Well that's a memorable opening round alright. Five five-figure amounts. On average, this will happen about once every thirteen years of DoND. Offer is a predictable lowball.
Second round, and oh my goodness, we have a massive two-box game at 14-box. Who said eight-box was business end? Comedy with these early offers.
All-blue is sorely needed. Oh, OK, two blues and the £1,000. Even the £750 might be relevant here if the top two go, but for now the mean is actually well up on the starting value. I defy any moderate player to say they wouldn't swap this for the reverse board, though. Especially with an offer of three grand. And references to Charles Ingram.
All-blue! Right. We actually have a classic scenario here, top two and not a lot else at eight-box. Something in the mid-teens for a decision here, I think, and we get it. I think I'd have to take this, but it's perfectly reasonable not to, and she doesn't. Bonita apparently has a plan. It might just pay off.
After that round, we're actually no nearer knowing; four blues and the jackpot probably warrants a stick at £16,000. The Banker is playing this a bit badly in my opinion; he should have stuck or gone up a bit, to make sure of getting her out, knowing that he can still do so for far, far less than the mean here. That, or he's assuming that she'll bite on the all-or-peanuts final five - and she does. The maths from sorlag is partially right, but ignores the contrast of this board, and s/he could have picked many, many worse decisions of this type. £1k Michael, anyone?
Anyway, two blues down, and the producer throws in the hypothetical offer early just in case the next one is the jackpot; gotta throw in something for Noel to spin, eh? No need, the jackpot remains intact, and the player uses the show's loaded definition of 'courage' completely voluntarily, even after her box was revealed to contain just 0.1% of the jackpot.
Regarding sorlag's later comment; the US has a pervasive risk-taking culture, the UK doesn't, and I'd argue that to be one of the biggest trans-Atlantic cultural differences. Goodness knows this show sometimes acts as though that's something to be unhappy with. It's also worth noting that on the US show, Howie Mandel is governed by strict regulations preventing a host from interfering with a game show, regulations that date back to the 1950s quiz show scandals; judging from past interviews, if he wasn't, he'd actually act as a voice of caution, rather than goading players on. Noel is entirely free to interfere with the game, and interfere he does, though he has moderated his act somewhat since the economic bubble started to burst. Swap hosts, and/or regulations, and you'd get an even bigger gap in attitudes.
_________________ Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat. Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted. "Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables) I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me. In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.
|