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Aaron Brock

PostPosted: Thu Oct 05, 2006 9:09 pm    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject: DOND Maths

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i need some help on this, because i want to know what the chances of getting brenda's final 9 in play

what i know

there are 253 different last 2 combos

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h2005

PostPosted: Thu Oct 05, 2006 9:31 pm    Author: h2005    Post subject: Re: DOND Maths
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Aaron Brock wrote:
i need some help on this, because i want to know what the chances of getting brenda's final 9 in play

what i know

there are 253 different last 2 combos

Isn't it something like 1 hundred and something times something else? :roll: I don't know. :oops:


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Power5

PostPosted: Thu Oct 05, 2006 9:32 pm    Author: Power5    Post subject:
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Might be on Bothers Bar, if not I'll work it out when I've finished my poker game!

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Oh and five others, guess I need to update this!


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Aaron Brock

PostPosted: Thu Oct 05, 2006 9:32 pm    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject:

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:lol:

maybe MisterAl could help me with this

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daniel4389

PostPosted: Thu Oct 05, 2006 9:33 pm    Author: daniel4389    Post subject:

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According to Mister Al, from the BB commentary for that game:

"Chance of keeping ALL of the five- and six-figure amounts until the second break offer: 0.003% (precisely 1 in 35530)

Expected time before we see a board as good as this again: approximately 150 years."

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Aaron Brock

PostPosted: Thu Oct 05, 2006 9:34 pm    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject:

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daniel4389 wrote:
According to Mister Al, from the BB commentary for that game:

"Chance of keeping ALL of the five- and six-figure amounts until the second break offer: 0.003% (precisely 1 in 35530)

Expected time before we see a board as good as this again: approximately 150 years."


thanks

i heard that 150 years thingy ages ago by KP

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MisterAl

PostPosted: Thu Oct 05, 2006 10:17 pm    Author: MisterAl    Post subject: Re: DOND Maths
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Aaron Brock wrote:
there are 253 different last 2 combos

Actually, there are 231.

As for the final 9, there are 497420 different combinations of board at that stage. Only 14 of them have everything from £10k up still intact. 497420 divided by 14 gives us 35530. So it was a 1 in 35530 situation.

Hope that makes sense.


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Aaron Brock

PostPosted: Fri Oct 06, 2006 6:58 am    Author: Aaron Brock    Post subject:

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i get you

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