Deal or No Deal Fansite and Forum: Welcome to DOND, the home of Deal or No Deal fans.

Deal or No Deal Fansite and Forum: Welcome to DOND, the home of Deal or No Deal fans.
It is currently Fri Aug 06, 2021 2:09 am Last visit was: Fri Aug 06, 2021 2:09 am




Deal or No Deal forum index » UK DoND Forums » Deal or No Deal Show Commentaries & DiscussionAll times are UTC [ DST ]



 [ 36 posts ]  Go to page Previous  1, 2
Author Message

h2005

PostPosted: Thu Oct 21, 2010 4:45 pm    Author: h2005    Post subject: Re: 21/10 Kiran
Administrator & Global Moderator
User avatar

Joined: Thu Feb 16, 2006 3:13 pm
Location: Chelmsford, Essex
Warnings: 0
Noel says that was a sensational round. :D The banker says he thought Kiran had made a mistake by no dealing, and he's perplexed by what just happened, as it was less than a 2% chance.

Banker's offer:

£22,000

_________________
Image


Top
 Profile E-mail  

h2005

PostPosted: Thu Oct 21, 2010 4:48 pm    Author: h2005    Post subject: Re: 21/10 Kiran
Administrator & Global Moderator
User avatar

Joined: Thu Feb 16, 2006 3:13 pm
Location: Chelmsford, Essex
Warnings: 0
Kiran gets excited about how he can go away with £1,000 minimum, and his dad says he should deal as he'll have almost nothing if he takes out the £75,000. Debs points out that if he takes out the £1,000, he's guaranteed at least £10,000, and the banker phones to say that's why he made such a big offer, and Kiran should respect his father by dealing! Bryan says he'd no deal here, and Kiran says he feels confident.

Kiran says

NO DEAL

_________________
Image


Top
 Profile E-mail  

h2005

PostPosted: Thu Oct 21, 2010 4:50 pm    Author: h2005    Post subject: Re: 21/10 Kiran
Administrator & Global Moderator
User avatar

Joined: Thu Feb 16, 2006 3:13 pm
Location: Chelmsford, Essex
Warnings: 0
Round 6

18 - newbie Bonita - £75,000

Noel says it's still not over yet.

22 - Debs - £15,000

10 - Paul - £35,000

Banker time with £1,000 and £10,000 remaining

_________________
Image


Top
 Profile E-mail  

h2005

PostPosted: Thu Oct 21, 2010 4:51 pm    Author: h2005    Post subject: Re: 21/10 Kiran
Administrator & Global Moderator
User avatar

Joined: Thu Feb 16, 2006 3:13 pm
Location: Chelmsford, Essex
Warnings: 0
Noel says that's one of the most dramatic swings in the game that he can remember.

Banker's offer:

£4,000

_________________
Image


Top
 Profile E-mail  

h2005

PostPosted: Thu Oct 21, 2010 4:51 pm    Author: h2005    Post subject: Re: 21/10 Kiran
Administrator & Global Moderator
User avatar

Joined: Thu Feb 16, 2006 3:13 pm
Location: Chelmsford, Essex
Warnings: 0
Kiran asks his dad for advice, and he says his box looks interesting and he should go for it.

Kiran says

NO DEAL

_________________
Image


Top
 Profile E-mail  

h2005

PostPosted: Thu Oct 21, 2010 4:52 pm    Author: h2005    Post subject: Re: 21/10 Kiran
Administrator & Global Moderator
User avatar

Joined: Thu Feb 16, 2006 3:13 pm
Location: Chelmsford, Essex
Warnings: 0
Banker's offer:

SWAP

_________________
Image


Top
 Profile E-mail  

h2005

PostPosted: Thu Oct 21, 2010 4:52 pm    Author: h2005    Post subject: Re: 21/10 Kiran
Administrator & Global Moderator
User avatar

Joined: Thu Feb 16, 2006 3:13 pm
Location: Chelmsford, Essex
Warnings: 0
Kiran says 21 means nothing to him but today is the 21st, and he says 9 is his birthday, but he's always said he'd never swap.

