StatsMan wrote:
Oh my, what a shocker
Absolutely nothing she could've done to avoid that, save taking a cautious £2,500, which I wouldn't have blamed her for given the way the game was panning out. I think that's the first time we've had 9 blues and a red, although we've had the reverse of that with someone whose name currently escapes me...
That would be Sheran from early 2007. At 10-box she had 1p versus every red except 3k and 250k. Funnily enough she had the penny all along!
Moxx of Balhoom wrote:
Thought the 5 box offer was a reasonable get-out, perhaps some people (who don't need a calculator and twenty minutes head start to work out the averages) will say it was a bit low but with a 60% chance of taking out the last red in the final round definately worth considering. No shame in carrying on either though.
I was expecting her to take 2.5k actually. I don't know, she just gave off this air that she was going to. At 5-box there were 3 possible combinations:
- 40% chance of around 10-11k (blue/35k finish).
- 15% chance of a half-decent consolation prize (£500)
- 45% chance of pocket change
In a sense, the question was 'Would you like a 40% chance of 10k and a 60% chance of a blue win, or a 100% certainty of 2.5k?' For me, I'd definitely have gone for the former. I'd need somewhere along the lines of 3.5-4k minimum to deal there.