|
So, how do you react to that?
Top irony with Box 4 on the table, for a start, and it's an 80-year-old widow. Interpret both of these as you will; she worked for a local council, historically a source of low pay for women, but she's worked well after claiming her pension. Her financial situation is left resolutely unclear; her ambitions suggest she might be reactive to board stability, prepared to play on if she can fall back upon holiday money, but not if she can't.
Four blues and £75,000 is a good start; that three of these are very low blues might just be relevant today. The Banker doesn't bother with the pretence of a 17-box cash offer; Hetty is one of those who'll take the box she's given, no matter what.
Second round also offers one, and only one, significant hit, although £5,000 may have been a useful fallback, falling squarely into luxury-holiday-value territory. Or possibly not; £9,000 is deemed enough only for one holiday for Hetty. The only holiday I've ever funded myself cost about 10% of that.
Again, precisely one big hit in the round. Alas, it was the jackpot. Still, the £100,000 is backed up by a block of four five-figure amounts, so I'd hesitate to call this board any worse than 'average'. It's a stick; Hetty has bigger plans, and she can chase them on this board without too much concern.
Crikey, that's the fourth consecutive round with exactly one big hit! I'm reminded of someone's signature quote of "what is the probability of any game exactly following statistical probability?", or similar. Anyway, it's a fascinating configuration; two blues, two oranges, the £10k-£20k block, and the £100k. Mean is a little short of £20k; the offer ought to be nudged the other side of ten grand, but with the ADP now at five-box, we'll get a stick. Told you. Brilliant spot to point out that there's a holiday in the offing if the five-box twist goes her way; did we ever see what Christopher won? It puts him above the other £100k winners on the Hall of Fame, strictly speaking, and possibly above Graeme to be the second biggest male winner of all time, although having said that, at least one player never got her holiday prize.
Anyway, Hetty dutifully goes on to the Adjusted ADP, and hilariously pulls off the £100k/blue/blue round. The first all-red final five in the history of the game without a Power 5 amount in it, although I think there was a £50k-high all-red final five in Kath's game, at the end of the week of three 11-box Deals. The Trick, frankly, does very little damage, apart from denying Hetty a holiday. We get a joke, then a revision, all in the cause of psychology. Kath can have a nice short break for £1,000, so it's worth playing on, and she does, and after £1k and £20k got mentioned, we actually get a £3k/£15k finish.
And with the final swap offer, we have a new record - smallest offer variance in DoND history. Ignoring the £3,000, we had three offers of £9,000, and one of £8,500. That's a record that looks as impregnable as Brenda's for best 9-box board ever. The producer knows she won't swap, the outcome is known... and it's a good one!
Note also that Hetty confirmed that £3,000 was good for a holiday after all; I suspect that another day, where the boxes turned out differently, she'd have played on until an absolute disaster scenario was clear.
_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.
|
FAQ
Posted: Wed Oct 27, 2010 4:41 pm Author: killersbee Post subject: Re: 27/10 Hetty - Trick or Treat Week
.jfif.jpg)
The banker says so what?! He says he's telling the truth this time, and that Hetty has £15,000 in her box.
