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Power5

PostPosted: Thu Aug 31, 2006 7:09 pm    Author: Power5    Post subject: How unlikely is 4 1p winners in 12 shows?
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If we assume every contestant no-deals to the end, they are equally likely to end up with any one of the 22 amounts. The probability of a particular amount occurring 4 or more times is 0.157%, or about 634/1.

Of course in practice more than half of contestants will deal, making the odds of them all getting 1p longer - however a player with a high amount in their box is more likely to have a good game and get an offer from the Banker that will tempt them. The 1p is notoriously difficult to get away from, only 2 people have ever sold it and they are cancelled out by Nick and Connell who both swapped for it!

So it's not quite as unlikely as you might think, I really thought it might be up there in probability with Brenda's once-in-300-years board!

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Oh and five others, guess I need to update this!


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daniel123

PostPosted: Thu Aug 31, 2006 7:21 pm    Author: daniel123    Post subject:
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no, brenda and lance's board up to the point when he took out the £250K!!

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wakey1512

PostPosted: Thu Aug 31, 2006 7:26 pm    Author: wakey1512    Post subject:
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daniel123 wrote:
no, brenda and lance's board up to the point when he took out the £250K!!

What?

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daniel123

PostPosted: Thu Aug 31, 2006 7:28 pm    Author: daniel123    Post subject:
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oh i dont know ignore that post :-D

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81st member of the Pat M fan club. Still flying the flag for the class of '06...

Like Tom Hanks and his football on that island in 'Cast Away', it looks like it's just me and the bots here now. But that's alright, we're having a grand old time. Aren't we, Wilson? WILSOOOON?!

A few of us who were once part of the furniture, once stalwarts of the grand and extravagant, exuberant and thriving forum, have receded back into the walls, still faintly visible, still here as poignant, reminding relics of an era gone by; but most of us have vanished, forever immersed in the mists of time.


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TicTac

PostPosted: Thu Aug 31, 2006 11:24 pm    Author: TicTac    Post subject:

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I think the number of 1p winners is pretty incredibly regardless, I mean is there any other value that has got close to being won as many times that it has been in the box?

I mean, the £1 has had like 14 appearences in the box, but only about 5 or 6 winners?


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