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Simon F

PostPosted: Sun Sep 26, 2010 5:15 pm    Author: Simon F    Post subject: Re: 26/09 Denise
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All-blue round and we might get a meaningful offer. £7-8k would be nice.

£6k is about right though. Not quite enough for me to deal here though.

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kestral

PostPosted: Sun Sep 26, 2010 5:16 pm    Author: kestral    Post subject: Re: 26/09 Denise
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Denise says she knows what she wants to do, but she is a little scared. Noel asks what they can do to help her, and she has come a long way since the start of her game.

Denise says

NO DEAL

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KP

PostPosted: Sun Sep 26, 2010 5:16 pm    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: 26/09 Denise
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Too stable to offer less than half the mean in my opinion, but it's still the first serious offer of the game, the first one that's worthy of due consideration. Eventual rejection, probably, but consideration nonetheless.

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kestral

PostPosted: Sun Sep 26, 2010 5:17 pm    Author: kestral    Post subject: Re: 26/09 Denise
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Round 5

That was a very brave decision says Noel

15 - £250 Marley

22 - £15,000 Robbie

11 - £1,000 Alex

Banker time

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kestral

PostPosted: Sun Sep 26, 2010 5:18 pm    Author: kestral    Post subject: Re: 26/09 Denise
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The Banker says that was an interesting round.

Banker's offer:

£8,250

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KP

PostPosted: Sun Sep 26, 2010 5:19 pm    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: 26/09 Denise
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A decent round; again, the offer is a couple of grand short of the mark.

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"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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Simon F

PostPosted: Sun Sep 26, 2010 5:19 pm    Author: Simon F    Post subject: Re: 26/09 Denise
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£50k and £35k again the significant amounts but with 2 low blues instead of 2 high blues and an orange.

Offer reflects that and it's a question of what the red/blue finish will be. For me, it's a no deal here but I get the feeling the banker won't be that generous on a red/blue finish in live play.

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kestral

PostPosted: Sun Sep 26, 2010 5:21 pm    Author: kestral    Post subject: Re: 26/09 Denise
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Denise turns to her friend who says it is a good offer, Denise then goes to Chris and Howie for some advice, Howie says if it was him he would deal, and a few others agree. Denise says that her head is saying deal, but her heart is saying to play on.

Denise says

DEAL

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Simon F

PostPosted: Sun Sep 26, 2010 5:21 pm    Author: Simon F    Post subject: Re: 26/09 Denise
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DEAL and one inflated proveout offer coming up if she doesn't take out both the power 5 reds, I fear.

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KP

PostPosted: Sun Sep 26, 2010 5:22 pm    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: 26/09 Denise
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Entirely agreed. We'll never know what the true in-play offer for a red/blue finish would have been, but we can expect something near the mean here.

The Banker's Gamble route is highly unlikely after Friday, despite blue/£35k being ideal for it (especially on a low blue).

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"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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kestral

PostPosted: Sun Sep 26, 2010 5:22 pm    Author: kestral    Post subject: Re: 26/09 Denise
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Round 6 - Proveout round

9 - £35,000 Jim

16 - £10 Therese

21 - £5 Bharti

Banker time with £3,000 and £50,000 remaining

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Monkeynut

PostPosted: Sun Sep 26, 2010 5:22 pm    Author: Monkeynut    Post subject: Re: 26/09 Denise
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Quote:
Noel talks about the dangers of F & F, friends and family. He asks why you would bring someone along who would encourge you to deal for the least amount of money in your game as happened with Lisa on Friday!


Today, it's the players encouraging her to deal at too low a figure!

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KP

PostPosted: Sun Sep 26, 2010 5:23 pm    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: 26/09 Denise
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OK, £3k/£50k would have been significantly higher, but I refuse to validate anything above twenty grand...

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Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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kestral

PostPosted: Sun Sep 26, 2010 5:23 pm    Author: kestral    Post subject: Re: 26/09 Denise
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Banker's offer would've been:

£19,000

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Simon F

PostPosted: Sun Sep 26, 2010 5:23 pm    Author: Simon F    Post subject: Re: 26/09 Denise
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£50k/blue might have been a second BG in a row, £50k/£3k won't.

£20k would just about be acceptable here. £19k - not a lie for a change and a deal for me.

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kestral

PostPosted: Sun Sep 26, 2010 5:24 pm    Author: kestral    Post subject: Re: 26/09 Denise
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The Banker calls and says he would have offered the SWAP here...

Banker's offer would've been:

SWAP


Denise says

SWAP

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KP

PostPosted: Sun Sep 26, 2010 5:24 pm    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: 26/09 Denise
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Yes, £19k is actually not implausible. I'd be gone, and most people would/should be gone, but it wouldn't take an idiot to reject it.

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Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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Simon F

PostPosted: Sun Sep 26, 2010 5:24 pm    Author: Simon F    Post subject: Re: 26/09 Denise
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OK, let's just throw in a pointless hypo-swap anyway - at least ask her a hypothetical deal or no deal question if you are going to do that.

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kestral

PostPosted: Sun Sep 26, 2010 5:25 pm    Author: kestral    Post subject: Re: 26/09 Denise
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Noel swaps boxes and Denise now has box 3

Noel opens box 3 and reveals £3,000

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KP

PostPosted: Sun Sep 26, 2010 5:25 pm    Author: KP    Post subject: Re: 26/09 Denise
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Simon F wrote:
OK, let's just throw in a pointless hypo-swap anyway - at least ask her a hypothetical deal or no deal question if you are going to do that.


Must mean £3k is on the table. Wow, colour me shocked, it isn't.

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Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


Last edited by KP on Sun Sep 26, 2010 5:25 pm, edited 1 time in total.

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