I'll give you some credit for that, and I'll add three more points, two specific to this period, the other general;
1) The eight-box going rate was drastically reduced for Hallowe'en, so it's a bit disconcerting to see games where the Banker tries to buy the box there. 2) Noel might have been dwelling on how he talked Jeron out of a second-offer OPW two games ago. Could that, somehow, be the epiphany that stops his intervention once and for all? 2a) The edit might have given a misleading impression in this regard, anyway. Indeed, it probably did; it usually does, from what I've been led to believe by reliable sources here. 3) More pertinently, the offer generosity is only relevant in the context of utility theory. I can't blame them; I never studied the utility of money explicitly even in my Economics degree, only through my own research. This is why we get so many naively target-driven players - a limitation in game strategy that unifies both ultra-conservative players like Richard with ultra-aggressive players like Corinne. Even if one knows the odds of, say, leaving the £250,000 and a blue to the end, on those coinflip finishes, maths can hardly help you - you still have to know what you'd take, and very few would explicitly think along the lines of "what sum of money is half as useful to you as £250,000?", which is the correct approach under the principles of utility theory to determining what you would take on a £250k/blue finish (and this rule generalises).
Knowing the odds only helps in recognising the scale of the risk and reward inherent in any No Deal. You still have to translate that to your valuation of money. For instance, my overwhelming ambition in life is to buy a house, which could be turned into a Corinne-esque approach of blindly chasing £250k, because I live on the borders of Surrey and Greater London, and even a little two-bed house costs nearly £250,000 here (and this is a cheap place to live compared to the surrounding area!). By contrast, if I lived in parts of the north of England I could get a similar property for a third of that, so my aggressive target might be £75,000 (which a former contestant from Liverpool said would get her a house without a mortgage).
However, in practice there are smaller things I could do with smaller amounts of money - recording an album in a recording studio is a long-term ambition, I could buy a new PC to replace the damaged laptop I'm typing this on, I could resume my singing lessons, I could shift all of my shopping to Waitrose, I could get a personal trainer. And that's before one considers that I could save my money and put it towards a deposit on a house at a later date. Therefore, on a given board, I am going to have to consider all of those - in a high-pressure situation, no less - in making my decision.
Needless to say, most people can't do that. I'm not even sure I could, and I could reasonably be described as one of the leading analysts of this show in the country. No surprise that just about every contestant is inclined to adopt simplified approaches of one kind or another. This is a hugely complex game in practice, despite its simple veneeer, and I am glad Noel recognised that in his introduction today.
_________________ Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat. Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted. "Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables) I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me. In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.
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