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Simon F

PostPosted: Sun Oct 17, 2010 5:12 pm    Author: Simon F    Post subject: Re: 17/10 Gina
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KP wrote:
Big eight-box decision coming up if this is blue.


Depends who makes the offer. Gina isn't really giving out the vibe that will get her "no-brainer of a deal" type offers.

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kestral

PostPosted: Sun Oct 17, 2010 5:13 pm    Author: kestral    Post subject: Re: 17/10 Gina
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We're back
Last box before the Banker

1 - £1,000 Paul

Banker time

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kestral

PostPosted: Sun Oct 17, 2010 5:14 pm    Author: kestral    Post subject: Re: 17/10 Gina
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That was a good round says Gina. The Banker says that Gina was brave to take the risk at the last offer and it paid off.

Banker's offer:

£12,000

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KP

PostPosted: Sun Oct 17, 2010 5:14 pm    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: 17/10 Gina
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That, of course, will reinforce the big decision... the momentum of an all-blue would certainly shift the offer up a lot (especially one at this point - the all-blue round 3 we had this week barely led to an increase at all, as it was pre-ADP).

£1,000 goes. And the offer is below the FD. I would be going on very quickly (if only to try and make sure £50k/blue/blue or £50k/£15k/blue still ensured a significant increase).

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Last edited by KP on Sun Oct 17, 2010 5:15 pm, edited 1 time in total.

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Simon F

PostPosted: Sun Oct 17, 2010 5:15 pm    Author: Simon F    Post subject: Re: 17/10 Gina
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£12k is the right offer for the player. Tough decision for her here. For me, it's a no-deal.

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kestral

PostPosted: Sun Oct 17, 2010 5:17 pm    Author: kestral    Post subject: Re: 17/10 Gina
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Gina's boyfriend says it is a tough decision and it is up to her now, and Noel says that is helpfull :lol: Gina gets more advice from the wings, and Fadi says that he thinks the Banker is playing games with Gina as she isn't showing her true self at the moment and he is under estimating her. The Banker calls back and says that is a fair offer for the board and he isn't under estimating Gina at all. Noel says that this would clearly be a gamble, but no one wins big without gambling at some point.

Gina says

NO DEAL

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KP

PostPosted: Sun Oct 17, 2010 5:19 pm    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: 17/10 Gina
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The right decision; hopefully, for the right reason.

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I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
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kestral

PostPosted: Sun Oct 17, 2010 5:20 pm    Author: kestral    Post subject: Re: 17/10 Gina
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Round 5

The Banker calls back and says he wasn't playing mind games then and he thinks that £12,000 was a very fair offer for the board and he promises a massive offer if Gina has a good round now, and that means hitting anything £3,000 down.

20 - £15,000 Christopher

We need 2 blues now says Noel.

3 - £5 Marcel

8 - £250 Lilly

Banker time

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Simon F

PostPosted: Sun Oct 17, 2010 5:20 pm    Author: Simon F    Post subject: Re: 17/10 Gina
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£20k? It won't be as high as old faithful, I don't think.

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Simon F

PostPosted: Sun Oct 17, 2010 5:21 pm    Author: Simon F    Post subject: Re: 17/10 Gina
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£24k seems right.

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KP

PostPosted: Sun Oct 17, 2010 5:21 pm    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: 17/10 Gina
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Best possible round not meeting the Banker's condition. Will she be dragged on to the bitter end? I fear she will; I'd offer £24k. It'd still be below the FD (even £26k would) but blue/£250k would viably produce a sub-FD offer most would take, and there's a 30% chance of (at best) a £3k-high finish.

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"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


Last edited by KP on Sun Oct 17, 2010 5:22 pm, edited 1 time in total.

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kestral

PostPosted: Sun Oct 17, 2010 5:22 pm    Author: kestral    Post subject: Re: 17/10 Gina
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Oh yes, says Noel. The Banker says that wasn't perfect, but wasn't bad and he wants it all to end now.

Noel asks Fadi if he thinks £19,000 is fair, and Fadi says £23,000.

Banker's offer:

£26,000

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Simon F

PostPosted: Sun Oct 17, 2010 5:23 pm    Author: Simon F    Post subject: Re: 17/10 Gina
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Old Faithful? Wow. She ought to take this. I'd consider it strongly too.

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KP

PostPosted: Sun Oct 17, 2010 5:23 pm    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: 17/10 Gina
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Old Faithful does come out; that's just enough for me to go, I think.

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Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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kestral

PostPosted: Sun Oct 17, 2010 5:24 pm    Author: kestral    Post subject: Re: 17/10 Gina
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Noel says that Fadi thought the Banker was playing games and pitching low offers, but he got the Banker's offer wrong there. Gina asks her boyfriend what he would do, and he says if it was him playing he would deal. Gina gets more advice from the wings but it doesn't really help.

Gina says

DEAL

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Simon F

PostPosted: Sun Oct 17, 2010 5:24 pm    Author: Simon F    Post subject: Re: 17/10 Gina
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Deal. Good play all round - now we just need a favourable finish.

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KP

PostPosted: Sun Oct 17, 2010 5:25 pm    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: 17/10 Gina
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Good call; if £12k was causing her problems, turning down £26k there could only have come from without, not from within.

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Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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kestral

PostPosted: Sun Oct 17, 2010 5:26 pm    Author: kestral    Post subject: Re: 17/10 Gina
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Round 6 - Proveout round

6 - £100 Jess

That would have been the perfect start says Noel

21 - £250,000 :D Alex

9 - £3,000 Christine

Banker time with £500 and £50,000 remaining

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kestral

PostPosted: Sun Oct 17, 2010 5:26 pm    Author: kestral    Post subject: Re: 17/10 Gina
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Banker's offer would've been:

£18,000

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kestral

PostPosted: Sun Oct 17, 2010 5:27 pm    Author: kestral    Post subject: Re: 17/10 Gina
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We might have a spanking here says Noel

Noel opens box 7 and reveals £50,000

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