Kiran says

NO SWAP

_________________
Image


Top
 Profile E-mail  

wkd

PostPosted: Thu Oct 21, 2010 4:53 pm    Author: wkd    Post subject: Re: 21/10 Kiran

Joined: Thu Nov 22, 2007 6:04 pm
Warnings: 0
Hmm. Bit of a topsy turvy game this one.


Top
 Profile  

h2005

PostPosted: Thu Oct 21, 2010 4:53 pm    Author: h2005    Post subject: Re: 21/10 Kiran
Administrator & Global Moderator
User avatar

Joined: Thu Feb 16, 2006 3:13 pm
Location: Chelmsford, Essex
Warnings: 0
Kiran wins £10,000 from his box 21.

_________________
Image


Top
 Profile E-mail  

h2005

PostPosted: Thu Oct 21, 2010 4:54 pm    Author: h2005    Post subject: Re: 21/10 Kiran
Administrator & Global Moderator
User avatar

Joined: Thu Feb 16, 2006 3:13 pm
Location: Chelmsford, Essex
Warnings: 0
Box 9 with Hetty contains the £1,000

Noel says that's more than a consolation win and is a chunky sum of money.

_________________
Image


Top
 Profile E-mail  

killersbee

PostPosted: Thu Oct 21, 2010 5:09 pm    Author: killersbee    Post subject: Re: 21/10 Kiran
User avatar

Joined: Tue Mar 20, 2007 9:52 pm
Location: In his little studio at home
Warnings: 0
What a shame that it had to go wrong towards the end! :(

Suddenly, were back to this repeated moments...

_________________
Skyline: "You're still winging about a game six hours after it airs, and it's not even your money!"
H2005: "Anyone can quote anything from here, so long as kestral and I get £4,523.49 each for every word that's quoted."


Top
 Profile  

"The Banker"

PostPosted: Thu Oct 21, 2010 6:06 pm    Author: "The Banker"    Post subject: Re: 21/10 Kiran
User avatar

Joined: Sat Mar 11, 2006 1:24 am
Warnings: 0
Best case scenario - an all blue round leaving 5 reds at 5-box, followed by the worst case scenario - taking out the top 3 highest reds - what a rollercoaster!

With a guaranteed £1,000 at 5-box I too would have declined £22,000 - the board was just too good to not play it, in my opinion. Very unfortunate to take out the 3 highest reds straight after an all blue round, but £10,000 isn't a bad result and not to be sniffed at at all! Welldone Kiran! :)

_________________
“Tell me," Wittgenstein's asked a friend, "why do people always say, it was natural for man to assume that the sun went round the earth rather than that the earth was rotating?" His friend replied, "Well, obviously because it just looks as though the Sun is going round the Earth."
Wittgenstein replied, "Well, what would it have looked like if it had looked as though the Earth was rotating?”
― Ludwig Wittgenstein


Top
 Profile  

KP

PostPosted: Thu Oct 21, 2010 7:09 pm    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: 21/10 Kiran
International Forums Moderator
User avatar

Joined: Sat Jan 28, 2006 8:00 pm
Warnings: 0
Ten days to the birthday. Wonder how many of the players will be male. Wonder how many will be goaded into decisions that are not their own.

Kiran's the first, and he's apparently unable to multi-task. Right, so that means that you have an inability to listen to Noel while concentrating on your game, then? ;)

£50,000 was nasty; four blues, even high blues, more than compensate. Ten grand, not bad. Oh, there goes the jackpot. Ah well, at least we should be free of the worst of Noel today. Second offer, fair drop? Well, it's not a big deal, in any sense.

Jonathan steps up to be a willing victim, and almost spoils a super round. Three of the Power 5 excluding £250k at this stage is an average board with good stability, and £13,000 is a big leap upwards, arguably dealable, certainly worthy of more time than the edit appears to have implied.

A target is implied, before yet another round with one and only one sizable hit. Unfortunately, once again, it's the highest amount on the board. Four five-figure reds at eight-box is never bad, though, especially when one is £75,000; it's not a dangerous game at all, and the Banker knows it. Bryan is right to advise playing on here, Darren wrong to say this board will take a decisive turn here with 'no in-betweens'.

