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Dr. Hindsight

PostPosted: Sun Jan 13, 2008 1:38 am    Author: Dr. Hindsight    Post subject: DoND USA: January 9, 2007 *** SPOILER WARNING! ***

Joined: Tue Apr 18, 2006 9:09 pm
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Brad "The Cryin' Hawaiian" Falcon returns to complete his game. Here's how it went.

Round 2 - 5 to open
Briefcases 2 ($75,000), 12 ($750), 15 ($75), 4 ($.01), and 19 ($10,000) eliminated. Banker offers $108,000; NO DEAL.

Round 3 - 4 to open
Briefcases 20 ($10), 8 ($5,000), 14 ($1,000,000), and 22 ($50,000) eliminated. Banker offers $98,000; NO DEAL.

Round 4 - 3 to open
Briefcases 9 ($25), 13 ($300), and 21 ($500) eliminated. Banker offers $172,000 ($177,000 ($5,000 bonus) if Brad cuts off his goatee); NO DEAL.

Round 5 - 2 to open
Briefcases 6 ($1,000,000) and 24 ($50) eliminated. Banker offers $104,000; NO DEAL.

Round 6 - 1 to open
Briefcase 7 ($100,000) eliminated. Banker offers $153,000 ($163,000 ($10,000 bonus) if Brad cuts off his goatee); NO DEAL.

Round 7 - 1 to open
Briefcase 3 ($25,000) eliminated. Banker offers $235,000 ($260,000 ($25,000 bonus) if Brad cuts off his goatee); DEAL.

FINAL WINNINGS: $260,000.

Proveouts
Round 8 - 1 to open
Briefcase 10 ($1) eliminated. Banker offers $325,000.

Round 9 - 1 to open
Briefcase 11 ($1,000,000) eliminated.

In Brad's case: $100
In the remaining case (23): $400

Result: TPW :D !
(When's the last time that happened :lol: ?)

And there you have it. Recap info provided by:
http://heelsrule1988.tripod.com/dealornodeal/index.htm
This site has provided recaps of DoND USA since it first premiered in December, 2005.

Tune in next time when someone plays with 6 $1 million cases.

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I have berated my last contestant and have nothing else to say. Roll credits. Fade to black. | Dr. Hindsight | April 18, 2006 - December 7, 2023


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KP

PostPosted: Sun Jan 13, 2008 1:40 am    Author: KP    Post subject:
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Wow, an AMO at the final four with the goatee bonus on an all-or-nothing game too!! I'm pretty sure I'd have gone one case earlier, and yes I know that rarely works but it's $153k (or $163k) on a super-volatile board with the mean at $205k, I'm outta there.

Yet again the landmine goes in round 9! How many times?!?

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Dr. Hindsight

PostPosted: Sun Jan 13, 2008 1:50 am    Author: Dr. Hindsight    Post subject:

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No idea, KP, but I'd have been gone at $235,000. I can't grow a goatee at all, so no bonus for me :lol: . I wonder how much longer, or how many more $1 million cases it will take for someone to break the bank.

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I have berated my last contestant and have nothing else to say. Roll credits. Fade to black. | Dr. Hindsight | April 18, 2006 - December 7, 2023


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KP

PostPosted: Sun Jan 13, 2008 12:38 pm    Author: KP    Post subject:
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Fair enough. And actually looking back, there was a strong case for going at eight-case again (expect AArnett to come forth and make that case at some point) but the offer was slightly lower than Heather's, although the safety net was less good (only $100k). I think I'd have gone on but I'm really unsure.

And would have been wrong to, given that I'd have taken the five-case offer...!

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Champion of RTaB S6, creator of unorthodox DoND rulesets, and founder member of #teambat.
Creator of the first DoND Live offer to be accepted.
"Why regret what could not be?" (A Heart Full of Love, from Les Misérables)
I introduced utility theory to the forums. Blame me.
In your choices, beware of words leading you astray. Think in a balanced way about potential gains and losses.


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Aramid

PostPosted: Sun Jan 13, 2008 3:48 pm    Author: Aramid    Post subject:
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actually Brad accidentally 'NO DEAL' I was shocked at that moment because he had cut his beard away. Anyway, the producer agreed to make him decide one more which is a deal or no deal first. I am entertained by his actions and sure he deserves $260,000.

Case #4 had the penny again I guess it had the penny 14 times NOW! I thought case 13 had it the most this season.

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AArnett

PostPosted: Sun Jan 13, 2008 8:03 pm    Author: AArnett    Post subject:

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Finally, the recap for the 1/9 Episode up! :)

She showed some bravery to get as far as the did, so the Wakeys can't fault this deal, even if it was one round too early. I'd been strongly tempted by the $98K (It was already a vulnerable board by even then.), and gone for certain at the $171K, as I think most people would've been. The $103K and $153K were also strong tempters. The "No deal until you get down to one case above the offer then deal" strategy would mean dealing the $103K, and the $153K was generous for a 5-case offer.

I would've not been disappointed with the proveout (assuming I'd have dealt at $172K and not $98K), since I did have a bad round right after dealing and did take several rounds to get back to where I was, although I think I would have made it to the $235K and dealt then if, by some fluke of nature, that I'd have ND the $172K. Dealing the $98K wouldv'e been disappointint, though (An all low amount round after an 11-box deal?).

But, she only dealt one round to early, where I'd have dealt at least four rounds too early (albeit two of the following rounds did have lower offers.)

So, well done! :D


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Dr. Hindsight

PostPosted: Sun Jan 13, 2008 8:32 pm    Author: Dr. Hindsight    Post subject:

Joined: Tue Apr 18, 2006 9:09 pm
Location: Eternal Freedom
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AArnett wrote:
Finally, the recap for the 1/9 Episode up! :)

She showed some bravery to get as far as the did, so the Wakeys can't fault this deal, even if it was one round too early. I'd been strongly tempted by the $98K (It was already a vulnerable board by even then.), and gone for certain at the $171K, as I think most people would've been. The $103K and $153K were also strong tempters. The "No deal until you get down to one case above the offer then deal" strategy would mean dealing the $103K, and the $153K was generous for a 5-case offer.

I would've not been disappointed with the proveout (assuming I'd have dealt at $172K and not $98K), since I did have a bad round right after dealing and did take several rounds to get back to where I was, although I think I would have made it to the $235K and dealt then if, by some fluke of nature, that I'd have ND the $172K. Dealing the $98K wouldv'e been disappointint, though (An all low amount round after an 11-box deal?).

But, she only dealt one round to early, where I'd have dealt at least four rounds too early (albeit two of the following rounds did have lower offers.)

So, well done! :D


Um, for the record, AArnett, the player that night was a he, not a she. Just thought I'd let you know :D !

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I have berated my last contestant and have nothing else to say. Roll credits. Fade to black. | Dr. Hindsight | April 18, 2006 - December 7, 2023


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