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tr4962

PostPosted: Thu Jan 04, 2007 6:08 pm    Author: tr4962    Post subject: Thanh's system

Joined: Sun Mar 12, 2006 10:55 pm
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what does everyone think of it. i personally dont belive in it because it is random.


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Maltus

PostPosted: Thu Jan 04, 2007 6:10 pm    Author: Maltus    Post subject: Re: Thanh's system

Joined: Tue Feb 07, 2006 7:23 pm
Location: Canterbury, Kent
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tr4962 wrote:
what does everyone think of it. i personally dont belive in it because it is random.


I don't think Thanh was denying it was random, just that a pattern seemed to emerge. I thought it was a good way to play, just a shame it didn't pay off.


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tr4962

PostPosted: Thu Jan 04, 2007 6:12 pm    Author: tr4962    Post subject:

Joined: Sun Mar 12, 2006 10:55 pm
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it was interesting, it just dont think it is reliable enough


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willtheywinbig

PostPosted: Thu Jan 04, 2007 6:13 pm    Author: willtheywinbig    Post subject:

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no system works purely random


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Aaron Brock

PostPosted: Thu Jan 04, 2007 6:26 pm    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject:

Joined: Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm
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i followed along with her system, and i will record the repeat, and perhaps build on it. i totally aggree. there was a group of 5 blues. Her system was great

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willtheywinbig

PostPosted: Thu Jan 04, 2007 6:40 pm    Author: willtheywinbig    Post subject:

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its purely random. no system works. its luck. every show has the same odds. makes no difference what system you use its pure chance.


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Kay

PostPosted: Thu Jan 04, 2007 6:57 pm    Author: Kay    Post subject:
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Joined: Tue Dec 26, 2006 5:30 pm
Location: Devon, UK
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I think it was quite a good system, but something to consider more than to follow completely and get lost in it.


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willtheywinbig

PostPosted: Thu Jan 04, 2007 7:03 pm    Author: willtheywinbig    Post subject:

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Kay the boxes are chosen at random. each box has an equal chance. theres a 22/1 chance that each box contains a certain number when the game starts. systems dont work purely chance. if you toss a coin ten times and its heads. its still 50/50 the next time does not matter what has gone before.


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little_monster

PostPosted: Thu Jan 04, 2007 7:06 pm    Author: little_monster    Post subject:

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willtheywinbig wrote:
Kay the boxes are chosen at random. each box has an equal chance. theres a 22/1 chance that each box contains a certain number when the game starts. systems dont work purely chance. if you toss a coin ten times and its heads. its still 50/50 the next time does not matter what has gone before.


Wow, you sure make DOND very exciting!


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Kay

PostPosted: Thu Jan 04, 2007 7:07 pm    Author: Kay    Post subject:
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Joined: Tue Dec 26, 2006 5:30 pm
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I am quite aware what the word random means thank you, however I am entitled to my opinion that the basics of her system is something to consider.

Anyway, it's nothing to do with numbers but colours.


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daniel4389

PostPosted: Thu Jan 04, 2007 7:27 pm    Author: daniel4389    Post subject:

Joined: Thu Feb 23, 2006 10:36 pm
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I thought it was an absolute load of rubbish. Still thought she was awesome though.

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Will

PostPosted: Thu Jan 04, 2007 7:29 pm    Author: Will    Post subject:
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There can never be a system... The amounts are allocated to the boxes randomly, the boxes are allocated to the contestants randomly.

In short, it's all random. The system was rubbish.

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willtheywinbig

PostPosted: Thu Jan 04, 2007 7:45 pm    Author: willtheywinbig    Post subject:

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colours numbers whatever just making the point its random. seems to escape alot of people.


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Dond-knight

PostPosted: Thu Jan 04, 2007 7:48 pm    Author: Dond-knight    Post subject:
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Joined: Wed Dec 13, 2006 9:41 pm
Location: Liverpool
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Whenever I play online games I always write down a system of random numbers from random.org that way I am not tempted to go to boxes which I think may have high in the proveouts.


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MisterAl

PostPosted: Thu Jan 04, 2007 7:49 pm    Author: MisterAl    Post subject:
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Kay wrote:
I am quite aware what the word random means thank you, however I am entitled to my opinion that the basics of her system is something to consider.

Anyway, it's nothing to do with numbers but colours.

No offence here, but it's not really a matter of opinion. It's a matter of mathematical fact. (Despite it being concerned with colours rather than numbers, it's still mathematics).

The colours don't magically cluster together, just like they don't magically spread themselves evenly apart. By the two-box stage, Thanh's system had a 50% chance of working out for her and a 50% chance it wouldn't. Sadly, it didn't work out.


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Hamilton

PostPosted: Thu Jan 04, 2007 7:56 pm    Author: Hamilton    Post subject:
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The cluster system has a more mathematical chance of appearing then red-blue-red-blue and all red then all blue, because there are a number of variations of clusters. What Than was trying to prove today was exactly that.

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MisterAl

PostPosted: Thu Jan 04, 2007 8:03 pm    Author: MisterAl    Post subject:
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Hamilton wrote:
The cluster system has a more mathematical chance of appearing then red-blue-red-blue and all red then all blue, because there are a number of variations of clusters. What Than was trying to prove today was exactly that.

Whilst it is true that some clustering is more likely than seeing red-blue-red-blue-etc., there is still no way to predict the colour in any individual position.

It's similar to the (equally flawed) idea that what's happened in the past influences what will happen in the future. For example, you'd expect the quarter-million to make it to the table once every 22 games on average, but that gives no clue whatsoever as to exactly what days it will happen.


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Hamilton

PostPosted: Thu Jan 04, 2007 8:11 pm    Author: Hamilton    Post subject:
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MisterAl wrote:
Whilst it is true that some clustering is more likely than seeing red-blue-red-blue-etc., there is still no way to predict the colour in any individual position.

It's similar to the (equally flawed) idea that what's happened in the past influences what will happen in the future. For example, you'd expect the quarter-million to make it to the table once every 22 games on average, but that gives no clue whatsoever as to exactly what days it will happen.


Of course there isn't.

There's no reason why the £250,000 should ever make it to the table again.

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Aside from Laura's game

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willtheywinbig

PostPosted: Thu Jan 04, 2007 8:29 pm    Author: willtheywinbig    Post subject:

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Say box one is red box two has a 10/21 chance of being red and a 11/21 chance of being blue. Thats the ture odds nothing to do with clusters. Its and all to do with chance. No system will work. Same as people who say use the martingale system in casinos by doubling up on red and black. If there was say 10 reds in a row the odds on a red coming up next is still 50/50 does not change. Its got nothing to do with what happened before.


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Hamilton

PostPosted: Thu Jan 04, 2007 8:32 pm    Author: Hamilton    Post subject:
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willtheywinbig wrote:
Say box one is red box two has a 10/21 chance of being red and a 11/21 chance of being blue. Thats the ture odds nothing to do with clusters. Its and all to do with chance. No system will work. Same as people who say use the martingale system in casinos by doubling up on red and black. If there was say 10 reds in a row the odds on a red coming up next is still 50/50 does not change. Its got nothing to do with what happened before.


Actually it'd be 1/11

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