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Deal or No Deal forum index » International DoND Forums » International DoND Forums » USAAll times are UTC [ DST ]



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AArnett

PostPosted: Thu Feb 08, 2007 10:29 am    Author: AArnett    Post subject: Interesting, but Not Good 2007 Stats for US DOND

Joined: Wed Dec 06, 2006 6:51 am
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Since contestants very rarely deal before the fifth offer, the amount they can win depends on what the Board is in the Final Six, I want to post some interesting stats that are NOT good.

You want to have a Final Six with a lot of numbers on the right side (Amounts of $1,000 and higher) on the board and not many on the left ($750 and lower) side of the board. Few numbers on the left side makes it a safer game and a more intersting game since bigger stakes are at stake, and contestants can go for them more safely.

Expectedly, you'd have as many right side amounts on the board as left side amounts at the Final Six (Fifth Offer), for an average of 3-3.

Unfortunately, these are the stats for 2007 so far: (Out of thirteen games, with Vicki's not included.)

0 Right, 6 Left: Zero. (Thank god!)
1 Right, 5 Left: Two. :shock:
2 Right, 4 Left: Six. :shock:
3 Right, 3 Left: Four.
4 Right, 2 Left: One. :|
5 Right, 1 Left: Zero. :(
6 Right, 0 Left: Zero. (Be nice if it did ever happen!)

So, the low numbers on the left side are making it to the end FAR more than the higher numbers on the right side by a 50-28 Margin. Also, in four of these games, one of the remaining right side numbers is the $1,000, which is essentially an honorary left side amount. (And, in two of the games with the $1,000 still in play in the Final Six, so is four left side amounts.

This might explain why big wins aren't happening lately, and why we are in a big win drought. :| Let's hope this trend gets reversed soon.


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KP

PostPosted: Thu Feb 08, 2007 2:30 pm    Author: KP    Post subject:
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Joined: Sat Jan 28, 2006 8:00 pm
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...yyyyyouch! That is scary.

Put it this way. Expected number of top-twelve amounts at the final six in thirteen games: (12/26)*6*13=36. (I might be oversimplifying the mathematics here, but it'll do for an approximation.) Actual number... 24. That sucks!

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