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Goldeneye

PostPosted: Tue Jan 15, 2008 2:25 pm    Author: Goldeneye    Post subject: DoND USA: January 14, 2008 *** SPOILER WARNING! ***

Joined: Tue Aug 15, 2006 2:37 am
Location: Boston, MA, USA
Warnings: 0
The Million Dollar Mission Continues tonight!

Contestant #1: Margarita Montijo

A 2008 Ford F250 Super Duty Truck replaces the $50,000 spot in the board.

Not only that, her gameboard now has six $1,000,000 cases, introduced one by one by Howie!

The right side of the board now looks like this:

$1,000
$5,000
$10,000
$25,000
TRUCK
$75,000
$100,000
$1,000,000
$1,000,000
$1,000,000
$1,000,000
$1,000,000
$1,000,000

Chosen case: 2

Round 1: 6 Cases to open

19: $5,000
4: $10
8: $25
22: $1,000,000
7: $750
10: $10,000

Banker's offer: $131,000!

NO DEAL!

Round 2: 5 Cases to open

12: $25,000
21: $500
25: $100
5: $1,000,000
9: $200

Banker's offer: $170,000!

NO DEAL!

Round 3: 4 Cases to open

1: $75
17: $300
23: $400
15: $75,000

Banker's offer: $268,000!

NO DEAL!

Round 4: 3 Cases to open

13: $1
11: TRUCK
6: $750

Banker's offer: $239,000!

NO DEAL!

Round 5: 2 Cases to open

3: $1,000,000
14: $0.01 :D

The Final 6 Cases

$5
$50
$1,000
$100,000
$1,000,000
$1,000,000

Banker's offer: $284,000!

NO DEAL!

Round 6: 1 Case to open

24: $1,000,000 :shock: As bad as you can get! Virtually a one-case game from this point.

Banker's offer: $173,000!

NO DEAL!

Round 7: 1 Case to open

26: $1,000,000 :shock: Pure disaster! One case game for sure now.

Banker's offer: $22,000

NO DEAL!

Round 8: 1 Case to open

16: $1,000

NO DEAL!

Banker's offer: $32,000

Round 9: 1 Case to open

20: $5

The Final 2 Cases

$50
$100,000

Banker's offer: $40,000 cash plus Flying Lessons ($15,000 value) for a total of $55,000, an AMO in total.

DEAL!

Howie now opens her case #2 to reveal...

2: $100,000 :shock: Oops!

Marisa's Case #18 is revealed to complete the game...

18: $25,000

Game Summary:

Peak offer: $284,000
Case value: $100,000
Prize won: $55,000
Result: Outright Banker Win

The Million Dollar Mission Continues Wednesday Night, with a Celebrity Model (Ellen DeGeneres to be exact)


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Aramid

PostPosted: Tue Jan 15, 2008 3:32 pm    Author: Aramid    Post subject:
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Joined: Mon Feb 12, 2007 2:34 pm
Location: Manila,Philippines
Warnings: 0
anyway Marissa's case held $50 not $25,000. Too bad she had the $100,000 all along.

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Dr. Hindsight

PostPosted: Tue Jan 15, 2008 4:26 pm    Author: Dr. Hindsight    Post subject:

Joined: Tue Apr 18, 2006 9:09 pm
Location: Eternal Freedom
Warnings: 0
Another MDM game where someone doesn't take a great offer and ends up knocking out all the MDC available to them. As for the dream package that Margarita won, these kinds of things are offered on Le Banquier here in Québec. The funny thing is, they're almost always accepted, and the result is almost always an OBW. Example: someone takes an offer that consists of $31,000 and a new boat (it's only the third or fourth offer or something); the proveouts done afterwards show that the player had almost 5 times that ($150,000) in their case. But hey, what's in your case doesn't matter when you win your dream.

And for the record - minor spoiler here -, Ellen DeGeneres, who is a big fan of the show, will be holding Case 4, temporararily replacing Keltie. Just thought you'd like to know.

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I have berated my last contestant and have nothing else to say. Roll credits. Fade to black. | Dr. Hindsight | April 18, 2006 - December 7, 2023


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KP

PostPosted: Tue Jan 15, 2008 5:40 pm    Author: KP    Post subject:
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Joined: Sat Jan 28, 2006 8:00 pm
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I'd have cut and run at $173,000, but contestants are loathe to take an offer below one they've turned down already. At least she came back, and had the sense to take an AMO even if it needed to be in the NBC cash + prize style.

Is that truck going to stay on the board or was that just some weird random product placement because she wanted one?

BTW, I presume 6 had a $1,000,000 not another $750. That would match everything else, including the offer drop. I might have been tempted to take the $268k or $284k thinking 'do I really want any more?' but mathematically, it was an utterly sensible call to play on. $173,000, far less so, though even then there was the 80% chance of an improvement, probably to around a quarter-mill again.

_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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AArnett

PostPosted: Tue Jan 15, 2008 7:02 pm    Author: AArnett    Post subject:

Joined: Wed Dec 06, 2006 6:51 am
Warnings: 0
Talk about a big banker win: Somebody ends up ND'ing a $289K offer and STILL sells a $100K case for a LOSS!

She was a bit greedy (Took an AMO to get her to deal). Normally, dealing at 6-box is not optimum strategy, but if there was a time to do it, I'd have done it here. I, mean, the offer going UP after a not-a-good round (which RARELY happens here), not to mention being generous for the board? I think I'd have gotten an OPW if I were playing. In THIS game, I'd have no-dealt the 8-box offer here (It went down after a good round!).

So, that makes now what: 36 consecutive games without an OPW now? (Mark77, that's for your signature: The # streak of games without an OPW.)

Also, did I read the offers correctly: How did it go down after Round 4 (when the highest amount knocked out wasa car that replaced the $50K, and go up in Round 5 after knocking out one of the $1Ms. Still strange to see a fifth offer higher than a fourth offer.


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KP

PostPosted: Tue Jan 15, 2008 7:35 pm    Author: KP    Post subject:
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Joined: Sat Jan 28, 2006 8:00 pm
Warnings: 0
There were only two $1m cases in the final six, and only three were shown as going before then in the recap. Furthermore the $750 is shown as going twice. So I'm guessing a $1m case went after the truck.

_________________
Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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NoDeal!

PostPosted: Thu Jan 17, 2008 1:14 am    Author: NoDeal!    Post subject:

Joined: Sun Sep 09, 2007 1:19 pm
Warnings: 0
You are exactly right KP, it was $1m. Also, Goldeneye didn't mention she broke a record for the highest 1st, 2nd, and 3rd offers!!! I am estimating $200k+ first offers if today's player keeps all 7 $1m cases.

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I am from the US and this DOND is 10x better than ours!


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