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h2005

PostPosted: Mon Jan 03, 2011 5:31 pm    Author: h2005    Post subject: Re: 03/01 Lucie
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Round 4

4 - David - 50p

12 - Sobia - £10,000

Hannah now, and she says she hates this part of the game so Noel suggests going on Countdown instead. :lol:

11 - Hannah - £1,000

Banker time

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Simon F

PostPosted: Mon Jan 03, 2011 5:31 pm    Author: Simon F    Post subject: Re: 03/01 Lucie
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This is actually a nice-board.

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RMF1254

PostPosted: Mon Jan 03, 2011 5:31 pm    Author: RMF1254    Post subject: Re: 03/01 Lucie
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If you're going to hit that block, the top of it is the best place. :)

Noel could yet be right about about Lucie winning big...

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h2005

PostPosted: Mon Jan 03, 2011 5:33 pm    Author: h2005    Post subject: Re: 03/01 Lucie
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The banker says he doesn't like that block of reds and he says he's worried Lucie will do something rash, and he talks about what he's seen in her eyes.

Banker's offer:

£15,000


Noel then says the offer's actually...

Banker's offer:

£17,000

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h2005

PostPosted: Mon Jan 03, 2011 5:34 pm    Author: h2005    Post subject: Re: 03/01 Lucie
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Lucie asks her partner and she says it's an amazing and generous offer, but she thinks there's one more go in it.

Lucie says

NO DEAL

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Simon F

PostPosted: Mon Jan 03, 2011 5:34 pm    Author: Simon F    Post subject: Re: 03/01 Lucie
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£17k is a really good offer. Inverse 3-box game tactics apply here. Likelihood is she'll take out 2 reds - depends which ones though.

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RMF1254

PostPosted: Mon Jan 03, 2011 5:34 pm    Author: RMF1254    Post subject: Re: 03/01 Lucie
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Well Noel's mucking about with the offers hasn't gone away - and is no less irritating than before... :x

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Last edited by RMF1254 on Mon Jan 03, 2011 5:37 pm, edited 1 time in total.

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norwichdonder

PostPosted: Mon Jan 03, 2011 5:34 pm    Author: norwichdonder    Post subject: Re: 03/01 Lucie

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h2005 wrote:
Banker's offer:

£17,000

The last offer should have been 15k and this one should have been 18.5k

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h2005

PostPosted: Mon Jan 03, 2011 5:36 pm    Author: h2005    Post subject: Re: 03/01 Lucie
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Round 5

15 - Tony - £50,000

2 - Jim - £5

9 - newbie Zowie - Noel calls a break...

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KP

PostPosted: Mon Jan 03, 2011 5:38 pm    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: 03/01 Lucie
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Very interesting to see that Noel was playing the hypothetical have-you-made-a-mistake game after a No Deal. I'm sure I said ages ago on the forum that if he could do that one way he had to do it the other, and apparently he noticed. ;)

One of the two blues is great; one of the two Power 5s is clearly bad; one of the other two, and the round is about in line with realistic expectations, and a small rise - presumably to twenty grand - would be pencilled in.

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Simon F

PostPosted: Mon Jan 03, 2011 5:39 pm    Author: Simon F    Post subject: Re: 03/01 Lucie
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If this next box is a blue, the next offer should be at least £20k. £15k or £20k in the next box would just about be OK.

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norwichdonder

PostPosted: Mon Jan 03, 2011 5:40 pm    Author: norwichdonder    Post subject: Re: 03/01 Lucie

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KP wrote:
One of the two blues is great; one of the two Power 5s is clearly bad; one of the other two, and the round is about in line with realistic expectations, and a small rise - presumably to twenty grand - would be pencilled in.

yes if she gets a blue, 20k plus. A red, then back to a a 10k game.

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Last edited by norwichdonder on Mon Jan 03, 2011 5:41 pm, edited 1 time in total.

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h2005

PostPosted: Mon Jan 03, 2011 5:41 pm    Author: h2005    Post subject: Re: 03/01 Lucie
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We're back

Last box before the Banker

9 - newbie Zowie - 10p

Banker time

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RMF1254

PostPosted: Mon Jan 03, 2011 5:42 pm    Author: RMF1254    Post subject: Re: 03/01 Lucie
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BRILLIANT! :D

This has got to be a good offer now...

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Simon F

PostPosted: Mon Jan 03, 2011 5:42 pm    Author: Simon F    Post subject: Re: 03/01 Lucie
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So 60% chance of a guaranteed £15k. This offer will have to high enough to try and counteract that.

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h2005

PostPosted: Mon Jan 03, 2011 5:42 pm    Author: h2005    Post subject: Re: 03/01 Lucie
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The banker says this is the worst possible ouctome and he's having a problem.

Banker's offer:

£22,000

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Mark

PostPosted: Mon Jan 03, 2011 5:42 pm    Author: Mark    Post subject: Re: 03/01 Lucie

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With just one blue there and four reds, as usual, worth going on.


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RMF1254

PostPosted: Mon Jan 03, 2011 5:43 pm    Author: RMF1254    Post subject: Re: 03/01 Lucie
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£22k?

I kind of expected Old Faithful there...

I'd be tempted to go for it.

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Simon F

PostPosted: Mon Jan 03, 2011 5:44 pm    Author: Simon F    Post subject: Re: 03/01 Lucie
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EV is slightly over £22k.

Dropped the offer to £20k. Makes it an easier no-deal now.

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h2005

PostPosted: Mon Jan 03, 2011 5:45 pm    Author: h2005    Post subject: Re: 03/01 Lucie
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Lucie's partner says they'd been talking about a sum of money that would be ideal. The banker phones back and speaks to her. He drops the offer...

Banker's offer:

£20,000


Lucie says that would cover one dream but not all of them. The banker then speaks to Lucie, and he thinks she's pretending to go on.

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