£250k in a number of player's boxes recently...

Could anyone tell me the statistical likelihood of the £250k getting into the player's box as often as it has since Daz's show? Because it seems to be happening frequently. It may well be a coincidence, but cynics might disagree and say its being planted there at regular intervals in the hope someone gets the big one soon, to improve ratings?! :shock:

**Joined:** Sat Feb 11, 2006 3:24 pm **Warnings:** 0

i'm sure bushy would be able to help you with that.

dreams · **Posted:** Tue Mar 28, 2006 5:17 pm **Author:** Dary **Post subject:**

I was assume the odds are 1/22 per day, and so *technically* it should show up once a month. It's all random though....maybe

**Posted:** Tue Mar 28, 2006 5:22 pm **Author:** Maltus **Post subject:**

I do firmly believe its random, just thought it was worth mentioning/considering...

**Posted:** Tue Mar 28, 2006 5:24 pm **Author:** #1 Box 4 fan **Post subject:**

How many players have had it now? I've lost track!

**Joined:** Wed Feb 01, 2006 6:19 pm **Warnings:** 0

I hope its in bushys tomorrow :crossfingers:

**Joined:** Thu Feb 23, 2006 10:36 pm **Warnings:** 0

Apparently it's been in there 6 times out of 126 - 1 in 21, which is about what you would expect.

It does seem to have been there a lot lately, but I don't think there's any kind of conspiracy - nobody complains about the fact that only one person so far has had the £1,000, even though that seems far less likely to me.

**Posted:** Tue Mar 28, 2006 5:25 pm **Author:** Maltus **Post subject:**

6 I think - Natalie, Mally, Daz, Anna, Germaine and now Bob.

**Joined:** Sat Feb 11, 2006 3:24 pm **Warnings:** 0

Aaron Brock wrote:

:crossfingers: I hope its in bushys tomorrow

so do i. good luck, bushy!

**Posted:** Tue Mar 28, 2006 5:28 pm **Author:** Maltus **Post subject:**

daniel4389 wrote:

It does seem to have been there a lot lately, but I don't think there's any kind of conspiracy - nobody complains about the fact that only one person so far has had the £1,000, even though that seems far less likely to me.

But the producers know that a £250k win would be an amazing show, and so it should rightly look suspicious if it turned up too frequently...(not that I'm insinuating it has!)

dreams · **Posted:** Tue Mar 28, 2006 5:29 pm **Author:** Dary **Post subject:**

I feel sorry for whomever plays tomorrow *ahem* the chances of it being in there 2 days in a row must be pretty small!

**Posted:** Tue Mar 28, 2006 5:30 pm **Author:** Maltus **Post subject:**

Dary wrote:

I feel sorry for whomever plays tomorrow *ahem* the chances of it being in there 2 days in a row must be pretty small!

We can always hope...

**Posted:** Tue Mar 28, 2006 5:32 pm **Author:** No Deal **Post subject:**

Aaron Brock wrote:

I hope its in bushys

Couldn't agree more! Can't wait for his game; I hope it's soon!

:-D

**Joined:** Sat Feb 11, 2006 3:24 pm **Warnings:** 0

Dary wrote:

I feel sorry for whomever plays tomorrow *ahem* the chances of it being in there 2 days in a row must be pretty small!

chances are 1 in 484 to be exact!

**Joined:** Thu Feb 23, 2006 10:36 pm **Warnings:** 0

Isn't it a 1 in 22 chance? Whatever's in tomorrow's box isn't affected at all by what was in there today, so surely the chance is the same as it would be any other day?

**Posted:** Tue Mar 28, 2006 6:15 pm **Author:** Steve **Post subject:**

daniel4389 wrote:

Isn't it a 1 in 22 chance? Whatever's in tomorrow's box isn't affected at all by what was in there today, so surely the chance is the same as it would be any other day?

That's what I thought.

**Joined:** Sat Feb 11, 2006 3:24 pm **Warnings:** 0

you're right there. i thought that having it in the box twice in a row would be 1 in 22 to the power of 2 (484).

**Joined:** Thu Feb 23, 2006 10:36 pm **Warnings:** 0

Hmm...that sounds right...OK I'm confusing myself here.

The chance that it's in the box 2 days running is 1 in 484. However, now that we know it's already been in it once, the chance is 1 in 22. Is that right? One of the stats people please help me out!

**Joined:** Sat Feb 11, 2006 3:24 pm **Warnings:** 0

bushy... HELP!!! :-D

**Posted:** Tue Mar 28, 2006 6:44 pm **Author:** Steve **Post subject:**

daniel4389 wrote:

Hmm...that sounds right...OK I'm confusing myself here.

The chance that it's in the box 2 days running is 1 in 484. However, now that we know it's already been in it once, the chance is 1 in 22. Is that right? One of the stats people please help me out!

Yes, that's right I think.

The chances that it appears at anytime is 1:22.

The chances that it appears twice in a row is 1:484

But since we know it definately has happened once, tomorrows chance is 1:22, as daniel said.

I think anyway, bushy help us :-D

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£250k in a number of player's boxes recently...

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