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kestral

PostPosted: Thu Dec 16, 2010 5:48 pm    Author: kestral    Post subject: Re: 16/12 Ashley
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Round 5 - Proveout round

Ashley says she is here for her girls and she couldn't go home with nothing.

18 - £3,000 Detrix

2 - 1p Maz

22 - £250 Julie

Banker time

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RMF1254

PostPosted: Thu Dec 16, 2010 5:49 pm    Author: RMF1254    Post subject: Re: 16/12 Ashley
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Should have believed a bit more... :?

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Last edited by RMF1254 on Thu Dec 16, 2010 5:52 pm, edited 1 time in total.

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kestral

PostPosted: Thu Dec 16, 2010 5:49 pm    Author: kestral    Post subject: Re: 16/12 Ashley
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That was the wrong 250 says Noel, and this would be so cruel if the game was about to turn around.

Banker's offer would've been:

£22,000

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kestral

PostPosted: Thu Dec 16, 2010 5:51 pm    Author: kestral    Post subject: Re: 16/12 Ashley
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Round 6 - Proveout round

15 - £50 Daniel

13 - £100 Lucie

4 - £5,000 Ant

Banker time with £10 and £250,000 remaining

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Mark

PostPosted: Thu Dec 16, 2010 5:51 pm    Author: Mark    Post subject: Re: 16/12 Ashley

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Hopefully the bankers gamble, but very much doubt it.


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kestral

PostPosted: Thu Dec 16, 2010 5:52 pm    Author: kestral    Post subject: Re: 16/12 Ashley
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Noel runs through all the dreams that Ashley could have seen come true if she played on!

Banker's offer would've been:

£67,500

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RMF1254

PostPosted: Thu Dec 16, 2010 5:53 pm    Author: RMF1254    Post subject: Re: 16/12 Ashley
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ARGH! NO! :evil:

Surely that deal isn't going to turn out to be worse than Tolleck's?!

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kestral

PostPosted: Thu Dec 16, 2010 5:53 pm    Author: kestral    Post subject: Re: 16/12 Ashley
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Noel does a massive build up before opening the box!

Noel opens Ashley's box 16 and reveals £10

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RMF1254

PostPosted: Thu Dec 16, 2010 5:54 pm    Author: RMF1254    Post subject: Re: 16/12 Ashley
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Phew.

But it's a hollow victory IMHO... :?

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kestral

PostPosted: Thu Dec 16, 2010 5:54 pm    Author: kestral    Post subject: Re: 16/12 Ashley
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Wow what a relief says Noel.

Ashley says if the Banker offered the Banker's Gamble she would have taken it!

Haroon with box 6 contains the £250,000

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RMF1254

PostPosted: Thu Dec 16, 2010 5:55 pm    Author: RMF1254    Post subject: Re: 16/12 Ashley
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Would she have swapped though?

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killersbee

PostPosted: Thu Dec 16, 2010 6:02 pm    Author: killersbee    Post subject: Re: 16/12 Ashley
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Oh dear, that wasn't a very smart deal...deals at either 5-box or 2-box would've been more ideal to the average player, this guy must've been very cautious

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RMF1254

PostPosted: Thu Dec 16, 2010 6:09 pm    Author: RMF1254    Post subject: Re: 16/12 Ashley
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killersbee wrote:
Oh dear, that wasn't a very smart deal...deals at either 5-box or 2-box would've been more ideal to the average player, this guy must've been very cautious


This Ashley was a lady!

It was a clever offer, though - it was very possible that she could have played on and lost the £250k, in which case an OPW wouldn't have been possible in any way...

But I do agree, it wasn't very smart considering she said that she believed she was due a run of blues...

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killersbee

PostPosted: Thu Dec 16, 2010 6:51 pm    Author: killersbee    Post subject: Re: 16/12 Ashley
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My fault...shows how much I watch the show these days, the lack of bag wins gets kind of repetitive for me

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Skyline: "You're still winging about a game six hours after it airs, and it's not even your money!"
H2005: "Anyone can quote anything from here, so long as kestral and I get £4,523.49 each for every word that's quoted."


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James1978

PostPosted: Thu Dec 16, 2010 8:34 pm    Author: James1978    Post subject: Re: 16/12 Ashley

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Before anyone castigates her:

Ahmed dealt for exactly the same amount with an isolated £250k. Only he did it at 5-box!!!

Ovie dealt for less on exactly the same board and it's forgotten becuase he hit it before 5-box.

And Tolleck had £35k back-up!!!!

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"22 identical sealed boxes, and no questions except one.....do a poor deal for an easy few thousand or be brave and win a blue!"


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JS Boy

PostPosted: Thu Dec 16, 2010 8:59 pm    Author: JS Boy    Post subject: Re: 16/12 Ashley

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Good post James. Hindsight is a wonderful thing.
A lot of cases you can weigh up the odds, and likely next offers etc etc. But with that scenario, it was really just a case of the player having to decide what the money meant to them, clearly to her it was a good deal of money and not to be sniffed at. A few years ago I would have dealt too, today, with improved finances, I would have gone on.


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Moxx of Balhoom

PostPosted: Fri Dec 17, 2010 12:06 am    Author: Moxx of Balhoom    Post subject: Re: 16/12 Ashley

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Very shrewd move by the Banker there, have to hand that one to him. The £250k was dangerously isolated and pitching the offer above the £5k back up made it seem a lot more appealing, I can't say I blame Ashley for dealing, especially given the way her luck was running. It's just a shame she couldn't hit the big one in the proveout

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Simon F

PostPosted: Fri Dec 17, 2010 1:09 am    Author: Simon F    Post subject: Re: 16/12 Ashley
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It wasn't a wonderful offer at 8-box but most players wouldn't care less about Tolleck's £9k deal and if she couldn't face going away with a low amount, I can see why she dealt. If I was her, my regret would have been missing out on the £22k at 5-box as it was only a 25% chance from 8-box to keep the QM in play to 2-box. Had she been offered the £1k the banker claimed he was thinking of at 8-box, that would have been an insult and screaming of trying to force a big win.

Thankfully, it wasn't on the table and the red run continues.

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