd get the answer you specified - presumably multiplied by 22, i've not really checked the number to see which you went for.

But now we're here the chances of it being in the box are (now) 1 in 10 - and thus the chance of £50 being on the table 5 games in a row is now at this point 1 in 10, well, 1 in 9 now that's just been revealed.

So yeah, the chances are still small cos 1 in 8 (another box opened!) is still a long shot. But it's nothing like the astronomical number it'd be 5 days ago.


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h2005

PostPosted: Thu Mar 10, 2011 5:36 pm    Author: h2005    Post subject: Re: 10/03 Ellen
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The banker says Tom looks like a cross between Jeff Brazier and a labrador!

Banker's offer:

£16,050

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cfd

PostPosted: Thu Mar 10, 2011 5:37 pm    Author: cfd    Post subject: Re: 10/03 Ellen

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And in terms of gameplay this is a strong board. 3 blues though is a lot., especially with the £250k skewing factor.

£16,050 is a little bit too low I think. But really, we're gonna need a good round to get a higher offer at 5-box. Close.


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norwichdonder

PostPosted: Thu Mar 10, 2011 5:37 pm    Author: norwichdonder    Post subject: Re: 10/03 Ellen

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I'm tempted to say she will walk with £16k.. :bonk:

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RMF1254

PostPosted: Thu Mar 10, 2011 5:37 pm    Author: RMF1254    Post subject: Re: 10/03 Ellen
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The Banker actually knows who Jeff Brazier is?! :shock: :lol:

And he's brought out the amount Noel seemingly believes will take the Governor role at some point - with £50 tacked on... :lol: :lol:

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Simon F

PostPosted: Thu Mar 10, 2011 5:39 pm    Author: Simon F    Post subject: Re: 10/03 Ellen
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£16k isn't enough on this board for me.

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