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Mark

PostPosted: Fri Feb 25, 2011 5:48 pm    Author: Mark    Post subject: Re: 25/02 Carol

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With just one blue and four reds, three of the power five. Worth going on. Hopefully the old faithful won't work.


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h2005

PostPosted: Fri Feb 25, 2011 5:51 pm    Author: h2005    Post subject: Re: 25/02 Carol
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Noel reminds Carol not to mentally spend the money at this stage. Dom says that's a great offer, but Carol still has 3 massive sums on the board. Nick says this is the kind of board he dreams of, and he'd play to the end. He says the way she says "guvna" sits well with her, and she's got the governor offer. Kim says Carol would still be lovely and bubbly even if she went with £5, and Barbara says it depends if she's happy with £26,000.

Carol says

DEAL

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h2005

PostPosted: Fri Feb 25, 2011 5:53 pm    Author: h2005    Post subject: Re: 25/02 Carol
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Round 6 - proveout

Noel says quite a few would've played on here.

10 - Frank - £10,000

"No no no no no, don't do that!" says Noel.

22 - Ellen - £5

BIG gasps meet that one, as Carol would've been destined to win at least £35,000 at this point.

20 - Archie - £35,000

Banker time with £50,000 and £75,000 remaining...

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h2005

PostPosted: Fri Feb 25, 2011 5:54 pm    Author: h2005    Post subject: Re: 25/02 Carol
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Noel says Carol walked away from one of the most powerful games in memory.

Banker's offer would've been:

£61,000

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h2005

PostPosted: Fri Feb 25, 2011 5:54 pm    Author: h2005    Post subject: Re: 25/02 Carol
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Carol has £50,000 in her box 8.

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Mark

PostPosted: Fri Feb 25, 2011 5:55 pm    Author: Mark    Post subject: Re: 25/02 Carol

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Oh dear... Yet ONCE again... the old faithful has worked! Should have gone on. Being brave just one more round and it would have paid off big time.

Always worth going on with just one blue and four reds at five box...


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h2005

PostPosted: Fri Feb 25, 2011 5:55 pm    Author: h2005    Post subject: Re: 25/02 Carol
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Box 19 with Alex contains the £75,000

Carol says she feels very good as she's over the moon with £26,000.

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BankerSpanker

PostPosted: Fri Feb 25, 2011 5:59 pm    Author: BankerSpanker    Post subject: Re: 25/02 Carol
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DEAL WITH 3 OF THE POWER 5?!! :shock:

That was so worth playing on. I would not have let £26,000 get the better of me. Even if she had £5 and a big red, she would still get a good offer.

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Big-Davey

PostPosted: Fri Feb 25, 2011 6:40 pm    Author: Big-Davey    Post subject: Re: 25/02 Carol
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With the three Power 5 boxes there, it was a No Deal for me as it was...but with £10,000 in play as well, poor offer!

Unlucky to hit the perfect three "live play" box round but at least it keeps my conscience clear...a £50,000 TPW for me anyways!

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killersbee

PostPosted: Fri Feb 25, 2011 10:36 pm    Author: killersbee    Post subject: Re: 25/02 Carol
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I was watching this at a mate's house, he was in hysterics when the proveout round followed :lol:

This is what happens when you take the old faithful, Dale didn't and he won big

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James1978

PostPosted: Fri Feb 25, 2011 10:48 pm    Author: James1978    Post subject: Re: 25/02 Carol

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Actually - thinking "real life" situations here - I can't criticise that at all. The best possible outcome of a no-deal was less than triple your money, yet it was still possible to win a fiver (if it remained till 2-box and banker felt one of his moments to throw in a joke offer). I'd much rather make sure of £26k than have to try and risk getting more on all-or-peanuts!!!

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KP

PostPosted: Fri Feb 25, 2011 11:26 pm    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: 25/02 Carol
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It was one of those situations where you would actually expect players to No Deal even if it was wrong for them - I suppose in that respect at least she wasn't seduced by the board!!

Would have gone on myself but only because of the £10k. The proveout was ugly, but it's still a big win let's not forget!

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StatsMan

PostPosted: Sat Feb 26, 2011 12:29 am    Author: StatsMan    Post subject: Re: 25/02 Carol

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I'll try and put my "Deal-Eye" calculator on its own page from next week to avoid cluttering, but today the benchmark was just under £300 below the actual offer! (explanation again next week, but its accuracy is frightening! :shock: )

Tempting board to go on with, but an understandable deal, with as James said little upside potential to the top prize and still a possibility of a fiver if you hit 40% chance of all/peanuts, so some risk attached even though it was in her favour to leave two juicy reds.

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Moxx of Balhoom

PostPosted: Sat Feb 26, 2011 12:36 am    Author: Moxx of Balhoom    Post subject: Re: 25/02 Carol

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I think a lot of people would have gone on with that board but proveout could just as easily have gone the other way so in that respect i can understand why Carol dealt. It was the right decision for her and that's what matters.

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Simon F

PostPosted: Sat Feb 26, 2011 1:26 am    Author: Simon F    Post subject: Re: 25/02 Carol
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It's being an interesting week of games but for the first time the luck went against the player at the crucial moment.

Probably was worth going on with 90% chance of a 5-figure offer and the EV probably a couple of thousand over the offer but it certainly wasn't a terrilble decision and she just got unlucky to keep the one box with the £50k that made the 2-box offer be signficantly more than she turned down.

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Big-Davey

PostPosted: Sat Feb 26, 2011 1:00 pm    Author: Big-Davey    Post subject: Re: 25/02 Carol
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That's what made this such a good show; great offer disguised by the strength of the board; if the £5 went you'd be guaranteed a £20,000+ offer at the end at very least.

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RMF1254

PostPosted: Sat Feb 26, 2011 4:58 pm    Author: RMF1254    Post subject: Re: 25/02 Carol
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The grumps on Digital Spy called this a Marmite game - you either liked it or you found it completely annoying. :roll:

I'd have definitely gone on at Old Faithful - but, in all fairness, it was very predictable that Carol would take it, since there was only around 10 minutes left... ;)

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killersbee

PostPosted: Sat Feb 26, 2011 7:54 pm    Author: killersbee    Post subject: Re: 25/02 Carol
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Yeah I think these days, you can tell when they'll say deal by looking at the time left on the show

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