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kestral

PostPosted: Sat Sep 29, 2007 7:48 pm    Author: kestral    Post subject:
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That is a first for the show says Noel, no-one has ever taken the top 3 out in one round!!!

The banker says he is most grateful to Stuart as he has just given him the highlight of his life!!

Banker offers

£10,000

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KP

PostPosted: Sat Sep 29, 2007 7:48 pm    Author: KP    Post subject:
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...dear... hell.

We've had the 1 in 165 chance of the worst possible round 4, but that's the first £425,000 round in the history of the game! Why did I never think of that as a Something That's Never Happened?

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crazyeddie

PostPosted: Sat Sep 29, 2007 7:49 pm    Author: crazyeddie    Post subject:
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1/6th of a percent? Where's he making this up? It's 1 in 165. :?

Ouch, though.

Average: 14,156

Offer: 10,000
Offer %: 70.64%

Fair deal: 7,530

2 box predicton at round 4
2b median: 11,500

Low value: 813
High value: 27,500

Average above current: 45%
Average above current offer: 62%
Risk of collapse: 36%


Last edited by crazyeddie on Sat Sep 29, 2007 7:51 pm, edited 1 time in total.

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kestral

PostPosted: Sat Sep 29, 2007 7:49 pm    Author: kestral    Post subject:
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Stuart asks Gillian her opinion, and she says she would play on here. Ed says there is no way you can repeat that again :?


Stuart says

NO DEAL

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'Take your hands out of your pockets!' Noel to H2005 23/03/09 :P

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KP

PostPosted: Sat Sep 29, 2007 7:50 pm    Author: KP    Post subject:
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It's still stable enough to be worth chasing, though I wouldn't be going all-out after £31,000 unless the offers made me, and that £10,000 suggests they won't... I think he'll deal on a red/blue final two.

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"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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basicasic

PostPosted: Sat Sep 29, 2007 7:50 pm    Author: basicasic    Post subject:
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Blimey the reds are coming thick and fast.

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kestral

PostPosted: Sat Sep 29, 2007 7:50 pm    Author: kestral    Post subject:
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Maggie tells Stuart to put his gnome on the box (I think it will go in the sea if this game collapses :P ;) )

Next round

13 - £3,000

17 - £5,000

16 - 50p Newbie Little Rich


Banker time

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SrWilson

PostPosted: Sat Sep 29, 2007 7:51 pm    Author: SrWilson    Post subject:
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I predict 1p is going to make it to 2 box

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alexandercbrown

PostPosted: Sat Sep 29, 2007 7:52 pm    Author: alexandercbrown    Post subject:

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18-20K...?


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kestral

PostPosted: Sat Sep 29, 2007 7:53 pm    Author: kestral    Post subject:
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Noel asks Stuart what he's thinking now, and Stuart replies that he is feeling a little numb at the moment... Noel says it's still a strong position at the moment... The banker says there is part of him that would to make an offer that would force Stuart to go on and fail, but there is another part of him that has to take him seriously...


Banker offers

£20,000

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h2005

PostPosted: Sat Sep 29, 2007 7:53 pm    Author: h2005    Post subject:
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:shock: £20,000! DEAL!

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basicasic

PostPosted: Sat Sep 29, 2007 7:53 pm    Author: basicasic    Post subject:
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If that's not inflated I don't know what is. Deal alert!

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SrWilson

PostPosted: Sat Sep 29, 2007 7:53 pm    Author: SrWilson    Post subject:
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20K kinda generous I thought he woulda been harsher than that.

IGNORE THE PARENTS

No deal mate

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Proud founder of WILSONISM = the real way to play and the term SOS for the show!


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crazyeddie

PostPosted: Sat Sep 29, 2007 7:53 pm    Author: crazyeddie    Post subject:
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That seems a bit inflated. I know I'd deal.

Average: 21,050

Offer: 20,000
Offer %: 95.01%

Fair deal: 12,906

2 box predicton at round 5
2b median: 21,313

Low value: 4,100
High value: 38,000

Average above current: 50%
Average above current offer: 50%
Risk of collapse: 10%


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KP

PostPosted: Sat Sep 29, 2007 7:54 pm    Author: KP    Post subject:
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Hang on, what's left? £15k/£20k/£35k/1p/other blue?

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Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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kestral

PostPosted: Sat Sep 29, 2007 7:54 pm    Author: kestral    Post subject:
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Stuart's dad gives him some advice... Stuart's mum says she would deal...


Stuart says

DEAL

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'Take your hands out of your pockets!' Noel to H2005 23/03/09 :P

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Craig

PostPosted: Sat Sep 29, 2007 7:54 pm    Author: Craig    Post subject:

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I think that was a bit of an easy deal, in my opinion


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SrWilson

PostPosted: Sat Sep 29, 2007 7:54 pm    Author: SrWilson    Post subject:
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I sensed a deal there it seemed very generous offer.

He shoulda not asked parents though and made the decision alone.

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WILSONISM = CASH!!!
Targetism = HUMILIATION!!!

Proud founder of WILSONISM = the real way to play and the term SOS for the show!


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redrum666

PostPosted: Sat Sep 29, 2007 7:54 pm    Author: redrum666    Post subject:
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Jesus H. Corbett!!! :shock: :shock:

That is only £1,050 less than the mean, thank god he dealt. Even if he has got £35,000 or £50,000 in that box, anyone who begrudges that deal is talking utter garbage because of its genorosity.

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alexandercbrown

PostPosted: Sat Sep 29, 2007 7:54 pm    Author: alexandercbrown    Post subject:

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KP wrote:
Hang on, what's left? £15k/£20k/£35k/1p/other blue?



£250. he's dealt, reasonable decision regardless.


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