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h2005

PostPosted: Tue Nov 02, 2010 5:42 pm    Author: h2005    Post subject: Re: 02/11 Jess
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We're back

Last box before the Banker

18 - Kat - £500

Banker time

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h2005

PostPosted: Tue Nov 02, 2010 5:44 pm    Author: h2005    Post subject: Re: 02/11 Jess
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Noel says we've not had one like this for quite a while.

Banker's offer:

£23,000

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Mark

PostPosted: Tue Nov 02, 2010 5:46 pm    Author: Mark    Post subject: Re: 02/11 Jess

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Oh dear... with four of the power five still in play and two blues... was worth another round.

I feel a big mistake coming on.


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KP

PostPosted: Tue Nov 02, 2010 5:46 pm    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: 02/11 Jess
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That's either the Banker utterly convinced Jess is a naive targetist, or the producers really wanting a Wakeyist game. After yesterday, I'm thinking the latter.

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h2005

PostPosted: Tue Nov 02, 2010 5:47 pm    Author: h2005    Post subject: Re: 02/11 Jess
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Bill wonders what the odds are of taking out the big ones in the next round.

Jess says

DEAL

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KP

PostPosted: Tue Nov 02, 2010 5:47 pm    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: 02/11 Jess
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The worst decision I've ever seen from a mathematician.

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Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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h2005

PostPosted: Tue Nov 02, 2010 5:48 pm    Author: h2005    Post subject: Re: 02/11 Jess
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Round 5 (proveout)

10 - Ellie - £75,000

17 - Millie - £1,000

4 - Marcel - £5

Banker time

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h2005

PostPosted: Tue Nov 02, 2010 5:48 pm    Author: h2005    Post subject: Re: 02/11 Jess
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Banker's offer would've been:

£73,000

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KP

PostPosted: Tue Nov 02, 2010 5:48 pm    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: 02/11 Jess
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Even considering that, though, that proveout offer is disgraceful. To triple the offer after an imperfect fifth round is laughable.

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In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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h2005

PostPosted: Tue Nov 02, 2010 5:51 pm    Author: h2005    Post subject: Re: 02/11 Jess
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Round 6 (proveout)

Noel says that's the harsh reality of how powerful Jess's game is, and she says she feels ill now!

2 - Ann - £250,000

9 - Faye - 50p

"Ooh no no" says Noel.

22 - Jonathan - £100,000

Banker time with £15,000 and £35,000 remaining

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KP

PostPosted: Tue Nov 02, 2010 5:51 pm    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: 02/11 Jess
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Banker's Gamble here?

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"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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h2005

PostPosted: Tue Nov 02, 2010 5:52 pm    Author: h2005    Post subject: Re: 02/11 Jess
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Banker's offer:

BANKER'S GAMBLE

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Mark

PostPosted: Tue Nov 02, 2010 5:53 pm    Author: Mark    Post subject: Re: 02/11 Jess

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This Banker's Gamble should be accepted.


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h2005

PostPosted: Tue Nov 02, 2010 5:53 pm    Author: h2005    Post subject: Re: 02/11 Jess
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John asks says it depends on whether the £15,000 would cater for her needs if she gambled and lost.

Jess says

NO DEAL

She keeps the £23,000

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KP

PostPosted: Tue Nov 02, 2010 5:54 pm    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: 02/11 Jess
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I'd turn down £23k on this finish so I'd take this gamble on.

However, at this point I would be celebrating an OPW, though probably for nearer £53k than £73k!!

And Jess really is a targetist. I can't quite believe it. If they wanted entertaining young trainee accountants, why did they reject my application?

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Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


Last edited by KP on Tue Nov 02, 2010 5:55 pm, edited 1 time in total.

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h2005

PostPosted: Tue Nov 02, 2010 5:54 pm    Author: h2005    Post subject: Re: 02/11 Jess
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Jess has £15,000 in her box 19

Box 14 with Wayne contains the £35,000

Noel says Jess walked one round too soon, and Jess says she's a bit gutted but £23,000 is an enormous sum for her.

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KP

PostPosted: Tue Nov 02, 2010 5:58 pm    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: 02/11 Jess
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A thoroughly deserved OBW.

I just don't understand how she was so naively set on £20,000 as a tipping point that she didn't play a sound mathematical game. (Ironically that might have meant taking reckless gambles on a weaker board!!)

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Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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rico7

PostPosted: Tue Nov 02, 2010 6:12 pm    Author: rico7    Post subject: Re: 02/11 Jess
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KP wrote:
To triple the offer after an imperfect fifth round is laughable.


Exactly. That has to be one of the most outrageously high proveout offers ever. I can't think of one less plausible.
I thought the banker would double it to £46,000 which is probably what he'd have done in live play.


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KabukiDreamBoy

PostPosted: Tue Nov 02, 2010 6:15 pm    Author: KabukiDreamBoy    Post subject: Re: 02/11 Jess

Joined: Mon Jul 10, 2006 5:03 pm
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she was really timid wasn't she? Mind you that offer of £73k was taking the piss as well as he would never have offered anywhere near that in live play.


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killersbee

PostPosted: Tue Nov 02, 2010 6:22 pm    Author: killersbee    Post subject: Re: 02/11 Jess
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Today's deal was very poor in other words

Well done Endemol for picking another easily frightened player! :roll:

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