Oh, OK, he's only gone and pulled off the 1-in-56 chance of an all-blue round! The crucial thing here is that there's only one orange in those five, even if it does happen to be the £1,000; at worst, we're going back to the £5k at 14-box. The offer is perfectly pitched in my opinion, and instinctively, I reckon I'd just about take it. Neither decision is wrong; playing on based on 'feeling confident' might be.

Have we ever had that before, the best possible round 5 followed by the worst possible round 6? Statistically, it should have happened at least twice before, as it's a 1 in 560 chance... oh, OK, four grand, I'd play on there, and so does Kiran, and it pays off. What a bizarre way to get an average result.

_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


Top
 Profile  

Simon F

PostPosted: Thu Oct 21, 2010 10:03 pm    Author: Simon F    Post subject: Re: 21/10 Kiran
User avatar

Joined: Sat Jan 21, 2006 11:12 pm
Location: Leeds
Warnings: 0
KP

I'm sure we've hit the 1 in 560 chance before (although there are 4 ways of doing it if you permuate 2 lots of dream/nightmare round).

Some nicely placed offers by the banker, 11-box was dealable, 8-box less so but not a joke and 5-box well placed (the EV was probably around the £22k offered but with a 60% chance of no less than £22k and 80% chance of a 5-figure offer and a worse case scenario of £4k), it was worth the gamble, even more so if you were willing to gamble at 2-box with at least £1k guaranteed.

In the end, £10k was still a OBW but a nice amount for a calculated gamble that went wrong.

_________________
Number of visits to see DOND: 19
Number of shows seen: 86


Top
 Profile  

StatsMan

PostPosted: Thu Oct 21, 2010 11:07 pm    Author: StatsMan    Post subject: Re: 21/10 Kiran

Joined: Wed Jul 04, 2007 11:55 pm
Warnings: 0
Bizarre is indeed the word to describe the end of that game. I won't say yet how I would describe the forthcoming Halloween specials, but you're getting a bit of a taster with the break clips, the set is awesome but a bit creepy...:suspect:

Anyway, back to today's fascinating game, one of those rare beasts the all-red final 5, and an offer a mere £400 under my calculator estimate, indicating it was well pitched but perfectly justifiable to turn down. Topping and tailing the board wouldn't have been a disaster, but unfortunately hitting the 10% chance was. Still, at least he got a decent reward for what was a worthwhile gamble.

_________________
Image


Top
 Profile E-mail  

Moxx of Balhoom

PostPosted: Fri Oct 22, 2010 11:04 pm    Author: Moxx of Balhoom    Post subject: Re: 21/10 Kiran

Joined: Thu Jun 12, 2008 10:21 am
Location: Oxfordshire
Warnings: 0
Good game. Personally i would have probably taken the £22k at 5 box but i can certainly understand the temptation of the all red 5 box. There was absolutely no shame in going on, but the dream round followed immediately by the nightmare round is what people will remember this game for

_________________
Now on Twitter @Mike_J_Lord


Top
 Profile  
Display posts from previous:  Sort by  
 [ 36 posts ]  Go to page Previous  1, 2
Deal or No Deal forum index » UK DoND Forums » Deal or No Deal Show Commentaries & DiscussionAll times are UTC [ DST ]


Who is online

Users browsing this forum: Bot and 0 guests


You cannot post new topics in this forum
You cannot reply to topics in this forum
You cannot edit your posts in this forum
You cannot delete your posts in this forum

Jump to:  

Deal Or No Deal

[ View who is online ]

Powered by phpBB © 2000, 2002, 2005, 2007 phpBB Group
Copyright ©2008 dond.co.uk All rights reserved

www.dond.co.uk is not responsible for the content posted by private individuals on this website. The views expressed herein are solely the opinions of the individuals that produced them and not necessarily the views of the owner, or of the admins, or of the moderators of this website.


Deal or No Deal Online Games | Tava Tea Weight Loss | Go Go Hamster | Wii | Wii Fit | Xbox 360 | Playstation 3 | Sunglasses | Wii U Pre-order | Dropship | GoGo Hamster | Kidizoom Camera | Whitening teeth | Admin Zone Directory