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kestral

PostPosted: Thu Sep 27, 2007 4:44 pm    Author: kestral    Post subject:
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We're back
Last box before the banker...

Noel talks about box 15 being the key to the game now, as it was Joan's original box...

15 - £10 :D

Banker time

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'Take your hands out of your pockets!' Noel to H2005 23/03/09 :P

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Lewis246

PostPosted: Thu Sep 27, 2007 4:45 pm    Author: Lewis246    Post subject:

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That's the 4th time £10 has been carried to the table in box 15! :shock:


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KP

PostPosted: Thu Sep 27, 2007 4:46 pm    Author: KP    Post subject:
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Either the third good swap on the spin or a near-irrelevant one! The lowest three of each Power 5 remain, how peculiar... I'd probably look for £15,000 to be sure of leaving this board.

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"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
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kestral

PostPosted: Thu Sep 27, 2007 4:46 pm    Author: kestral    Post subject:
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We now have a very interesting situation says Noel...

Banker offers

£10,000

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'Take your hands out of your pockets!' Noel to H2005 23/03/09 :P

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Tom22

PostPosted: Thu Sep 27, 2007 4:46 pm    Author: Tom22    Post subject:

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Well the swap was worth it so far!

Stats after Round 4
Offer: £10,000
Mean: £20,631.33
Offer (%): 48.47%
Fair Deal: £9,107.27
Volatility: 0.83
Redometer: -8 (↑7)

Board
1p
10p
50p
£50

£5,000
£35,000
£50,000
£75,000


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redrum666

PostPosted: Thu Sep 27, 2007 4:46 pm    Author: redrum666    Post subject:
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Hmm, so now the chance of her having less than £10 in box 10 is 37.5%. Pretty interesting that but she may still have carried 1p, 10p or 50p into her game which would be very disappointing.

And, £10,000 would have got me out in Smiler Dave's game at this stage but with the £35,000 there as well I don't think it would get me out here.

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kestral

PostPosted: Thu Sep 27, 2007 4:47 pm    Author: kestral    Post subject:
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Joan asks for a sweep... It's NO DEAL from everyone except Bernie... Bernie then gives his reasons, and Noel does his chicken impression!!!!

Joan says

NO DEAL

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'Take your hands out of your pockets!' Noel to H2005 23/03/09 :P

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KP

PostPosted: Thu Sep 27, 2007 4:47 pm    Author: KP    Post subject:
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Wouldn't take £10,000 here with the three, no. Granted, it might not take a huge amount more - £12,500 would have been a problem, £15,000 a Deal...

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Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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KP

PostPosted: Thu Sep 27, 2007 4:48 pm    Author: KP    Post subject:
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kestral wrote:
Joan asks for a sweep... It's NO DEAL from everyone except Bernie... Bernie then gives his reasons, and Noel does his chicken impression!!!!


Knew it. WakeyNoel is back. And no, it doesn't make the show better. Unless you're in the gambling industry, in which case you're getting free publicity.

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Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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kestral

PostPosted: Thu Sep 27, 2007 4:49 pm    Author: kestral    Post subject:
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Next round

Joan picks "Edie" next, meaning Ed, and Noel says that name will stick now!!!

12 - £5,000

14 - 1p :D

18 - 10p

Banker time

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'Take your hands out of your pockets!' Noel to H2005 23/03/09 :P

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Lewis246

PostPosted: Thu Sep 27, 2007 4:49 pm    Author: Lewis246    Post subject:

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Good board, except he'll have to offer lower than the third highest. I'd probably look for about £27,500.


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kestral

PostPosted: Thu Sep 27, 2007 4:50 pm    Author: kestral    Post subject:
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Noel asks Joan what she is thinking, and Joan asks if there is another box :P Noel talks about the 3 power 5 values nestling together on the board...


Banker offers

£25,000

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Tom22

PostPosted: Thu Sep 27, 2007 4:50 pm    Author: Tom22    Post subject:

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What a very nice round with a very nice board!

Stats after Round 5
Offer: £25,000
Mean: £32,010.10
Offer (%): 78.10%
Fair Deal: £19,172.78
Volatility: 0.88
Redometer: 10 (↑18)

Board
50p
£50

£35,000
£50,000
£75,000


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h2005

PostPosted: Thu Sep 27, 2007 4:51 pm    Author: h2005    Post subject:
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I'd deal now... and no doubt be called a CHICKEN by Noel. :roll:

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Last edited by h2005 on Thu Sep 27, 2007 4:52 pm, edited 1 time in total.

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KP

PostPosted: Thu Sep 27, 2007 4:52 pm    Author: KP    Post subject:
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Wouldn't have expected that!!

I think I'd go on but with the 10% chance of disaster I'm not convinced. The game comes down to the 30% chance of hitting both blues; round 6 is usually about keeping specific reds and what else goes is almost irrelevant, this is practically a reversal of that.

_________________
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Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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Tom22

PostPosted: Thu Sep 27, 2007 4:52 pm    Author: Tom22    Post subject:

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h2005 wrote:
Think I'd deal here... and no doubt be called a CHICKEN by Noel. :roll:


It was a joke laugh a bit! :P


£25,000 is a very nice offer but I think I'd probably might go on.


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kestral

PostPosted: Thu Sep 27, 2007 4:53 pm    Author: kestral    Post subject:
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Joan turns to the audience and asks what they would do... About 14/15 stand to say they would deal... Joan's daughter then joins her at the pound table, and she tells Noel that she doesn't want to see mum go home with tears... Joan says there was a message given to her on a page, and she totally baffles Noel...


Joan says

DEAL

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h2005

PostPosted: Thu Sep 27, 2007 4:53 pm    Author: h2005    Post subject:
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Tom22 wrote:
h2005 wrote:
Think I'd deal here... and no doubt be called a CHICKEN by Noel. :roll:


It was a joke laugh a bit! :P


£25,000 is a very nice offer but I think I'd probably might go on.


Yes of course, chickens are funny. :lol: And I'd laugh in Noel's face when I destroyed my board after dealing. ;)

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KP

PostPosted: Thu Sep 27, 2007 4:54 pm    Author: KP    Post subject:
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While it's a 60% chance she's swapped a tenner for a Power 5 amount, there's also a 60% chance she's going to be left with an all-or-peanuts finish and I cannot see the offer going up even on £50/£75k... an entirely justifiable decision, though the reverse was too.

_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


Top
 Profile  

kestral

PostPosted: Thu Sep 27, 2007 4:54 pm    Author: kestral    Post subject:
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Proveout round

20 - £50 Noel has a go at the audience for clapping that box...

17 - 50p :shock:

Are you now going to complete what would have been a perfect round asks Noel....

8 - £75,000

Banker time with £35,000 and £50,000 remaining

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